31 W 8th St · Kiowa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SUPER CUTE HOME IN KIOWA! THIS LITTLE NUMBER HAS SO MUCH CHARM!!! 2 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATH WITH MANY UPDATES! IT'S PLENTY SPACIOUS AND MOVE IN READY! CONVENIENTLY LOCATED CLOSE TO CITY HALL, DOLLAR GENERAL, POST OFFICE, DINING & MORE! GIVE ME A CALL TODAY TO SCHEDULE YOUR VIEWING!!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 72 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Entry on crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Crawlspace foundation; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Other interior features; Aluminum frame windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($944 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#363 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Kiowa (rural): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #147 of 513 in OK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.38%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 420 Taylor St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (-8%) | 3mo | $61,500 | $65 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $36,253
- Equity at exit
- $51,128
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $96,798
- Equity at exit
- $93,503
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74553
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $944 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $221 | +0% $194 | +5% $166 | +10% $138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $156 | +0% $194 | +5% $231 | +10% $268 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $214 | base $194 | +0.5pp $173 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$79,900 Active
-
2026-03-22historical
-
2025-09-22$79,900 Active
-
2025-09-21historical
-
2025-03-24$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,117
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$268
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in fair condition with moderate rehab needed. It has potential for increased value with exterior painting and kitchen/bathroom updates.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and cluttered
- Minor bathroom — small and cluttered
- Minor exterior siding — some peeling
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both update kitchen and bathroom — modernizes spaces and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and cluttered | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom · small and cluttered | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · some peeling | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both update kitchen and bathroom — modernizes spaces and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kiowa
- NCES district ID
- 4016650
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,966
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #10386
- State rank
- #147 of 513 in OK
Livability — Kiowa
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #19301
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kiowa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,374
Population outlook (Pittsburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,795 people
- By 2030
- 41,901 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 40,680 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 39,952 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 38,858 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 36,031 · -15.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 26% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.0) · D 19.8% · R 78.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -59.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.0 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+36.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Current HPI
- 288.3942
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-22 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-22 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-21 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-24 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…