CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
16 Gary Way
B Composite 71.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,000

16 Gary Way · Peru, NY 12901
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 875 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

Key facts

  • Built 1996
  • Listed 874 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.5% in Peru — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#390 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Peru Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #483 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 875 days — a 12% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $65,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 875 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.16%
Cash-on-cash
42.37%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$34,632
Equity at exit
$11,034
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$90,258
Equity at exit
$6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12901

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,573 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$732

Break-even live

Break-even rent $647
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,000 Active 875 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 874 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 873 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 872 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 871 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,000 Active 869 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 868 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,000 Active 866 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,000 Active 865 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,000 Active 864 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,000 Active 863 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,000 Active 859 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,000 Active 858 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,000 Active 857 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,000 Active 856 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,000 Active 855 DOM
  17. 2026-02-24
    price $74,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

  18. 2025-10-28
    price $76,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

  19. 2025-07-31
    price $78,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

  20. 2024-10-19
    price $80,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

  21. 2024-05-13
    price $85,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

  22. 2024-01-25
    listed $89,000 Active 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,882
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$8,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,940
After-tax cash flow
$6,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This newly remodeled 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom manufactured home in South Acres Mobile Home Park is in excellent condition with recent updates to flooring, cabinets, and appliances. It is move-in ready and offers a good return on investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Install new outdoor faucets — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Install new outdoor faucets — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peru Central School District
NCES district ID
3622830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$59,762
Composite
36.62/100
National rank
#4621
State rank
#483 of 590 in NY

Livability — Peru

Score
71/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#6741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
32,012

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,791 people
By 2030
76,848 · -2.5%
By 2040
71,579 · -9.2%
By 2050
66,471 · -15.6%
By 2075
57,361 · -27.2%
By 2100
47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.55%
Current HPI
252.8692
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $74,000 ACVMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $76,000 ACVMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $78,000 ACVMLS
  • 2024-10-19 Price Changed $80,000 ACVMLS
  • 2024-05-13 Price Changed $85,000 ACVMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Listed $89,000 ACVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…