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815 Washington Ave
B Composite 73.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$67,900

815 Washington Ave · Charleroi, PA 15022
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1900 4,499 sqft lot $38/sqft · 60% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Could easily be duplexed, kitchen & full bath on both levels. Walk up attic! fenced yard, det. garage. Some furniture could be included! Huge house+ little $$ =great deal!

Key facts

  • 4,499 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax assessed value approximately $49,000
  • Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $1,563

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.1033 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment F.
  • Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $68k implies a 353% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,863 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.81%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,425
List price
$67,900
Delta
60.05%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
828 Crest Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,762 (-2%) 6mo $24,000 $14 87
906 Fallowfield Ave 0.06mi 4/1.0 1,806 (+1%) 15mo $42,000 $23 79
907 Crest Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,700 (-5%) 1mo $53,000 $31 78
722 Washington Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,756 (-2%) 17mo $22,000 $13 70
901 Mckean Ave 0.09mi 4/1.5 1,962 (+10%) 12mo $35,000 $18 68
437 Shady Ave 0.36mi 4/1.5 1,698 (-5%) 8mo $58,500 $34 65
809 Mckean Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,668 (-7%) 19mo $40,000 $24 63
327 Meadow Ave 0.46mi 4/1.5 1,916 (+7%) 10mo $77,000 $40 56
909 Mckean Ave 0.09mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,582 (-12%) 16mo $65,000 $41 55
708 Monongahela Ave 0.52mi 4/1.5 1,605 (-10%) 5mo $25,750 $16 53
207 Mckean Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,782 (-1%) 19mo $78,000 $44 48
406 Oakland Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,547 (-14%) 17mo $52,000 $34 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$26,553
Equity at exit
$13,729
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$70,299
Equity at exit
$12,253

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15022

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,563/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$536

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $67,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $574 -5% $555 +0% $536 +5% $516 +10% $497
Rent -10% $431 -5% $483 +0% $536 +5% $588 +10% $641
Rate -1.0pp $570 -0.5pp $553 base $536 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,975
Closing costs
$2,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA 3.0 3.0 1344 $1,450 $1.08 2d 1 0.17mi
1136 Reservoir Ave Monessen, PA 3.0 2.0 1550 $650 $0.42 2d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $67,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    listed $67,900 Active 274-char remark
  15. 2006-09-14
    soldstatus $15,000 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Could easily be duplexed, kitchen & full bath on both levels. Walk up attic! fenced yard, det. garage. Some furniture could be included! Huge house+ little $$ =great deal!

  16. 2006-07-27
    listed $19,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Could easily be duplexed, kitchen & full bath on both levels. Walk up attic! fenced yard, det. garage. Some furniture could be included! Huge house+ little $$ =great deal!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,563 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,563 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,955
− Mortgage interest
−$3,803
− Property taxes
−$1,563
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$1,975
Taxable income
$5,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,373
After-tax cash flow
$5,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charleroi SD
NCES district ID
4205640
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,410
Composite
29.72/100
National rank
#6450
State rank
#421 of 539 in PA

Livability — Charleroi

Score
76/100
State rank
#382
US rank
#3416

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charleroi, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,044

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.83%
Current HPI
174.218
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+241.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $67,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-09-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-07-27 Listed $19,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,563 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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