321 N Chicago Ave · Brazil, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,249
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Large kitchen
- 0.38 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.6% in Brazil — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#308 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clay Community Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #79 of 301 in IN (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $424 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 618 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 618 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.37%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,789
- List price
- $61,249
- Delta
- -62.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1095 Waterford Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-0%) | 0mo | $289,900 | $190 | 64 |
| 122 N Leavitt St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,434 (-6%) | 19mo | $103,900 | $72 | 62 |
| 3816 W State Road 340 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (-10%) | 12mo | $212,000 | $155 | 53 |
| 215 N Hoosier St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (-13%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 703 W National Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,758 (+15%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $68 | 46 |
| 1008 N Walnut St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-1%) | 24mo | $130,000 | $86 | 46 |
| 1002 W White Tail Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+10%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $149 | 41 |
| 611 S Walnut St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,682 (+10%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $71 | 40 |
| 612 N Forest Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,355 (-12%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $92 | 34 |
| 30 W Pinckley St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,330 (-13%) | 22mo | $35,000 | $26 | 32 |
| 926 N Indiana St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-5%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $113 | 32 |
| 507 N Lambert St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,733 (+13%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $61 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $7,718
- Equity at exit
- $9,132
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $29,471
- Equity at exit
- $5,296
Cash invested: $17,150 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47834
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$321
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $878/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $312 | -5% $294 | +0% $277 | +5% $260 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $207 | -5% $242 | +0% $277 | +5% $312 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $292 | base $277 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $245 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,312
- Closing costs
- $1,837
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $61,249 Active 618 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $61,249 Active 617 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $61,249 Active 616 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $61,249 Active 615 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $61,249 Active 614 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $61,249 Active 612 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $61,249 Active 611 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $61,249 Active 609 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $61,249 Active 608 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $61,249 Active 607 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $61,249 Active 606 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $61,249 Active 603 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $61,249 Active 601 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $61,249 Active 600 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,249 Active 599 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $61,249 Active 598 DOM
-
2026-04-13status Active 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.
-
2025-12-22price $61,249 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.
-
2025-09-05price $61,750 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.
-
2024-10-10$65,000 Active 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,431
- − Property taxes
- −$878
- − Insurance
- −$306
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$847
- − Management
- −$847
- − Depreciation
- −$1,782
- Taxable income
- $2,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$598
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clay Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1800840
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,673
- Composite
- 40.39/100
- National rank
- #3733
- State rank
- #79 of 301 in IN
Livability — Brazil
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #308
- US rank
- #12163
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brazil, IN
- City population
- 18,773
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,773
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,820 people
- By 2030
- 25,182 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 23,562 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 21,829 · -15.5%
- By 2075
- 17,939 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 14,042 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.9) · D 20.7% · R 77.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.9 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+11.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.68%
- Current HPI
- 223.6707
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $61,249 IRMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $61,750 IRMLS
- 2024-10-10 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2024): $878 · +35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…