219 Hagan Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$272,693
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Indoor laundry room
- Garage
- Built 2024
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 219 Hagan Ave S, Lehigh Acres, FL 33974; Status: Active
- Financial info: List price $272,693
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
- Home design: Single-family property (Palm plan); Spec inventory type
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area of 1,243
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-440 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (23.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (32.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 718 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 718 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.91%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,918
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Homewood Ave S | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-8%) | 10mo | $259,000 | $225 | 66 |
| 314 Lenz Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+7%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $226 | 65 |
| 729 Palmer St E | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,291 (+4%) | 13mo | $298,000 | $231 | 58 |
| 328 Larose Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+2%) | 13mo | $293,000 | $231 | 55 |
| 353 Bradley Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+7%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $226 | 46 |
| 873 Spaulding St E | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+13%) | 9mo | $278,000 | $197 | 38 |
| 748 Testerman Ct | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 | 1,060 (-15%) | 20mo | $300,000 | $283 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $115,175
- Equity at exit
- $245,663
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.61×
- Total profit
- $351,656
- Equity at exit
- $529,783
Cash invested: $76,354 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33974
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 2460
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,829 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,090/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-440
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-251 | -5% $-346 | +0% $-440 | +5% $-534 | +10% $-628 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-584 | -5% $-512 | +0% $-440 | +5% $-368 | +10% $-295 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-302 | -0.5pp $-370 | base $-440 | +0.5pp $-510 | +1.0pp $-582 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,173
- Closing costs
- $8,181
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 350 Limerick Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 718 Sunrise Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,610 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 759 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $1,950 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 388 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,780 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 455 Bell Blvd Unit 1 Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 713 Cardinal St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,635 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 382 McArthur Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $2,200 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 201 Fireside Ct Unit N/A Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,675 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 201 Fireside Ct Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 217 Jayview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 508 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 404 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 406 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 198 Joel Blvd #6 Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1101 Leeland Heights Blvd E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 397 Carrillon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 374 Compese Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 573 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,900 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 127 Highview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,860 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 940 Sterling St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 321 Dania St Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 970 Lakeside Dr Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $272,693 Active 718 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $272,693 Active 717 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $272,693 Active 716 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $272,693 Active 714 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $272,693 Active 710 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $272,693 Active 708 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $272,693 Active 702 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $272,693 Active 701 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,275
- − Property taxes
- −$4,090
- − Insurance
- −$1,363
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,756
- − Management
- −$1,756
- − Depreciation
- −$7,933
- Taxable loss
- −$10,227
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,455
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,927
- Household income
- $72,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 434.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.53%
- Current HPI
- 303.3399
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…