6860 N 31st Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home in poor condition. Needs some "fixin". Plently of positives. Newer roof, vinyl siding, great lot etc. Priced to sell quickly. Has potential & would cash flow well. This was pending buy buyer go cold feel. All Investors & Agents please submit new offers.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1946; One-story entry with main floor living spaces; Not new / not a model home
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Lot up to 1/4 acre (approx. 47 x 120)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main floor; Additional bedrooms on the main floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Minne Lusa Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #496 of 502 statewide, top 99%, 328 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $145k implies a 857% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.65%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,157
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -23.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3702 Summit St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,621 (+0%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $117 | 70 |
| 3442 Martin Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,510 (-7%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $119 | 67 |
| 3454 Martin Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (-7%) | 5mo | $203,000 | $135 | 66 |
| 2442 Mary St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+0%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $77 | 65 |
| 2881 Vane St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-13%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 2874 Ida St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,387 (-14%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 7524 N 34th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,710 (+6%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $102 | 56 |
| 6520 N 33 St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-13%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $107 | 55 |
| 2452 Mary St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+10%) | 0mo | $226,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 2565 Newport Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,494 (-8%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $157 | 52 |
| 7531 N 34th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,475 (-9%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $102 | 48 |
| 3927 Read St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,797 (+11%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $120 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-11,299
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,945
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68112
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,521 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,279/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $273 | -5% $232 | +0% $191 | +5% $150 | +10% $109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $131 | +0% $191 | +5% $251 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $228 | base $191 | +0.5pp $153 | +1.0pp $115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3030 Ernst St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2723 Newport Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3501 Weber Cir Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 11d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6124 N 30th St Unit STREET2 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,075 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3901 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2436 Laurel Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1582 | $1,495 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4655 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-30$145,000 New 381-char remark
-
2011-04-29soldstatus $15,150 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Home in poor condition. Needs some "fixin". Plently of positives. Newer roof, vinyl siding, great lot etc. Priced to sell quickly. Has potential & would cash flow well. This was pending buy buyer go cold feel. All Investors & Agents please submit new offers.
-
2011-04-20historical 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Home in poor condition. Needs some "fixin". Plently of positives. Newer roof, vinyl siding, great lot etc. Priced to sell quickly. Has potential & would cash flow well. This was pending buy buyer go cold feel. All Investors & Agents please submit new offers.
-
2011-03-30$13,900 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
Home in poor condition. Needs some "fixin". Plently of positives. Newer roof, vinyl siding, great lot etc. Priced to sell quickly. Has potential & would cash flow well. This was pending buy buyer go cold feel. All Investors & Agents please submit new offers.
-
2010-12-01historical
-
2010-10-01$90,000
-
2007-06-21soldstatus $109,000
-
2007-06-18soldstatus $109,109
-
2007-01-23$109,500
-
2002-08-30soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,279 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,508 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$229/yr (+$19/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,279
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,460
- − Management
- −$1,460
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$10
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,071
- Household income
- $56,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 385.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.85%
- Current HPI
- 254.385
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+154.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $145,000 GPRMLS
- 2011-04-29 Sold (MLS) $15,150 GPRMLS
- 2011-04-20 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2011-03-30 Listed $13,900 GPRMLS
- 2010-12-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2010-10-01 Listed $90,000 GPRMLS
- 2007-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-18 Sold (MLS) $109,109 GPRMLS
- 2007-01-23 Listed $109,500 GPRMLS
- 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,279 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…