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111 Vine St
B- Composite 68.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

111 Vine St · Harrisburg, PA 17104
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, location, location! This house is conveniently located just a few steps from the hospital and all that downtown Harrisburg has to offer! Easy access to interstate 83, a short walk to the River Front Capital Area Green Belt and so much more! Put your personal touches on the home, get some sweat equity and have a fantastic investment in downtown Harrisburg!

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation type; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a tidal water area; Located in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating system; Other heating fuel; Other hot water system
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.7% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $45k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,325 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
27.74%
Cash-on-cash
76.60%
DSCR
4.41
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$17,018
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$53,147
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17104

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,435 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $892/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,588 $1.67 13d 14 0.17mi
101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 736 $1,749 $2.37 13d 32 0.23mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,050 $1.43 13d 10 0.28mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $1,593 $1.11 43d 1 0.28mi
319 Market St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,135 $1.15 43d 1 0.39mi
209 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,199 $1.50 13d 1 0.45mi
1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 900 $1,065 $1.18 43d 1 0.49mi
210 Walnut St Unit 206 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,695 $1.68 13d 1 0.49mi
130 Locust St Unit 6 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 23d 1 0.51mi
223 Pine St Apt 1A Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 21d 1 0.59mi
301 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 23d 1 0.60mi
116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,638 $1.82 13d 14 0.62mi
321 N Front St Unit 101 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 967 $1,895 $1.96 43d 1 0.67mi
231 State St Unit 1805 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 713 $1,600 $2.24 43d 1 0.68mi
1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,400 $1.12 23d 1 0.69mi
21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 13d 1 0.74mi
337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,195 $0.83 21d 1 0.74mi
122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,725 $1.38 13d 1 0.75mi
513 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 1300 $1,900 $1.46 43d 1 0.75mi
1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 43d 1 0.76mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 43d 1 0.79mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,445 $1.38 43d 1 0.79mi
618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 23d 1 0.81mi
1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,400 $1.22 43d 1 0.82mi
711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 43d 1 0.83mi
719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 13d 1 0.85mi
919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 1116 $1,695 $1.52 23d 1 0.91mi
918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 890 $1,450 $1.63 43d 1 0.91mi
923 N 3rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 853 $1,495 $1.75 23d 1 0.92mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 23d 1 0.94mi
920 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,475 $1.64 13d 1 0.96mi
660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,574 $1.97 13d 21 0.99mi
1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,150 $0.98 43d 1 0.99mi
1728 Paxton St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,295 $0.98 13d 1 1.01mi
1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1410 $1,295 $0.92 43d 1 1.02mi
1017 N Front St Apt 1017A Harrisburg, PA 1.0 2.0 1122 $1,495 $1.33 23d 1 1.04mi
1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 23d 1 1.04mi
273 Cumberland St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 865 $1,595 $1.84 13d 1 1.06mi
261 Cumberland St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,099 $1.10 43d 1 1.06mi
1115 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    historical $45,000
  17. 2025-05-22
    soldstatus $29,000 Closed 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Location, location, location! This house is conveniently located just a few steps from the hospital and all that downtown Harrisburg has to offer! Easy access to interstate 83, a short walk to the River Front Capital Area Green Belt and so much more! Put your personal touches on the home, get some sweat equity and have a fantastic investment in downtown Harrisburg!

  18. 2025-04-18
    status Pending 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Location, location, location! This house is conveniently located just a few steps from the hospital and all that downtown Harrisburg has to offer! Easy access to interstate 83, a short walk to the River Front Capital Area Green Belt and so much more! Put your personal touches on the home, get some sweat equity and have a fantastic investment in downtown Harrisburg!

  19. 2025-04-14
    price $25,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Location, location, location! This house is conveniently located just a few steps from the hospital and all that downtown Harrisburg has to offer! Easy access to interstate 83, a short walk to the River Front Capital Area Green Belt and so much more! Put your personal touches on the home, get some sweat equity and have a fantastic investment in downtown Harrisburg!

  20. 2025-04-10
    listed $49,900 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Location, location, location! This house is conveniently located just a few steps from the hospital and all that downtown Harrisburg has to offer! Easy access to interstate 83, a short walk to the River Front Capital Area Green Belt and so much more! Put your personal touches on the home, get some sweat equity and have a fantastic investment in downtown Harrisburg!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$892 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$892 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,215
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$892
− Insurance
−$5,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,377
− Management
−$1,377
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$3,989
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$957
After-tax cash flow
$3,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,541
Household income
$46,510
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.83%
Current HPI
340.2808
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Coming Soon $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-22 Sold (MLS) $29,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $892 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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