641 W 10th St · North Bend, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home sits on corner lot. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an updated kitchen. Home is being sold as is.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Residential property built in 1915; Not new
- Construction: Steel siding; Composition roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; City lot up to 1/4 acre (approx. 0.2 acres); Lot dimensions approximately 66 x 132
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 2nd floor; Additional bedrooms on 2nd floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No fireplaces; Crawl space basement (finished area listed separately)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-678/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $60k (14.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in NE, #1,561 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- North Bend Central Public Schools (rural): math 65% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #8 of 111 in NE (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: North Bend Central Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #20 of 502 statewide, top 5%, 271 students, 26% FRL); North Bend Central Middle School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade B, #25 of 128 statewide, top 20%, 89 students, 26% FRL); North Bend Central High School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #39 of 261 statewide, top 18%, 226 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $70k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.65%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,603
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -61.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W 8th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,121 (+2%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $98 | 82 |
| 731 Chestnut St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-7%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 131 W 11th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+7%) | 19mo | $152,500 | $130 | 52 |
| 421 E 7th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+6%) | 7mo | $187,000 | $160 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $34,801
- Equity at exit
- $63,062
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $105,865
- Equity at exit
- $135,995
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68649
- Home prices YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-37 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-76 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-14 | +10% $29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-39 | base $-57 | +0.5pp $-75 | +1.0pp $-93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$70,000 New 230-char remark
-
2015-04-17soldstatus $25,500 Sold 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Home sits on corner lot. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an updated kitchen. Home is being sold as is.
-
2015-04-17soldstatus $25,500
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Home sits on corner lot. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an updated kitchen. Home is being sold as is.
-
2015-02-11historical 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Home sits on corner lot. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an updated kitchen. Home is being sold as is.
-
2014-07-14$25,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Home sits on corner lot. Features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an updated kitchen. Home is being sold as is.
-
2013-11-18historical
-
2013-05-16$52,900
-
1989-11-22soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,027 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$184/yr (+$15/mo · 17.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,027
- − Insurance
- −$5,468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable loss
- −$1,584
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $-298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bend Central Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100115
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,916
- Composite
- 55.48/100
- National rank
- #1246
- State rank
- #8 of 111 in NE
Livability — North Bend
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bend, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,831
Population outlook (Dodge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,191 people
- By 2030
- 37,238 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 37,256 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 37,494 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 39,165 · +5.3%
- By 2100
- 40,221 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dodge
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.0% · R 65.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.72%
- Current HPI
- 298.4561
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+833.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $70,000 GPRMLS
- 2015-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
- 2015-04-17 Sold (MLS) $25,500 GPRMLS
- 2015-02-11 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2014-07-14 Listed $25,000 GPRMLS
- 2013-11-18 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2013-05-16 Listed $52,900 GPRMLS
- 1989-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,027 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…