3125 Robert David Dr · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BRIGHT & OPEN 3bd Contemporary Home in a GREAT location close to shopping centers, indoor water parks, casino, & other popular attractions the Poconos has to offer. The LARGE Kitchen has a center island, plenty of cabinet & counter space, & dining area w/ slider to screen porch perfect to relax in with your morning coffee & a nice read. The Dining Area is open to the Kitchen & Living Room w/ high cathedral ceilings perfect for entertainment. This floor also has a VERY CONVENIENT 1ST FLOOR BEDROOM. 2nd floor features 2 bedrooms & a LARGE loft area perfect for extra living space w/ full closet & bath. This home also has electric & propane heating, large detached 2 car garage, & best of all NO DUES AND LOW TAXES! What more can you ask for? CALL TODAY!
Key facts
- Large center island
- Wooded lot
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($250/year); Community amenities include tennis courts and a pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Additional 4 open/off-street paved parking spaces; Driveway; garage faces front
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; One-story layout (above-grade finished area listed)
- Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass shingle roof; Masonry wood-burning fireplace in living room; Crawl space basement with sump pump
- Exterior features: Front and rear porches (including screened porch); Deck; Sliding doors; Shed on property; Level, cleared and wooded areas; Front and back yard; Paved road access (private maintained road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range hood; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric and propane); Ceiling fans; Wall cooling units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Stone countertops; Beamed ceilings; Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork; Bay windows with wood frames; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry on main level (inside)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (11.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $181k; list at $320k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.73%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,292
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6149 Victoria Dr | 0.15mi | 2/— (-1) | 1,308 (0%) | 12mo | $24,000 | $18 | 78 |
| 2150 Geraci Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (+12%) | 7mo | $293,000 | $200 | 63 |
| 252 Coach Rd | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,338 (+2%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $187 | 62 |
| 1026 Seven Nations Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (-1%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $200 | 59 |
| 109 St Regis Walk | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-5%) | 1mo | $307,000 | $246 | 55 |
| 139 Fergus Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (+11%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $196 | 54 |
| 3262 Hamlet Dr | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-8%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $217 | 53 |
| 409 Northampton Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+9%) | 4mo | $233,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 1581 Belgravia Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+6%) | 8mo | $312,250 | $226 | 49 |
| 3217 Hamlet Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+11%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 1013 Rob Roy Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+6%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $179 | 47 |
| 1122 Seven Nations Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-8%) | 12mo | $239,950 | $199 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $14,787
- Equity at exit
- $132,397
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $84,594
- Equity at exit
- $195,551
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,527/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $-204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-294 | +10% $-385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-396 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-12 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-43 | -0.5pp $-122 | base $-204 | +0.5pp $-287 | +1.0pp $-371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3262 Hamlet Dr Coolbaugh Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3222 Evergreen Cir Unit B Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 46d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 145 Snowshoe Ct Unit 204 Mt Pocono, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $319,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $319,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$319,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,527 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,291 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- +$764/yr (+$64/mo · 21.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$3,527
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,336
- − Management
- −$2,336
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$8,080
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,939
- After-tax cash flow
- $-506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1290.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $319,900 PMAR
- 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-02 Sold (MLS) $181,000 PMAR
- 2021-07-08 Listed $169,000 PMAR
- 2005-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
- 1985-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,527 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…