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8027 State Rd 70
C- Composite 53.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

8027 State Rd 70 · Siren, WI 54872
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily · 49 Days on market
Built 2001 0.97 ac lot $97/sqft · 47% below area Est $226k · 47% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

Key facts

  • 0.97 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 49 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Mound septic; Natural gas fuel; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home: yes; One story; Entry level: main
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on a 28 x 44 foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range (stove); Refrigerator; Eat-in layout
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Washer and dryer included; Range (stove) and refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#753 in WI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Siren School District (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #405 of 426 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 144 units permitted in Burnett County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burnett County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $110,491 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,614
List price
$119,000
Delta
-47.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-11,885
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-889
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54872

Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,105 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $957
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

  15. 2026-06-02
    price $119,000 Active 32 DOM
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $125,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

  19. 2026-04-30
    listed $125,000 Active 782-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,597 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$604/yr (+$50/mo · 60.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,259
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,061
− Management
−$1,061
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$139
After-tax cash flow
$1,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Siren School District
NCES district ID
5513890
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,336
Composite
23.4/100
National rank
#13298
State rank
#405 of 426 in WI

Livability — Siren

Score
57/100
State rank
#753
US rank
#22029

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,482

Population outlook (Burnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,108 people
By 2030
13,326 · -5.5%
By 2040
11,569 · -18.0%
By 2050
9,969 · -29.3%
By 2075
7,261 · -48.5%
By 2100
5,122 · -63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 17% Romanian 3% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burnett

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.9% · R 64.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.25%
Current HPI
262.3914
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $119,000 RANWW
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119 RANWW
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 RANWW

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…