10716 16th Avenue Ct S #21 · Parkland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
$69,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this 2 bed 1 bath ALL AGE park with updates/improvements all throughout the home. New vinyl plank flooring, remodeled bathroom, updated kitchen, pex waterlines and low space rent! This park is quiet and tidy and is welcoming you to come check it out for yourself. You will not find a manufactured home in an all age park this nice for this price! Location is close to freeway and ideal for commuting. Come check this out before it is gone!
Key facts
- Pex waterlines
- Low space rent
- Remodeled bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $847 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.92%
- DSCR
- 3.31
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,500
- List price
- $69,950
- Delta
- 13.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $91,980
- Equity at exit
- $63,017
- IRR
- 58.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.65×
- Total profit
- $228,231
- Equity at exit
- $135,897
Cash invested: $19,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98444
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $847
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $896 | -5% $872 | +0% $847 | +5% $823 | +10% $799 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $714 | -5% $781 | +0% $847 | +5% $914 | +10% $981 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $883 | -0.5pp $865 | base $847 | +0.5pp $829 | +1.0pp $811 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,488
- Closing costs
- $2,098
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10710 17th Ave S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,025 | $2.22 | 0d | 15 | 0.10mi |
| 1756 106th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,338 | $2.02 | 0d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 1809 105th Street Ct S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,025 | $2.17 | 0d | 8 | 0.26mi |
| 1627 112th St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $2,195 | $2.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1420 112th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,200 | $2.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2201 104th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,998 | $2.15 | 0d | 19 | 0.45mi |
| 11216 18th Ave S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,950 | $2.21 | 0d | 14 | 0.47mi |
| 10419 Barnes Ln S Unit 1/2 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1122 Lafayette St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2100 112th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,600 | $2.42 | 5d | 4 | 0.59mi |
| 11514 19th Avenue Ct S Parkland, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $2,100 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 10102 Sales Rd S Lakewood, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,320 | $1.99 | 0d | 20 | 0.70mi |
| 10102 Sales Rd S Lakewood, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 596 | $1,550 | $2.60 | 44d | 26 | 0.70mi |
| 2415 100th Street Ct S Tacoma, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 5d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 9314 S Ash St Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,683 | $2.10 | 0d | 20 | 0.79mi |
| 9315 S Ash St Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 828 | $1,550 | $1.87 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9318 S Steele St Unit DD520 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9318 S Steele St Unit Q367 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9318 S Steele St Unit D61 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1819 S 93rd St Unit A Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,575 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1819 S 93rd St Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,588 | $1.74 | 18d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 2425 S 96th St Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,225 | $1.44 | 0d | 14 | 0.90mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,775 | $2.50 | 25d | 5 | 0.92mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,880 | $2.24 | 0d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 9210 S Hosmer St Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $1,685 | $2.14 | 0d | 11 | 0.93mi |
| 2604 92nd St S Unit B Lakewood, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2604 92nd St S Unit B Lakewood, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8801 S Hosmer St Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 443 | $1,795 | $4.05 | 0d | 26 | 1.13mi |
| 702 119th St S Unit B Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,795 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8740 S Hosmer St #155 Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8740 S Hosmer St Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3102 92nd St S Unit 3104 Lakewood, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,497 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3232 94th St S Unit 15 Lakewood, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 632 | $1,150 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11424 A St S Unit 202 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11424 A St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1718 S 84th St Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,445 | $1.98 | 11d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 319 104th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $2,285 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 323 Garfield St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,595 | $2.91 | 3d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 1801 S 84th St Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,295 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3415 92nd St S Lakewood, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,950 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,950 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,950 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,950 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,950 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,950 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,950 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,950 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,950 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,950 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,950 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,950 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,950 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,950 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-02-24status Active
-
2026-01-18status Pending
-
2025-12-17$69,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,918
- − Property taxes
- −$1,049
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,617
- − Management
- −$1,617
- − Depreciation
- −$2,035
- Taxable income
- $9,629
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates and improvements, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — refreshes the exterior and interior
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes the exterior and interior ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Parkland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #3068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkland, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 36,624
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,754
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2169.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 17% Black 16% Asian 11% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Korean 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 45.01%
- Current HPI
- 1297.51
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.93%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listed $69,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…