75 N Cottage Hill Rd · Orlando, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a 3bedroom 1 bath property. Great for any investor looking for a major rehab project or could be torn down for a new build. property lot size is 7513 sq ft.
Key facts
- 7,513 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 7 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($659/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rock Lake Elementary (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 279 students, 86% FRL); Carver Middle (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 721 students, 79% FRL); Jones High (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #597 of 667 statewide, top 90%, 1,672 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 56% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $250k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.94%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $315,620
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911 Rock Lake Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,538 (+5%) | 6mo | $181,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 3825 Washington | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,653 (+13%) | 18mo | $355,000 | $215 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-40,342
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-43,926
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32805
- Home prices YoY
- -7.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,406/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $126 | +0% $55 | +5% $-16 | +10% $-87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-112 | -5% $-29 | +0% $55 | +5% $138 | +10% $222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $118 | base $55 | +0.5pp $-10 | +1.0pp $-76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 N Goldwyn Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1531 | $2,400 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2314 W South St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 414 Sunset Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2419 Orange Center Blvd Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $2,600 | $1.70 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 637 N Tampa Ave Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,300 | $1.67 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4333 Cynthia St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $1,813 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 936 Pinedale Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,499 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 936 Pinedale Ave Unit A Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,499 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4431 Barley St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $864 | $0.84 | 26d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 431 Gilman Cir Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,626 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 701 S Ivey Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,329 | $1.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1045 Polk St Unit 1049B Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 26d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 200 Fanfair Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,730 | $1.84 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1040 Randall St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1100 N John Young Pkwy Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,569 | $2.63 | 0d | 11 | 1.34mi |
| 4118 Minoso St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $1,820 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1209 Carlsbad Pl Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-03-19status Pending
-
2026-03-12$249,900 Active
-
2025-02-28historical
-
2024-03-07status Active
-
2024-02-20historical
-
2024-01-23$330,000 Active
-
2021-04-23soldstatus $75,000 Closed 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
This is a 3bedroom 1 bath property. Great for any investor looking for a major rehab project or could be torn down for a new build. property lot size is 7513 sq ft.
-
2021-04-13status Pending 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
This is a 3bedroom 1 bath property. Great for any investor looking for a major rehab project or could be torn down for a new build. property lot size is 7513 sq ft.
-
2021-03-22$74,900 Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
This is a 3bedroom 1 bath property. Great for any investor looking for a major rehab project or could be torn down for a new build. property lot size is 7513 sq ft.
-
2020-11-10soldstatus $74,000
-
2020-10-22soldstatus $74,000 Sold
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2020-10-13price $85,000
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2020-09-29price $89,999
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2020-09-27soldstatus $74,000 Sold
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2020-09-17price $99,999
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2020-09-17$109,000 Active
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2020-08-18price $109,000
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2020-07-06price $129,999
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2020-04-08price $135,000
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2020-03-12$140,000 Active
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2018-09-19soldstatus $69,000
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2018-09-18soldstatus $62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,406 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,406 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,406
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$3,614
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,294
- Household income
- $40,515
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1597.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.19%
- Current HPI
- 429.3242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+299.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-23 Listed $330,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-22 Listed $74,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-22 Sold (MLS) $74,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-13 Price Changed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-29 Price Changed $89,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-27 Sold (MLS) $74,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-17 Price Changed $99,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-17 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-18 Price Changed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-06 Price Changed $129,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-08 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-12 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,406 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…