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1440 Stratford Ave
C+ Composite 63.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$229,900

1440 Stratford Ave · Bridgeport, CT 06607
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,723 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1897 2,178 sqft lot Est $355k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Corner lot 3 bedroom, 2 bath Colonial with great potential. Property being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 2,178 sq ft lot
  • Built 1897
  • Listed 7 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (1.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.0% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,275/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 534% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,451 (1.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.50%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,938
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
80 Clifford St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,688 (-2%) 20mo $235,000 $139 63
221 Wilmot Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,554 (-10%) 20mo $320,000 $206 60
55 Ridgefield Ave 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,770 (+3%) 8mo $370,000 $209 55
62 Pixlee Pl 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,712 (-1%) 13mo $300,000 $175 53
882 Central Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (-13%) 19mo $269,900 $180 50
35 Judson Pl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,585 (-8%) 16mo $378,000 $238 42
296 Newfield Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,528 (-11%) 20mo $370,000 $242 39
55 Deforest Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,964 (+14%) 6mo $345,000 $176 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$137,201
Equity at exit
$207,112
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
7.13×
Total profit
$394,734
Equity at exit
$446,645

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06607

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,275 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$308 /mo · $3,695/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,037
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $253 +0% $188 +5% $122 +10% $57
Rent -10% $8 -5% $98 +0% $188 +5% $277 +10% $367
Rate -1.0pp $303 -0.5pp $246 base $188 +0.5pp $128 +1.0pp $67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1415 Stratford Ave Bridgeport, CT 2.0 1.0 1260 $2,300 $1.83 44d 1 0.06mi
415 Logan St Unit 2nd Floor Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 0.11mi
458 Hollister Ave Unit 2nd Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,899 $1.73 44d 1 0.13mi
481 Hollister Ave Unit 2nd Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.15mi
153 Hollister Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,900 $1.41 4d 1 0.17mi
324 Union Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 44d 1 0.19mi
272 Davenport St Unit 2 Bridgeport, CT 4.0 1.0 1066 $2,200 $2.06 24d 1 0.19mi
272 Davenport St Unit 2 Bridgeport, CT 4.0 1.0 1066 $2,200 $2.06 15d 1 0.19mi
125 Hollister Ave Bridgeport, CT 2.0 1.0 1153 $1,700 $1.47 24d 1 0.20mi
45-51 Cowles St Unit 45 Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 15d 1 0.29mi
45-51 Cowles St Unit 45 Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,550 $2.12 22d 1 0.29mi
45-51 Cowles St Unit 45 Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 4d 1 0.29mi
166 6th St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 20d 1 0.31mi
62 Clifford St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.5 1134 $2,500 $2.20 24d 1 0.40mi
800 Seaview Ave #2 Bridgeport, CT 2.0 3.0 1800 $1,800 $1.00 24d 1 0.60mi
53 Pixlee Pl Unit 2nd Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1475 $2,195 $1.49 4d 1 0.71mi
152 DeKalb Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $3,200 $2.67 4d 1 0.73mi
75 Judson Pl Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.5 1384 $2,850 $2.06 15d 1 0.74mi
253 East Ave Unit 253 Bridgeport, CT 2.0 1.0 1267 $1,750 $1.38 24d 1 0.74mi
1804 Barnum Ave Unit 10 Bridgeport, CT 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.75mi
136 Sherman St Unit 142 Bridgeport, CT 4.0 1.5 2116 $2,800 $1.32 4d 1 0.77mi
110-112 Pixlee Pl Unit 2 Bridgeport, CT 2.0 1.0 1151 $1,800 $1.56 22d 1 0.77mi
292 Ridgefield Ave Unit 3 Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1792 $2,450 $1.37 44d 1 0.82mi
292 Ridgefield Ave Unit 2 Bridgeport, CT 4.0 1.0 1792 $2,650 $1.48 44d 1 0.82mi
333 Ridgefield Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,250 $1.61 4d 1 0.86mi
335 Ridgefield Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,250 $1.61 4d 1 0.87mi
2336 Barnum Ave Stratford, CT 2.0 1.0 1272 $1,950 $1.53 4d 1 0.92mi
2310 Barnum Ave Unit 1 Stratford, CT 2.0 1.5 1614 $1,975 $1.22 15d 1 0.95mi
2310 Barnum Ave Unit 1 Stratford, CT 2.0 1.5 1614 $2,380 $1.47 45d 1 0.95mi
704 Maple St #704 Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.5 1948 $2,700 $1.39 24d 1 0.96mi
982 Pembroke St Unit 2L Bridgeport, CT 4.0 1.0 2043 $2,475 $1.21 4d 1 1.01mi
588 E Main St Unit C Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,475 $1.77 15d 1 1.02mi
507 E Main St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1120 $2,198 $1.96 44d 1 1.02mi
505 E Main St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1120 $2,199 $1.96 44d 1 1.02mi
511 E Main St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 44d 1 1.02mi
55 E Main St Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0–3.0 1115 $9,085 $8.14 4d 189 1.05mi
530 Jane St Unit 2B Bridgeport, CT 3.0 2.0 2217 $3,400 $1.53 44d 1 1.05mi
47 Clover St Stratford, CT 2.0 1.0 1280 $1,950 $1.52 15d 1 1.11mi
144 Palisade Ave Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1096 $2,600 $2.37 44d 1 1.15mi
1325 Pembroke St Unit 2nd Floor Bridgeport, CT 3.0 1.0 1600 $3,500 $2.19 44d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-08-01
    status Under Contract
  2. 2025-07-25
    listed $229,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,695 · $308/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,307 · $359/mo
Expected delta
+$612/yr (+$51/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,294
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$3,695
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,184
− Management
−$2,184
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$1,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$356
After-tax cash flow
$2,606/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport School District
NCES district ID
0900450
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,507
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9656
State rank
#151 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1374

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
149,153
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
7,979
Household income
$50,000
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
534.0

Population outlook (Greater Bridgeport County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
365,581

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% Black 31% Two or more races 19% Asian 6% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 32% Cuban 4% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Estonian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Greater Bridgeport

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.3) · D 60.9% · R 37.6% · Other 1.5%
All cycles
2024: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.05%
Current HPI
584.8108
Rent YoY
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-01 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,695 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…