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202 Hensley St
B Composite 73.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

202 Hensley St · Jacksboro, TX 76458
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,883 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 468 Days on market
Built 1930 0.32 ac lot $40/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Fenced side yard
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACK YARDFENCED SIDE YARDNEXT TO PINE STREET PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#753 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10 units permitted in Jack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $993 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 468 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 468 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
19.69%
Cash-on-cash
47.83%
DSCR
3.13
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,746
List price
$75,000
Delta
-62.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10374 380 Hwy 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,960 (+4%) 7mo $99,000 $51 62
529 Stewart 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,812 (-4%) 5mo $215,000 $119 56
227 N 9th St 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,714 (-9%) 2mo $234,900 $137 46
120 N 11th St 0.74mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,814 (-4%) 15mo $199,900 $110 40
708 W College St 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,658 (-12%) 22mo $210,000 $127 39
227 E College St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,640 (-13%) 18mo $270,000 $165 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$46,601
Equity at exit
$16,941
10-year hold
IRR
51.5%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$114,339
Equity at exit
$16,816

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76458

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,718 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$837

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $880 -5% $858 +0% $837 +5% $816 +10% $795
Rent -10% $701 -5% $769 +0% $837 +5% $905 +10% $973
Rate -1.0pp $875 -0.5pp $856 base $837 +0.5pp $818 +1.0pp $798

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
320 N 2nd St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,700 $1.25 44d 1 0.37mi
205 Lacewell St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,000 $1.29 21d 1 1.13mi
147 Hillcrest St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1741 $1,500 $0.86 44d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 468 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 465 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 464 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 463 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 462 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 460 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 459 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 456 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 455 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 454 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 451 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 450 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 449 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 448 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 447 DOM
  16. 2026-02-26
    price $75,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  17. 2026-02-26
    price $35,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  18. 2025-12-05
    status Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  19. 2025-11-11
    status Pending 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  20. 2025-09-05
    status Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  21. 2025-08-18
    status Pending 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  22. 2025-01-24
    listed $75,000 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This 1930 home is located on a large corner lot in a quiet neighborhood. Fenced back yard with fenced side yard. Fixer-upper but the location could also be a great opportunity to tear down and build your dream home. It is located next to Pine Street Park.

  23. 2005-01-11
    soldstatus
  24. 1993-07-21
    soldstatus
  25. 1989-10-25
    soldstatus
  26. 1988-10-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,143 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 20.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,612
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,143
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$9,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,259
After-tax cash flow
$7,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksboro ISD
NCES district ID
4824530
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,739
Composite
35.94/100
National rank
#4802
State rank
#337 of 826 in TX

Livability — Jacksboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#753
US rank
#13881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksboro, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,103

Population outlook (Jack County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,560 people
By 2030
8,423 · -1.6%
By 2040
8,433 · -1.5%
By 2050
8,605 · +0.5%
By 2075
9,047 · +5.7%
By 2100
8,844 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Jack

2024 margin
Solid R (+82.3) · D 8.6% · R 90.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.1pp · 2024: -82.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+82.3 2020: R+81.6 2016: R+79.6 2012: R+78.3 2008: R+68.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.32%
Current HPI
202.1533
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $75,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-11-11 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-09-05 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-08-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-01-24 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-01-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1993-07-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,143 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…