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359 Jud Tench Rd
D+ Composite 49.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,900

359 Jud Tench Rd · Demorest, GA 30535
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1969 1.76 ac lot Est $311k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bath fixer upper. House needs work but has great potential. Screened in back porch. Roof replaced 2 years ago. 20x30 shop with power and water connection sits on the back end of the 1.76 acres. Access to shop is on Eller Road. 2 septic tanks on the property. Being sold as is. Bring all offers! Interior pictures coming soon.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Outbuildings
  • Usable space

Tags

CORNER LOTOUTBUILDINGSLARGE WORKSHOPFENCED YARDLEVEL LAYING PROPERTYUSABLE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing sold As-Is; Accepts Cash and Conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Total parking for 5 vehicles; Detached garage; Parking shed; Storage; Kitchen-level parking access
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 220-volt electric service; Electricity available, high-speed internet available, phone available, water available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Has view
  • Construction: Built in 1969; Wood siding and other construction materials; Composition roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Corner, level lot; Grassed and partially wooded yard; Barn(s), outbuilding, workshop, additional garage(s); Fenced front and back yard with chain link

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (other type); Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home; Public-recorded living area of 1956; Country-style kitchen; Separate dining room; Family room and keeping room; Crawl space basement; Fixer condition
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $236k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($830/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in Demorest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#162 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Habersham County (rural): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #53 of 174 in GA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 52% / reading 44%, grade D, #289 of 1,228 statewide, top 24%, 467 students, 50% FRL); Habersham Central High School (math 8% / reading 38%, grade F, #209 of 424 statewide, top 49%, 1,525 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in Habersham County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Habersham County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $236k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $195,000 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.26%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$311,004
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
243 Mulkey Rd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (-2%) 11mo $300,000 $156 65
261 Mulkey Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,752 (-10%) 12mo $279,000 $159 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-33,890
Equity at exit
$35,173
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-24,117
Equity at exit
$20,396

Cash invested: $66,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30535

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,237
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,632/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,862
Max offer price $235,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $203 -5% $136 +0% $69 +5% $2 +10% $-64
Rent -10% $-85 -5% $-8 +0% $69 +5% $146 +10% $223
Rate -1.0pp $188 -0.5pp $129 base $69 +0.5pp $8 +1.0pp $-54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,975
Closing costs
$7,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
242 Double Springs Rd Demorest, GA 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,950 $1.08 45d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $235,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $235,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $235,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $235,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,900 New 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,900 New 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,900 New 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 233-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,900 New 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,900 New 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,900 New 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,900 New 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $235,900 New
  18. 2018-08-06
    soldstatus $67,500
  19. 2018-08-03
    soldstatus $67,500 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath fixer upper. House needs work but has great potential. Screened in back porch. Roof replaced 2 years ago. 20x30 shop with power and water connection sits on the back end of the 1.76 acres. Access to shop is on Eller Road. 2 septic tanks on the property. Being sold as is. Bring all offers! Interior pictures coming soon.

  20. 1978-10-01
    soldstatus $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,632 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,170 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$539/yr (+$45/mo · 33.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,400
− Mortgage interest
−$13,214
− Property taxes
−$1,632
− Insurance
−$1,180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$6,863
Taxable loss
−$3,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$776
After-tax cash flow
$1,605/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Habersham County
NCES district ID
1302580
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$41,838
Composite
32.48/100
National rank
#5709
State rank
#53 of 174 in GA

Livability — Demorest

Score
67/100
State rank
#162
US rank
#10338

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,755

Population outlook (Habersham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,697 people
By 2030
46,571 · +1.9%
By 2040
48,157 · +5.4%
By 2050
49,492 · +8.3%
By 2075
52,546 · +15.0%
By 2100
52,752 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Habersham

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.9) · D 17.3% · R 82.2%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -59.9pp · 2024: -64.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.9 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+59.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.84%
Current HPI
248.1602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1109.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $235,900 GAMLS
  • 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-03 Sold (MLS) $67,500 GAMLS
  • 1978-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,632 · +44.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…