8027 State Rd 70 · Siren, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
Key facts
- 0.97 acre lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 49 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Well water; Mound septic; Natural gas fuel; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home: yes; One story; Entry level: main
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on a 28 x 44 foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range (stove); Refrigerator; Eat-in layout
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Washer and dryer included; Range (stove) and refrigerator included
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#753 in WI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Siren School District (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #405 of 426 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 144 units permitted in Burnett County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burnett County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.20%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,614
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -47.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-11,885
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-889
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54872
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $993/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
-
2026-06-02price $119,000 Active 32 DOM
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$125,000 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
-
2026-04-30$125,000 Active 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
High-Demand Rental Area?Fix Up & Start Earning Opportunities like this don?t come along often?our area is in need of rentals, and this affordable home is priced for the buyer ready to act. Set on a nicely wooded lot close to town and schools, the property offers a straightforward path to improvement and future income. Bring your tools and your plan?get it fixed up, get it rented, and start producing cash flow. ? Nicely wooded lot close to town ? Close to schools ? Priced for an investor or handy buyer looking for upside ? Strong local need for rentals?position it for rental income ? Value-add potential: update, rent, and build long-term equity
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,597 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$604/yr (+$50/mo · 60.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$993
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$578
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$139
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Siren School District
- NCES district ID
- 5513890
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,336
- Composite
- 23.4/100
- National rank
- #13298
- State rank
- #405 of 426 in WI
Livability — Siren
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #753
- US rank
- #22029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,482
Population outlook (Burnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,108 people
- By 2030
- 13,326 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 11,569 · -18.0%
- By 2050
- 9,969 · -29.3%
- By 2075
- 7,261 · -48.5%
- By 2100
- 5,122 · -63.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 17% Romanian 3% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burnett
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.9% · R 64.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.25%
- Current HPI
- 262.3914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-4.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $119,000 RANWW
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119 RANWW
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 RANWW
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $993 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…