3435 W Price Blvd · North Port, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$309,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom contemporary modern home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. Built with quality and comfort in mind, it features tile flooring throughout, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hurricane impact windows for peace of mind. The open kitchen and living area offer a clean, modern feel with plenty of natural light. The primary suite includes a tiled walk-in shower, soaking tub, and a large walk-in closet. The second bathroom is also fully tiled and easy to maintain. All ceiling fans and lighting fixtures are installed, so there's nothing left to do but move in. Outside, you'll find a pavered driveway and simple, modern curb appeal. Located just minutes from shopping, restaurants, and with quick access to the highway. You're also a short drive from beautiful beaches and popular amusement parks
Key facts
- Tiled walk-in shower
- Tile flooring
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $309k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 837 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 346 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $309k implies a 5050% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 346 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.42%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-26,104
- Equity at exit
- $46,073
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-6,565
- Equity at exit
- $26,717
Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34286
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 837
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,886 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,620
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $816/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$606
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,250
- Closing costs
- $9,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3428 W Price Blvd North Port, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,470 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1450 Front Pl North Port, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $2,635 | $2.33 | 1d | 15 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $309,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $309,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $309,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $309,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $309,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $309,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $309,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $309,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $309,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2025-09-12price $309,000 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
This brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom contemporary modern home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. Built with quality and comfort in mind, it features tile flooring throughout, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hurricane impact windows for peace of mind. The open kitchen and living area offer a clean, modern feel with plenty of natural light. The primary suite includes a tiled walk-in shower, soaking tub, and a large walk-in closet. The second bathroom is also fully tiled and easy to maintain. All ceiling fans and lighting fixtures are installed, so there's nothing left to do but move in. Outside, you'll find a pavered driveway and simple, modern curb appeal. Located just minutes from shopping, restaurants, and with quick access to the highway. You're also a short drive from beautiful beaches and popular amusement parks
-
2025-07-25price $319,000 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
This brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom contemporary modern home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. Built with quality and comfort in mind, it features tile flooring throughout, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hurricane impact windows for peace of mind. The open kitchen and living area offer a clean, modern feel with plenty of natural light. The primary suite includes a tiled walk-in shower, soaking tub, and a large walk-in closet. The second bathroom is also fully tiled and easy to maintain. All ceiling fans and lighting fixtures are installed, so there's nothing left to do but move in. Outside, you'll find a pavered driveway and simple, modern curb appeal. Located just minutes from shopping, restaurants, and with quick access to the highway. You're also a short drive from beautiful beaches and popular amusement parks
-
2025-07-07$329,000 Active 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
This brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom contemporary modern home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. Built with quality and comfort in mind, it features tile flooring throughout, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and hurricane impact windows for peace of mind. The open kitchen and living area offer a clean, modern feel with plenty of natural light. The primary suite includes a tiled walk-in shower, soaking tub, and a large walk-in closet. The second bathroom is also fully tiled and easy to maintain. All ceiling fans and lighting fixtures are installed, so there's nothing left to do but move in. Outside, you'll find a pavered driveway and simple, modern curb appeal. Located just minutes from shopping, restaurants, and with quick access to the highway. You're also a short drive from beautiful beaches and popular amusement parks
-
2024-12-11soldstatus $6,000
-
2023-09-22soldstatus $6,000
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2021-08-02historical
-
2021-06-23price $29,990
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2021-06-22$29,900 Active
-
2021-03-22soldstatus $22,000
-
2021-03-05soldstatus $22,000 Sold
-
2021-02-12status Pending
-
2021-01-26$22,500 Active
-
2007-03-29soldstatus $28,000
-
2005-02-11soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,565 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,748/yr (+$146/mo · 214.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,309
- − Property taxes
- −$816
- − Insurance
- −$1,545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,771
- − Management
- −$2,771
- − Depreciation
- −$8,989
- Taxable income
- $433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$104
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Port, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 75,324
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,534
- Household income
- $80,553
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.36%
- Current HPI
- 297.3707
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+782.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $309,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-07 Listed $329,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-23 Price Changed $29,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-22 Listed $29,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) $22,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-26 Listed $22,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $816 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…