1803 I Ave · Kearney, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice starter home or investment property. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Oversized garage with a bonus room. Garage has hot & cold water and a floor drain, fully insulated, gas heater (seller has never used heater & makes no warranties.
Key facts
- Home warranty
- Fully remodeled
- New kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot approximately 57' x 135'; R-2 zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Pantry; Basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($108/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.5% in Kearney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in NE, #858 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Kearney Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #43 of 111 in NE (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bryant Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 502 statewide, top 84%, 241 students, 71% FRL); Sunrise Middle School (math 57% / reading 53%, grade B-, #31 of 128 statewide, top 24%, 577 students, 48% FRL); Kearney High School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #138 of 261 statewide, top 53%, 1,629 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 30% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $225k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.17%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,464
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 E 17th St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+10%) | 3mo | $246,500 | $212 | 71 |
| 1721 F Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 988 (-6%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $213 | 64 |
| 1510 H Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,098 (+4%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 1207 E 17th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+10%) | 12mo | $244,000 | $210 | 62 |
| 2112 Ave C Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (+5%) | 10mo | $209,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 1722 F Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,193 (+13%) | 14mo | $207,500 | $174 | 51 |
| 721 E 26th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+12%) | 8mo | $183,500 | $155 | 45 |
| 1612 A Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 948 (-10%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $164 | 40 |
| 2118 C Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 919 (-13%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $169 | 38 |
| 1401 F Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-14%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $159 | 38 |
| 1419 A Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,211 (+15%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $132 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-35,896
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,562
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68847
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,899 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2119 State ST Apt 201 Kearney, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,899 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21$224,999 Active
-
2017-03-08soldstatus $120,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Nice starter home or investment property. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Oversized garage with a bonus room. Garage has hot & cold water and a floor drain, fully insulated, gas heater (seller has never used heater & makes no warranties.
-
2017-03-08soldstatus $120,000
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Nice starter home or investment property. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Oversized garage with a bonus room. Garage has hot & cold water and a floor drain, fully insulated, gas heater (seller has never used heater & makes no warranties.
-
2016-09-08$129,900 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Nice starter home or investment property. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Oversized garage with a bonus room. Garage has hot & cold water and a floor drain, fully insulated, gas heater (seller has never used heater & makes no warranties.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,610 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,892 · $324/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,282/yr (+$107/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,610
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,823
- − Management
- −$1,823
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,742
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$898
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kearney Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172390
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,913
- Composite
- 46.61/100
- National rank
- #2415
- State rank
- #43 of 111 in NE
Livability — Kearney
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kearney, NE
- City population
- 20,536
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,911
Population outlook (Buffalo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,980 people
- By 2030
- 58,298 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 64,975 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 72,054 · +31.1%
- By 2075
- 90,838 · +65.2%
- By 2100
- 106,838 · +94.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buffalo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 26.9% · R 71.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.96%
- Current HPI
- 205.0002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+73.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $224,999 GMNMLS
- 2017-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-08 Sold (MLS) $120,000 GMNMLS
- 2016-09-08 Listed $129,900 GMNMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,610 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…