4901 Lathrop Rd. #11 Rd · Evansville, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Like new 2022 built 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering modern finishes, low-maintenance living, and true move in ready convenience. This bright and inviting 1,216 sq ft home features an open concept floor plan, abundant natural light, and no carpet throughout for easy cleaning and everyday comfort. The spacious primary suite provides a private retreat with its own bathroom, while the modern kitchen showcases stainless steel appliances, ample cabinet storage, and a functional layout perfect for daily living and entertaining. Enjoy year-round comfort with efficient forced-air gas heat and central A/C. Outside, the included storage shed provides extra space for tools, hobbies, and seasonal items. Located on a rented lot, this newer manufactured home offers an affordable opportunity to enjoy modern amenities, stylish finishes, and low-maintenance living without sacrificing comfort. Schedule your private showing today with Terri Sossaman at RE/MAX The Group — call or text 307-267-7103.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Spacious kitchen
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 5.0% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #128 of 151 statewide, top 86%, 459 students, 67% FRL); Centennial Middle School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D+, #40 of 55 statewide, top 72%, 796 students, 31% FRL); Kelly Walsh High School (math 49% / reading 60%, grade C-, #18 of 75 statewide, top 30%, 2,051 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.36%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,000
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -23.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Hills Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $58 | 96 |
| 838 Cheney Loop | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+4%) | 1mo | $479,900 | $381 | 59 |
| 460 5th St St | 1.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-4%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $311 | 56 |
| 637 Bozeman Trl | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 4mo | $299,000 | $267 | 48 |
| 647 Bozeman Trl | 1.47mi | 3/1.8 | 1,107 (-9%) | 2mo | $308,000 | $278 | 48 |
| 502 Thelma Dr | 1.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,439 (+18%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $226 | 40 |
| 310 S Forest Dr | 1.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $237 | 38 |
| 230 S Forest Dr | 1.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $237 | 36 |
| 3931 Dorset Ct Ct | 1.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (+24%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $183 | 36 |
| 970 Park Ln | 1.41mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-21%) | 1mo | $33,000 | $34 | 35 |
| 468 King St | 1.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-12%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $207 | 35 |
| 653 7th St | 1.40mi | 3/3.0 | 1,455 (+20%) | 4mo | $269,000 | $185 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $28,056
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $78,150
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 102.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $90,000 ($77/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 83 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 82636
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $654
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $712 | -5% $683 | +0% $654 | +5% $625 | +10% $596 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $530 | -5% $592 | +0% $654 | +5% $716 | +10% $777 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $696 | -0.5pp $675 | base $654 | +0.5pp $632 | +1.0pp $610 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5200 Blackmore Rd Casper, WY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $2,592 | $2.38 | 1d | 40 | 0.65mi |
| 760 Landmark Dr Casper, WY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $900 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerNatural gas available
- Home design
- Residential mobile homeManufactured/mobile detached
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- DeckLocated on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRefrigeratorRangeOven
- Flooring
- VinylCarpet
- Heating & cooling
- Central airForced air heating
- Interior features
- DishwasherRefrigeratorRangeOven
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $84,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $84,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $84,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $84,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $84,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $84,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $84,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $84,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $84,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $84,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $84,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $84,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $84,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $84,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $84,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $84,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $84,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $84,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $84,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $84,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $84,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $84,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $84,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $84,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $84,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $84,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $84,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $84,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $84,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $84,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $84,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $84,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $84,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $84,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-07pricedays on market $84,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $83,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $83,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $83,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $83,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $83,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $83,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $83,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $83,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $83,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $83,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $83,000 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,500
- − Management
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $6,921
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior trim and cleaning gutters would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Natrona County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5604510
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,217
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3437
- State rank
- #32 of 41 in WY
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #9711
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, WY
- County
- Natrona · 98,530 people
- Metro
- Casper, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,856
- Household income
- $82,592
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,530 people
- By 2030
- 107,084 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 124,838 · +26.7%
- By 2050
- 143,617 · +45.8%
- By 2075
- 192,378 · +95.2%
- By 2100
- 228,435 · +131.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Natrona
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.77%
- Current HPI
- 195.2252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-06 Listed $84,000 WMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $83,000 WMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…