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5430 Margo Ln
B Composite 74.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

5430 Margo Ln · Beaumont, TX 77708
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1962 Est $153k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in the heart of Beaumont.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range (stove)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range (stove) included; Wood flooring; Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
11.82%
Cash-on-cash
19.75%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,874
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4466 Singleton Rd 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+5%) 5mo $95,000 $88 69
5220 Allen Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+11%) 11mo $169,500 $149 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$11,232
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$42,153
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77708

Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $832
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1442 $1,500 $1.04 23d 1 0.12mi
5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,575 $1.05 43d 1 0.18mi
5080 Helbig Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 775 $750 $0.97 13d 1 0.50mi
3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,200 $0.98 23d 1 0.51mi
3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1019 $1,849 $1.81 13d 10 0.74mi
4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1121 $1,150 $1.03 43d 1 0.74mi
4636 Collier St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 969 $1,030 $1.06 43d 1 0.75mi
3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,350 $0.97 43d 1 0.76mi
5070 Wilshire St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1042 $1,295 $1.24 13d 1 0.81mi
6161 Sienna TRL Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1003 $1,129 $1.13 43d 1 0.86mi
3995 Crow Rd Unit 201 Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1162 $1,550 $1.33 43d 1 0.87mi
3925 Crow Rd Unit 49 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1306 $1,325 $1.01 43d 1 0.92mi
4325 Woodlawn St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,000 $0.87 13d 1 0.96mi
3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 905 $999 $1.10 13d 9 1.05mi
4565 Detroit St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $995 $1.13 44d 1 1.07mi
2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,800 $1.24 13d 1 1.21mi
3270 Christopher St Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.0 1208 $1,290 $1.07 43d 1 1.26mi
5740 Northwest Pkwy Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 884 $1,499 $1.69 13d 1 1.27mi
2550 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $1,050 $1.01 43d 1 1.30mi
2530 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 1.31mi
2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,450 $1.06 23d 1 1.31mi
5550 Folsom Dr Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 756 $1,751 $2.32 23d 1 1.32mi
2420 Wilson St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 43d 1 1.33mi
5356 Old Dowlen Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1112 $1,350 $1.21 43d 1 1.36mi
2450 N Lynwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,175 $1.16 23d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 54-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,110 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,110 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,928
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$2,110
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,611
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$867
After-tax cash flow
$3,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
City population
125,901
Population (ZIP)
12,398

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.07%
Current HPI
171.4951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 BBOR
  • 2020-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-09-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,110 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…