4905 Sherry Dr · Horn Lake, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 4905 Sherry Avenue located in Horn Lake Mississippi Where opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom 1.5-bath home situated on just under 1 acre, Offering space, privacy, and endless potential. Nestled on a generous light with mature trees and A wide open yard, this property is perfect for those, looking to create their dream home or invest in a renovation project The helmet itself as a true fixer, upper, ready for your personal touch and vision. Was solid bones and a functional layout, it provides a great foundation to update and customize to your liking. A stand out feature of this property is The impressive 40 x 60 workshop, built in 2003 by BCI barn builders. Whether you need
Key facts
- 40 x 60 workshop
- Wide open yard
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.0% in Horn Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#196 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horn Lake Elem (451 students, 99% FRL); Horn Lake Middle School (math 37% / reading 21%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,021 students, 100% FRL); Horn Lake High (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #98 of 197 statewide, top 49%, 1,361 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.01%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,072
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4905 Sherry Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,171 (+3%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $128 | 95 |
| 4511 Shadow Hollow Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+10%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $180 | 55 |
| 6450 Bentley Cv | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+6%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $154 | 41 |
| 4181 Meadow Creek Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+15%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $177 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-13,419
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,852
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38637
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $349 | -5% $297 | +0% $245 | +5% $193 | +10% $142 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $181 | +0% $245 | +5% $309 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $283 | base $245 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4506 Shadow Hollow Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,645 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6392 Manchester Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,715 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4355 Shadow Ridge Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,760 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5229 Nail Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,235 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5565 Chapel Hill Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,543 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5318 Haynes Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,583 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5840 Gray Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,295 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5108 Gray Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5108 Gray Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3915 Woodland Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6270 Jamestown Ave Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,523 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5859 Shannon Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $1,523 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3914 Santa Fe Loop Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1238 | $1,673 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5968 Shannon Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3780 Southbrook Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,550 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6420 Sandhurst Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,623 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6455 Walnut Grove Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6225 Sandhurst Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3560 Lakehurst Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6290 Sandhurst Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4238 Highgate Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,585 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6445 Collinwood Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,593 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4192 Anderton Blvd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4192 Anderton Blvd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7340 Durango Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,705 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3530 Mayfair Dr Horn Lake, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6420 Cornwall Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,550 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6585 Fairwood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,553 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7163 Layne Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6205 Liberty Estates Dr Walls, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,555 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4174 Highgate Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1197 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-15$150,000 Active
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2016-07-11$139,000
-
1999-10-15soldstatus
-
1999-10-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$141
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Horn Lake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #17977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Horn Lake, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 26,647
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,647
- Household income
- $53,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.08%
- Current HPI
- 206.5542
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+7.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-15 Listed $150,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2016-07-11 Listed $139,000 MLSU
- 1999-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-31.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…