1306 Aggie Rd · Jonesboro, AR 72401

$109,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market

7,501 sqft lot Est $153k · 29% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Excellent investment opportunity near Arkansas State University. Ideal for rental income, student housing, or owner-occupant use. Convenient location with strong rental demand and quick access to campus, restaurants, and shopping.

Key facts

• Strong rental demand
• Owner occupant use
• Student housing

Tags

• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• RENTAL INCOME
• STUDENT HOUSING
• OWNER OCCUPANT USE
• CONVENIENT LOCATION
• STRONG RENTAL DEMAND

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
• Exterior features: Located in the Carson subdivision

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating
• Interior features: Living room fireplace; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
• Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Annie Camp Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 784 students, 100% FRL); The Academies At Jonesboro High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 292 statewide, top 78%, 1,386 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $107,365 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.35%
• DSCR: 1.73
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $152,880
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
404 Habitat Cv	0.46mi	3/1.0	1,120 (-5%)	7mo	$95,000	$85	65
303 S Patrick	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,176 (0%)	21mo	$295,000	$251	63
307 S Patrick	0.34mi	3/2.0	1,176 (0%)	21mo	$295,000	$251	63
616 Creath	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,302 (+11%)	9mo	$169,900	$130	48
405 State St St	0.44mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,274 (+8%)	24mo	$99,900	$78	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.32×
• Total profit: $9,648
• Equity at exit: $16,252

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $45,950
• Equity at exit: $9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72401

• Home prices YoY: -34.2%
• Rents YoY: 3.6%
• Active inventory: 295
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,347 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$572
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $374/yr
• Insurance: −$45
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$283
• Net cashflow: $416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $821

Max offer price $109,000

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,250
• Closing costs: $3,270
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
500 N Caraway Rd Jonesboro, AR	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.0	1000	$1,099	$1.10	43d	1	1.10mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $109,000 Active 29 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $109,000 Active 28 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $109,000 Active 27 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $109,000 Active 26 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $109,000 Active 25 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $109,000 Active 23 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $109,000 Active 22 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $109,000 Active 20 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $109,000 Active 19 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 18 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 17 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 14 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 10 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 9 DOM
17. 2026-05-21
    listed $109,000 Active
18. 2025-01-07
    soldstatus $115,000
19. 1993-03-26
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $374 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $698 · $58/mo
• Expected delta: +$323/yr (+$27/mo · 86.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,162
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,106
• − Property taxes: −$374
• − Insurance: −$545
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,293
• − Management: −$1,293
• − Depreciation: −$3,171
• Taxable income: $3,380
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$811
• After-tax cash flow: $4,178/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jonesboro School District
• NCES district ID: 0508280
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $34,347
• Composite: 23.06/100
• National rank: #7967
• State rank: #169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #145
• US rank: #12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jonesboro, AR
• County: Craighead County · 97,185 people
• City population: 91,245
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• Population (ZIP): 42,602
• Household income: $45,329
• Rent vs Own: 51.1% rent · 48.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 122,235 people
• By 2030: 131,338 · +7.4%
• By 2040: 149,862 · +22.6%
• By 2050: 168,034 · +37.5%
• By 2075: 208,094 · +70.2%
• By 2100: 233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -108.25%
• Current HPI: 208.2079
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.64%
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+626.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $109,000 NEABOR MLS
• 2025-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
• 1993-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $374 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.