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4016 Cora Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 51.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$60,000

4016 Cora Ave · St. Louis, MO 63115
None bd · 3.0 ba · 3,350 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1928 5,850 sqft lot Est $77k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

Key facts

  • 5,850 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 32 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 3,350 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Annual taxes listed (2025): $306

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units)
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.13 acre; Neighborhood: Penrose

Interior

  • Bedrooms: No bedrooms listed
  • Bathrooms: No bathrooms listed
  • Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other
  • Interior features: Full basement; Cooling system: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $60,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$77,050) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ashland Elem. And Br. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 226 students, 99% FRL); Sumner High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 264 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,029/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 1655% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.05%
Cap rate
46.85%
Cash-on-cash
144.86%
DSCR
7.45
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,050
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4248 N Euclid Ave 0.53mi 4/4.0 3,468 (+4%) 0mo $99,500 $29 65
4674 Kossuth Ave 0.14mi 6/6.0 3,294 (-2%) 17mo $65,900 $20 64
4681 Kossuth Ave 0.16mi 16/16.0 3,254 (-3%) 6mo $199,900 $61 63
4278 Lee Ave #4 0.57mi 4/4.0 3,332 (-0%) 15mo $65,000 $20 56
4538 Lexington Ave 0.32mi 32/16.0 3,264 (-3%) 10mo $39,000 $12 52
4349 Shreve Ave 0.49mi 1/3.0 3,070 (-8%) 17mo $48,000 $16 49
4460 Bircher Blvd 0.67mi 4/4.0 3,638 (+9%) 15mo $150,000 $41 38
4448 Ashland Ave 0.46mi 1/1.0 2,892 (-14%) 15mo $75,000 $26 36
4818 Greer Ave #20 0.62mi 5/2.0 3,016 (-10%) 20mo $69,000 $23 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.11×
Total profit
$119,456
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.10×
Total profit
$270,400
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63115

Home prices YoY
-2.6%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,029 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $303/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$636
Net cashflow
$2,028

Break-even live

Break-even rent $462
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,062 -5% $2,045 +0% $2,028 +5% $2,011 +10% $1,994
Rent -10% $1,789 -5% $1,908 +0% $2,028 +5% $2,148 +10% $2,267
Rate -1.0pp $2,058 -0.5pp $2,043 base $2,028 +0.5pp $2,012 +1.0pp $1,997

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $1,060
Total (3 units) $3,029

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4868 Farlin Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 2690 $1,100 $0.41 44d 1 0.37mi
3127 Clay Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 3536 $950 $0.27 44d 1 1.05mi
1416 N Euclid Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 2702 $1,200 $0.44 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $60,000 Active
  16. 2026-05-19
    historical $60,000
  17. 2024-10-02
    status Pending 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

  18. 2024-10-02
    soldstatus Closed 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

  19. 2024-10-02
    soldstatus $114,000
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

  20. 2024-08-30
    historical Active Under Contract 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

  21. 2024-08-23
    listed $120,000 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Incredible cash flow from day one on this 3-unit building! There are two units with HUD vouchers in place & one market tenant. Total monthly gross rent is a whopping $2530! It was originally a 4 unit, but now has one townhome unit and two 1 bed units. The seller is moving on to another opportunity and now this one could be yours! No showings without an accepted contract in place.

  22. 2024-04-10
    historical $1,400
  23. 2024-03-13
    price $1,400
  24. 2023-12-26
    listed $1,350
  25. 2020-05-20
    soldstatus
  26. 2020-03-04
    soldstatus $85,000
  27. 2020-02-27
    listed $85,000 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    For Comp Purpose Only

  28. 2020-02-26
    soldstatus Closed 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    For Comp Purpose Only

  29. 2019-11-06
    soldstatus $41,500
  30. 2019-11-04
    status Pending
  31. 2019-10-29
    soldstatus Closed
  32. 2019-08-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  33. 2019-08-20
    listed $33,500 Active
  34. 2016-01-29
    soldstatus Closed
  35. 2016-01-19
    historical
  36. 2015-09-04
    price $19,900
  37. 2015-07-08
    listed $24,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$303 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$582 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$279/yr (+$23/mo · 91.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,348
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$303
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,908
− Management
−$2,908
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$24,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,957
After-tax cash flow
$18,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
14,488
Household income
$30,622
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.42%
Current HPI
127.3403
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.1% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-02 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-30 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-23 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Price Changed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-26 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2020-05-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-27 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-26 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
  • 2019-11-04 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-22 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-20 Listed $33,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-19 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-04 Price Changed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-08 Listed $24,990 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-8.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $303 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…