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219 Hagan Ave S
D- Composite 39.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$272,693

219 Hagan Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,243 sqft · SingleFamily · 718 Days on market
Built 2024 Est $281k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Indoor laundry room
  • Garage
  • Built 2024

Tags

INDOOR LAUNDRY ROOMCOUNTERTOP BREAKFAST BAREXPANSIVE BACKYARD VIEW

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 219 Hagan Ave S, Lehigh Acres, FL 33974; Status: Active
  • Financial info: List price $272,693

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
  • Home design: Single-family property (Palm plan); Spec inventory type

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Living area of 1,243

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-440 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (32.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 718 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,881 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 718 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.91%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,918
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Homewood Ave S 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-8%) 10mo $259,000 $225 66
314 Lenz Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+7%) 12mo $300,000 $226 65
729 Palmer St E 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,291 (+4%) 13mo $298,000 $231 58
328 Larose Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+2%) 13mo $293,000 $231 55
353 Bradley Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+7%) 11mo $300,000 $226 46
873 Spaulding St E 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+13%) 9mo $278,000 $197 38
748 Testerman Ct 0.66mi 3/3.0 1,060 (-15%) 20mo $300,000 $283 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$115,175
Equity at exit
$245,663
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$351,656
Equity at exit
$529,783

Cash invested: $76,354 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,430
Tax est. 1.5%
$341 /mo · $4,090/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,385
Max offer price $209,059
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-251 -5% $-346 +0% $-440 +5% $-534 +10% $-628
Rent -10% $-584 -5% $-512 +0% $-440 +5% $-368 +10% $-295
Rate -1.0pp $-302 -0.5pp $-370 base $-440 +0.5pp $-510 +1.0pp $-582

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,173
Closing costs
$8,181
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,300 $1.17 4d 1 0.38mi
350 Limerick Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,800 $1.50 4d 1 0.45mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 15d 1 0.46mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 4d 1 0.46mi
718 Sunrise Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,610 $1.46 24d 1 0.54mi
759 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,950 $1.67 4d 1 0.54mi
388 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,780 $1.48 24d 1 0.61mi
455 Bell Blvd Unit 1 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1142 $1,600 $1.40 24d 1 0.86mi
713 Cardinal St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,635 $1.49 4d 1 0.87mi
382 McArthur Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $2,200 $2.09 24d 1 0.88mi
201 Fireside Ct Unit N/A Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1370 $1,675 $1.22 3d 1 0.93mi
201 Fireside Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1370 $1,550 $1.13 3d 1 0.93mi
217 Jayview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1491 $1,600 $1.07 15d 1 1.04mi
508 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 1.08mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,600 $1.11 4d 1 1.11mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,695 $1.17 24d 1 1.11mi
404 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 1.20mi
406 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 1.20mi
198 Joel Blvd #6 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1036 $1,200 $1.16 3d 1 1.32mi
1101 Leeland Heights Blvd E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 16d 1 1.33mi
397 Carrillon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 4d 1 1.33mi
374 Compese Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 16d 1 1.35mi
573 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,900 $1.56 15d 1 1.39mi
127 Highview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,860 $1.24 4d 1 1.43mi
940 Sterling St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 4d 1 1.43mi
444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 22d 1 1.43mi
321 Dania St Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 915 $1,800 $1.97 24d 1 1.45mi
970 Lakeside Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,800 $1.36 20d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $272,693 Active 718 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,693 Active 717 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,693 Active 716 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $272,693 Active 714 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $272,693 Active 710 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $272,693 Active 708 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $272,693 Active 702 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $272,693 Active 701 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,946
− Mortgage interest
−$15,275
− Property taxes
−$4,090
− Insurance
−$1,363
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− Depreciation
−$7,933
Taxable loss
−$10,227
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,455
After-tax cash flow
$-2,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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