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1318 14th Ave
C Composite 59.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1318 14th Ave · Altoona, PA 16601
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,246 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1900 3,049 sqft lot Est $67k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and inviting, the fenced yard is perfect for outdoor entertaining, pets, or play. Enjoy bright and welcoming living spaces, a functional layout, and plenty of room to make lasting memories. The private backyard provides a peaceful retreat with endless possibilities for gardening, relaxation, or gatherings with family and friends. Conveniently located near local amenities, this delightful property is ready to welcome its next owner home.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Private backyard
  • Local amenities

Tags

FENCED YARDPRIVATE BACKYARDLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Chain link fencing; Cleared and sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Dehumidifier; Basement; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $80k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.58%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,284
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1710 16th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,215 (-2%) 11mo $8,000 $7 70
1406 Washington Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,136 (-9%) 2mo $28,500 $25 68
2109 9th St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 5mo $122,500 $102 60
2015 12th Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,309 (+5%) 5mo $80,000 $61 57
921 6th Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,172 (-6%) 1mo $13,000 $11 57
1811 5th St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+1%) 12mo $142,500 $113 52
303 Cherry Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-1%) 11mo $64,995 $53 51
2501 15th St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,370 (+10%) 0mo $122,500 $89 46
2028 11th Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,102 (-12%) 6mo $60,000 $54 44
2020 16th Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,419 (+14%) 3mo $125,000 $88 41
2221 11th Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,376 (+10%) 8mo $38,000 $28 39
505 21st Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,100 (-12%) 14mo $33,450 $30 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$7,909
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$33,676
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16601

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $277/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1430 $899 $0.63 43d 1 0.25mi
1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.5 1050 $850 $0.81 43d 1 0.41mi
201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1244 $790 $0.64 43d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $80,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    remarks 449-char remark
  15. 2026-06-03
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$277 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$770 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$494/yr (+$41/mo · 178.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,215
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$277
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$977
− Management
−$977
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$666
After-tax cash flow
$3,273/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Altoona

Score
79/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#2060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altoona, PA
County
Blair County · 59,867 people
City population
59,867
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,515
Household income
$58,070
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
715.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.97%
Current HPI
183.9907
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+962.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $85,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $60,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $65,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $70,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $75,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $80,000 AHARMLS
  • 2008-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $277 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…