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321 N Chicago Ave
B- Composite 69.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$61,249

321 N Chicago Ave · Brazil, IN 47834
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,531 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 618 Days on market
Built 1920 0.38 ac lot $40/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Large kitchen
  • 0.38 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDLARGE KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $61k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.6% in Brazil — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#308 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clay Community Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #79 of 301 in IN (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $424 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 618 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $53,899 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 618 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.37%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,789
List price
$61,249
Delta
-62.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1095 Waterford Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,525 (-0%) 0mo $289,900 $190 64
122 N Leavitt St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,434 (-6%) 19mo $103,900 $72 62
3816 W State Road 340 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (-10%) 12mo $212,000 $155 53
215 N Hoosier St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (-13%) 13mo $160,000 $120 50
703 W National Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,758 (+15%) 22mo $120,000 $68 46
1008 N Walnut St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,512 (-1%) 24mo $130,000 $86 46
1002 W White Tail Ct 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+10%) 24mo $250,000 $149 41
611 S Walnut St 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,682 (+10%) 16mo $120,000 $71 40
612 N Forest Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,355 (-12%) 22mo $125,000 $92 34
30 W Pinckley St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,330 (-13%) 22mo $35,000 $26 32
926 N Indiana St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-5%) 21mo $165,000 $113 32
507 N Lambert St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,733 (+13%) 6mo $105,000 $61 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$7,718
Equity at exit
$9,132
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$29,471
Equity at exit
$5,296

Cash invested: $17,150 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47834

Home prices YoY
-20.8%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$321
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $878/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $531
Max offer price $61,249
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $312 -5% $294 +0% $277 +5% $260 +10% $242
Rent -10% $207 -5% $242 +0% $277 +5% $312 +10% $347
Rate -1.0pp $308 -0.5pp $292 base $277 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,312
Closing costs
$1,837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $61,249 Active 618 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,249 Active 617 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,249 Active 616 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $61,249 Active 615 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $61,249 Active 614 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $61,249 Active 612 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,249 Active 611 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $61,249 Active 609 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $61,249 Active 608 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $61,249 Active 607 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $61,249 Active 606 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $61,249 Active 603 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,249 Active 601 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,249 Active 600 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,249 Active 599 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $61,249 Active 598 DOM
  17. 2026-04-13
    status Active 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.

  18. 2025-12-22
    price $61,249 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.

  19. 2025-09-05
    price $61,750 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.

  20. 2024-10-10
    listed $65,000 Active 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Large home, spacious yard, large kitchen. Will need repaired/remodeled for occupancy. No government loans.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$878 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$878 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,583
− Mortgage interest
−$3,431
− Property taxes
−$878
− Insurance
−$306
− Repairs & maintenance
−$847
− Management
−$847
− Depreciation
−$1,782
Taxable income
$2,493
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$598
After-tax cash flow
$2,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay Community Schools
NCES district ID
1800840
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,673
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3733
State rank
#79 of 301 in IN

Livability — Brazil

Score
66/100
State rank
#308
US rank
#12163

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brazil, IN
City population
18,773
Population (ZIP)
18,773

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,820 people
By 2030
25,182 · -2.5%
By 2040
23,562 · -8.7%
By 2050
21,829 · -15.5%
By 2075
17,939 · -30.5%
By 2100
14,042 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 20.7% · R 77.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-45.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+11.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.68%
Current HPI
223.6707
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $61,249 IRMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $61,750 IRMLS
  • 2024-10-10 Listed $65,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $878 · +35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…