16 Gary Way · Peru, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
Key facts
- Built 1996
- Listed 874 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.5% in Peru — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#390 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Peru Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #483 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 875 days — a 12% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 875 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.37%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $34,632
- Equity at exit
- $11,034
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $90,258
- Equity at exit
- $6,398
Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12901
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,573 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $732
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,500
- Closing costs
- $2,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,000 Active 875 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $74,000 Active 874 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,000 Active 873 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 872 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 871 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $74,000 Active 869 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,000 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,000 Active 866 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,000 Active 865 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $74,000 Active 864 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,000 Active 863 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $74,000 Active 859 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $74,000 Active 858 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,000 Active 857 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $74,000 Active 856 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $74,000 Active 855 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $74,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
-
2025-10-28price $76,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
-
2025-07-31price $78,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
-
2024-10-19price $80,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
-
2024-05-13price $85,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
-
2024-01-25$89,000 Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Newly remodeled 3 bed 1.5 bath manufactured home in the South Acres Mobile Home Park. Open concept kitchen/living room. Updates include new flooring, kitchen cabinets and counters, appliances, electrical and light fixtures. Listing is for home only. Park application approval required. Lot rent is $370/mo (subject to change) and includes trash removal, snow removal from main roads, water and sewer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,145
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$2,153
- Taxable income
- $8,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,940
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,840/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This newly remodeled 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom manufactured home in South Acres Mobile Home Park is in excellent condition with recent updates to flooring, cabinets, and appliances. It is move-in ready and offers a good return on investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
- Both Install new outdoor faucets — Enhances curb appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Install new outdoor faucets — Enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peru Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,762
- Composite
- 36.62/100
- National rank
- #4621
- State rank
- #483 of 590 in NY
Livability — Peru
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #390
- US rank
- #6741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,012
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,791 people
- By 2030
- 76,848 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,579 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 66,471 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 57,361 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 47,232 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.55%
- Current HPI
- 252.8692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-16.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $74,000 ACVMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $76,000 ACVMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $78,000 ACVMLS
- 2024-10-19 Price Changed $80,000 ACVMLS
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $85,000 ACVMLS
- 2024-01-25 Listed $89,000 ACVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…