5430 Margo Ln · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity in the heart of Beaumont.
Key facts
- Parking
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range (stove)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range (stove) included; Wood flooring; Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.75%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,874
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4466 Singleton Rd | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $88 | 69 |
| 5220 Allen Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+11%) | 11mo | $169,500 | $149 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $11,232
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $42,153
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77708
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $392
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1442 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1496 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5080 Helbig Rd Beaumont, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $750 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1019 | $1,849 | $1.81 | 13d | 10 | 0.74mi |
| 4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4636 Collier St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,030 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5070 Wilshire St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,295 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6161 Sienna TRL Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $1,129 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3995 Crow Rd Unit 201 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3925 Crow Rd Unit 49 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1306 | $1,325 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4325 Woodlawn St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $999 | $1.10 | 13d | 9 | 1.05mi |
| 4565 Detroit St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $995 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3270 Christopher St Beaumont, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,290 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5740 Northwest Pkwy Beaumont, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $1,499 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2550 Pierce St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2530 Pierce St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5550 Folsom Dr Beaumont, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $1,751 | $2.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2420 Wilson St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5356 Old Dowlen Rd Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2450 N Lynwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,175 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 54-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,110
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- City population
- 125,901
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,398
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.07%
- Current HPI
- 171.4951
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 BBOR
- 2020-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-03-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-09-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,110 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…