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316 Lynda Dr
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,500

316 Lynda Dr · Carbondale, IL 62901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Other · 59 Days on market
Built 1963

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice 3 Bedroom, 1 bath home on a large lot with carport. Easy access to Stores, public transportation and SIU. Also has a park in the neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Carport
  • Built 1963

Tags

LARGE LOTCARPORTEASY ACCESS TO STORESPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONPARK IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No special service area

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Not attached to another property; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Estimated age: 61–70 years
  • Exterior features: Sloped lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 125 x 75 x 127

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Egress window in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Circuit breaker electrical panel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,045 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
16.19%
Cash-on-cash
35.36%
DSCR
2.57
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$19,076
Equity at exit
$7,232
10-year hold
IRR
40.5%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$55,559
Equity at exit
$4,193

Cash invested: $13,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$931 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$254
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $728/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $424
Max offer price $48,500
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,125
Closing costs
$1,455
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL 3.0 1.0 622 $750 $1.20 43d 1 0.22mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $48,500 Active
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical $839
  3. 2026-04-22
    price $839
  4. 2026-03-21
    listed $890
  5. 2026-03-19
    soldstatus Closed
  6. 2026-02-14
    status Pending
  7. 2025-09-30
    status Active
  8. 2025-09-30
    historical
  9. 2025-07-18
    historical Under Contract
  10. 2025-06-30
    listed Active
  11. 2023-04-11
    historical
  12. 2023-04-10
    historical
  13. 2022-06-29
    listed Active
  14. 2022-03-28
    historical
  15. 2022-03-28
    historical
  16. 2021-08-06
    historical
  17. 2021-08-06
    historical
  18. 2021-08-06
    historical
  19. 2015-01-10
    historical
  20. 2013-01-06
    historical
  21. 2010-02-01
    soldstatus $221,760

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,169
− Mortgage interest
−$2,717
− Property taxes
−$728
− Insurance
−$242
− Repairs & maintenance
−$894
− Management
−$894
− Depreciation
−$1,411
Taxable income
$4,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$3,773/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.1% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $48,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Rental Removed $839 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $839 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-03-21 Listed for Rent $890 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-03-19 Sold (MLS) MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-18 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-30 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-11 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-29 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-28 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $221,760 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,751 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…