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3125 Robert David Dr
F Composite 32.88
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$319,900

3125 Robert David Dr · Coolbaugh, PA 18466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,308 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1986 0.56 ac lot Est $260k · 23% over $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BRIGHT & OPEN 3bd Contemporary Home in a GREAT location close to shopping centers, indoor water parks, casino, & other popular attractions the Poconos has to offer. The LARGE Kitchen has a center island, plenty of cabinet & counter space, & dining area w/ slider to screen porch perfect to relax in with your morning coffee & a nice read. The Dining Area is open to the Kitchen & Living Room w/ high cathedral ceilings perfect for entertainment. This floor also has a VERY CONVENIENT 1ST FLOOR BEDROOM. 2nd floor features 2 bedrooms & a LARGE loft area perfect for extra living space w/ full closet & bath. This home also has electric & propane heating, large detached 2 car garage, & best of all NO DUES AND LOW TAXES! What more can you ask for? CALL TODAY!

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Wooded lot
  • Screened porch

Tags

REMODELED CONTEMPORARY HOMEWOODED LOTWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELARGE CENTER ISLANDUPDATED CABINETRYSCREENED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($250/year); Community amenities include tennis courts and a pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Additional 4 open/off-street paved parking spaces; Driveway; garage faces front
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; One-story layout (above-grade finished area listed)
  • Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass shingle roof; Masonry wood-burning fireplace in living room; Crawl space basement with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Front and rear porches (including screened porch); Deck; Sliding doors; Shed on property; Level, cleared and wooded areas; Front and back yard; Paved road access (private maintained road)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range hood; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric and propane); Ceiling fans; Wall cooling units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Stone countertops; Beamed ceilings; Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork; Bay windows with wood frames; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry on main level (inside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (11.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $243k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $181k; list at $320k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $243,302 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.73%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,292
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6149 Victoria Dr 0.15mi 2/— (-1) 1,308 (0%) 12mo $24,000 $18 78
2150 Geraci Pl 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,468 (+12%) 7mo $293,000 $200 63
252 Coach Rd 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,338 (+2%) 5mo $250,000 $187 62
1026 Seven Nations Dr 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,300 (-1%) 7mo $260,000 $200 59
109 St Regis Walk 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-5%) 1mo $307,000 $246 55
139 Fergus Way 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,456 (+11%) 1mo $285,000 $196 54
3262 Hamlet Dr 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 5mo $260,000 $217 53
409 Northampton Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+9%) 4mo $233,000 $163 51
1581 Belgravia Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+6%) 8mo $312,250 $226 49
3217 Hamlet Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+11%) 3mo $255,000 $176 49
1013 Rob Roy Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (+6%) 3mo $249,000 $179 47
1122 Seven Nations Ln 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-8%) 12mo $239,950 $199 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$14,787
Equity at exit
$132,397
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$84,594
Equity at exit
$195,551

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,433 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,527/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$-204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,691
Max offer price $283,908
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-23 -5% $-113 +0% $-204 +5% $-294 +10% $-385
Rent -10% $-396 -5% $-300 +0% $-204 +5% $-108 +10% $-12
Rate -1.0pp $-43 -0.5pp $-122 base $-204 +0.5pp $-287 +1.0pp $-371

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3262 Hamlet Dr Coolbaugh Township, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,000 $2.50 45d 1 0.45mi
3222 Evergreen Cir Unit B Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,950 $1.50 46d 1 0.62mi
145 Snowshoe Ct Unit 204 Mt Pocono, PA 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 45d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $319,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $319,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $319,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $319,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-10
    listed $319,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,527 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,291 · $358/mo
Expected delta
+$764/yr (+$64/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,196
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$3,527
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,336
− Management
−$2,336
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$8,080
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,939
After-tax cash flow
$-506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coolbaugh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1290.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $319,900 PMAR
  • 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-02 Sold (MLS) $181,000 PMAR
  • 2021-07-08 Listed $169,000 PMAR
  • 2005-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
  • 1985-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,527 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…