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4901 Lathrop Rd. #11 Rd
B+ Composite 75.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.6

$84,000

4901 Lathrop Rd. #11 Rd · Evansville, WY 82636
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 48 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2022 Good condition $69/sqft · 24% below area Est $110k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Like new 2022 built 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering modern finishes, low-maintenance living, and true move in ready convenience. This bright and inviting 1,216 sq ft home features an open concept floor plan, abundant natural light, and no carpet throughout for easy cleaning and everyday comfort. The spacious primary suite provides a private retreat with its own bathroom, while the modern kitchen showcases stainless steel appliances, ample cabinet storage, and a functional layout perfect for daily living and entertaining. Enjoy year-round comfort with efficient forced-air gas heat and central A/C. Outside, the included storage shed provides extra space for tools, hobbies, and seasonal items. Located on a rented lot, this newer manufactured home offers an affordable opportunity to enjoy modern amenities, stylish finishes, and low-maintenance living without sacrificing comfort. Schedule your private showing today with Terri Sossaman at RE/MAX The Group — call or text 307-267-7103.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Large island

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS KITCHENABUNDANT CABINETRYGENEROUS COUNTER SPACELARGE ISLANDWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 5.0% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #128 of 151 statewide, top 86%, 459 students, 67% FRL); Centennial Middle School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D+, #40 of 55 statewide, top 72%, 796 students, 31% FRL); Kelly Walsh High School (math 49% / reading 60%, grade C-, #18 of 75 statewide, top 30%, 2,051 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,480 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.63%
Cash-on-cash
33.36%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,000
List price
$84,000
Delta
-23.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29 Hills Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 3mo $70,000 $58 96
838 Cheney Loop 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+4%) 1mo $479,900 $381 59
460 5th St St 1.20mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-4%) 4mo $365,000 $311 56
637 Bozeman Trl 1.46mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 4mo $299,000 $267 48
647 Bozeman Trl 1.47mi 3/1.8 1,107 (-9%) 2mo $308,000 $278 48
502 Thelma Dr 1.15mi 3/2.0 1,439 (+18%) 0mo $325,000 $226 40
310 S Forest Dr 1.41mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-13%) 1mo $249,900 $237 38
230 S Forest Dr 1.39mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-13%) 3mo $250,000 $237 36
3931 Dorset Ct Ct 1.16mi 3/2.0 1,502 (+24%) 4mo $275,000 $183 36
970 Park Ln 1.41mi 3/1.0 960 (-21%) 1mo $33,000 $34 35
468 King St 1.08mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-12%) 6mo $220,000 $207 35
653 7th St 1.40mi 3/3.0 1,455 (+20%) 4mo $269,000 $185 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$28,056
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$78,150
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
17 active · 2 under contract
Months of supply
102.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$90,000 ($77/sqft)
Median days on market
83 d
This list price
6% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+17.1% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 82636

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax est. 1.5%
$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$654

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $712 -5% $683 +0% $654 +5% $625 +10% $596
Rent -10% $530 -5% $592 +0% $654 +5% $716 +10% $777
Rate -1.0pp $696 -0.5pp $675 base $654 +0.5pp $632 +1.0pp $610

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5200 Blackmore Rd Casper, WY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1088 $2,592 $2.38 1d 40 0.65mi
760 Landmark Dr Casper, WY 1.0–2.0 1.0 719 $900 $1.25 1d 1 0.86mi

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
No garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerNatural gas available
Home design
Residential mobile homeManufactured/mobile detached
Construction
Vinyl siding
Exterior features
DeckLocated on a cul-de-sac

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRefrigeratorRangeOven
Flooring
VinylCarpet
Heating & cooling
Central airForced air heating
Interior features
DishwasherRefrigeratorRangeOven

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $84,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $84,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $84,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $84,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $84,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $84,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $84,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $84,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $84,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $84,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $84,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $84,000 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $84,000 Active 22 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $84,000 Active 19 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $84,000 Active 18 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $84,000 Active 17 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $84,000 Active 16 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $84,000 Active 14 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $84,000 Active 13 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 12 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 11 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $84,000 Active 10 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 9 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $84,000 Active 8 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 7 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $84,000 Active 6 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $84,000 Active 5 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $84,000 Active 4 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $84,000 Active 3 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $84,000 Active 2 DOM
  39. 2026-08-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $84,000 Active 1 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $83,000 Active 76 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $83,000 Active 75 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $83,000 Active 74 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $83,000 Active 73 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $83,000 Active 70 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $83,000 Active 69 DOM
  46. 2026-07-29
    days on market $83,000 Active 68 DOM
  47. 2026-07-27
    days on market $83,000 Active 66 DOM
  48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $83,000 Active 64 DOM
  49. 2026-07-23
    days on market $83,000 Active 62 DOM
  50. 2026-07-22
    days on market $83,000 Active 61 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,750
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,260
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,500
− Management
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$6,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,661
After-tax cash flow
$6,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,080–$18,240 screening

This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior trim and cleaning gutters would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 51/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Woods Learning Center F WY #118/151 Nat'l #19,648/41,679 Middle Casper Classical Academy B WY #20/55 Nat'l #1,836/14,009 High Kelly Walsh High School C- WY #18/75 Nat'l #4,461/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natrona County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604510
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,217
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3437
State rank
#32 of 41 in WY
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Evansville

Score
68/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#9711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, WY
County
Natrona · 98,530 people
Metro
Casper, WY
Population (ZIP)
3,856
Household income
$82,592
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own

Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,530 people
By 2030
107,084 · +8.7%
By 2040
124,838 · +26.7%
By 2050
143,617 · +45.8%
By 2075
192,378 · +95.2%
By 2100
228,435 · +131.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Natrona

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-08-06 Listed $84,000 WMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $83,000 WMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…