764 Grand Dale Dr · Lavon, TX 75166

$324,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,877 sqft · Land · 151 Days on market

Built 2025 6,212 sqft lot $173/sqft · 9% below area Est $357k · 9% under $155/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.4/30.0
• ARV discount +11.6/15.0
• DSCR +4.7/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

Key facts

• Covered porch
• 10 sloped ceilings
• Family room

Tags

• COVERED PORCH
• OPEN KITCHEN
• DINING ROOM
• FAMILY ROOM
• 10 SLOPED CEILINGS
• CENTER ISLAND

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $325k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (13.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $280k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.5% in Lavon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#588 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 634 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $280,361 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.62%
• DSCR: 1.07
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $357,471
• List price: $324,990
• Delta: -9.09%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.51×
• Total profit: $-44,906
• Equity at exit: $48,457

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-29,261
• Equity at exit: $28,099

Cash invested: $90,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75166

• Home prices YoY: -9.9%
• Active inventory: 634
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,804 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,704
• Tax from tax record: −$98 /mo · $1,171/yr
• Insurance: −$135
• HOA: −$155
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$589
• Net cashflow: $123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,648

Max offer price $324,990

Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $81,248
• Closing costs: $9,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 25 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
312 Silent Pond Park Unit 312 Lavon, TX	3.0	2.5	2016	$2,900	$1.44	44d	1	0.08mi
759 Gentle Bird Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	2.5	2400	$2,900	$1.21	24d	1	0.23mi
445 Elevon Pkwy Lavon, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1143	$2,029	$1.77	3d	26	0.61mi
344 Cyprus Grove Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	3.0	2353	$2,600	$1.10	24d	1	0.78mi
544 Oak Creek Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	2.0	1800	$2,150	$1.19	19d	1	0.95mi
269 Sunshine Ln Lavon, TX	4.0	3.0	2072	$2,700	$1.30	44d	1	0.97mi
239 Tallgrass Dr Lavon, TX	5.0	3.0	2394	$3,500	$1.46	44d	1	0.98mi
455 Elevon Pkwy Lavon, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1011	$2,033	$2.01	2d	80	1.00mi
613 Daybreak Ln Lavon, TX	3.0	2.5	1905	$2,300	$1.21	44d	1	1.04mi
117 Community Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	3.5	2356	$2,600	$1.10	24d	1	1.07mi
358 Rockstream Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	3.0	2201	$2,395	$1.09	24d	1	1.09mi
849 Good Cheer Ln Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$2,200	$1.51	13d	1	1.09mi
906 Ramble Rd Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$2,675	$1.83	3d	1	1.09mi
918 Ramble Rd Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1604	$1,900	$1.18	44d	1	1.12mi
579 White Water Dr Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1838	$2,000	$1.09	24d	1	1.12mi
860 Moonwake Dr Lavon, TX	4.0	2.5	2011	$2,800	$1.39	44d	1	1.12mi
600 Blooming Glade Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1405	$1,900	$1.35	6d	1	1.12mi
383 Silver Springs Ln Lavon, TX	4.0	3.0	2466	$2,500	$1.01	44d	1	1.14mi
361 Silver Springs Ln Lavon, TX	4.0	3.0	2466	$2,295	$0.93	44d	1	1.15mi
151 Villas Dr Lavon, TX	3.0	1.0–3.0	871	$2,345	$2.69	1d	108	1.38mi
436 Grant Ln Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1755	$2,299	$1.31	4d	1	1.41mi
590 Arthur Dr Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1556	$1,850	$1.19	44d	1	1.45mi
476 Eisenhower Ln Lavon, TX	3.0	2.0	1544	$1,875	$1.21	21d	1	1.45mi
453 Harding Ln Lavon, TX	4.0	2.5	2155	$2,200	$1.02	44d	1	1.46mi
471 Harding Ln Lavon, TX	4.0	2.0	1645	$1,950	$1.19	44d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $155 · $1,860/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-05-12
   status Pending 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

2. 2026-05-06
   price $324,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

3. 2026-04-22
   price $329,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

4. 2026-04-15
   price $334,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

5. 2026-03-18
   price $339,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

6. 2026-03-04
   price $343,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

7. 2026-01-14
   price $344,990 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

8. 2026-01-08
   price $357,904 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

9. 2025-12-12
   listed $356,904 Active 1618-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1618 chars)

   The Shipton is a beautifully designed single-story home that combines thoughtful functionality with elegant simplicity. With 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and open-concept living space, this home offers the flexibility growing families need and the style today’s homeowners love. From the charming covered porch to the wide, welcoming foyer, you’ll feel the warmth of the Shipton’s layout right away. Two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full hallway bath are tucked up front, offering the perfect setup for kids, guests, or even a home office. A third secondary bedroom sits on the opposite side of the home, offering even more privacy and versatility. At the heart of the home, the open kitchen, dining room, and family room come together under 10' sloped ceilings to create a bright, airy space made for entertaining. The kitchen features a center island and abundant cabinetry, while the nearby dining area is enhanced by optional boxed windows to maximize natural light. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the owner’s suite offers a peaceful escape with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and private en-suite bath. Personalize your retreat with available upgrades like a deluxe owner’s bath, bay window, or private water closet for added comfort and luxury. Additional highlights include a convenient laundry room, a dedicated mud room off the 2-car garage, and options for outdoor living with a patio, covered patio, or extended covered patio. Whether you're hosting a holiday meal or relaxing with family on the weekend, the Shipton makes every moment feel like home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,171 · $98/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,947 · $496/mo
• Expected delta: +$4,777/yr (+$398/mo · 408.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,643
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,204
• − Property taxes: −$1,171
• − Insurance: −$1,625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,691
• − Management: −$2,691
• − HOA: −$1,860
• − Depreciation: −$9,454
• Taxable loss: −$4,054
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$973
• After-tax cash flow: $2,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Community ISD
• NCES district ID: 4814850
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $71,841
• Composite: 31.58/100
• National rank: #5951
• State rank: #479 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lavon

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #588
• US rank: #11230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Collin County · 1,159,394 people
• City population: 6,989
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 6,989
• Household income: $132,101
• Rent vs Own: 9.1% rent · 90.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 41.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,210,074 people
• By 2030: 1,358,201 · +12.2%
• By 2040: 1,654,061 · +36.7%
• By 2050: 1,937,359 · +60.1%
• By 2075: 2,567,039 · +112.1%
• By 2100: 2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% Black 7% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

• 2024 margin: R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -24.22%
• Current HPI: 221.0
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-8.9% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $324,990 NTREIS
• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $329,990 NTREIS
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $334,990 NTREIS
• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $339,990 NTREIS
• 2026-03-04 Price Changed $343,990 NTREIS
• 2026-01-14 Price Changed $344,990 NTREIS
• 2026-01-08 Price Changed $357,904 NTREIS
• 2025-12-12 Listed $356,904 NTREIS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,171 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.