612 N Cascade Dr #23 · Woodburn, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- New vinyl windows
- Oversize windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.1% in Woodburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#91 in OR, #4,490 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, schools D, commute D.
- Woodburn SD 103 (town): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #169 of 183 in OR (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.59%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,500
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 73.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 N Cascade Dr #19 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+2%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $50 | 96 |
| 612 N Cascade Dr #10 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $57 | 86 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $32,427
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $86,272
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97071
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,591 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $711
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $766 | -5% $739 | +0% $711 | +5% $684 | +10% $657 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $586 | -5% $648 | +0% $711 | +5% $774 | +10% $837 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $751 | -0.5pp $731 | base $711 | +0.5pp $691 | +1.0pp $670 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 W Hayes St Unit 02 Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,495 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1560 Newberg Hwy Unit 180-25 Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1560 Newberg Hwy Unit 180-29 Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 770 Evergreen Rd Unit 06 Woodburn, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1208 Newberg Hwy Unit 103-A Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,795 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1208 Newberg Hwy Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,795 | $1.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 300 S Evergreen Rd Woodburn, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $1,770 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1123 N 3rd St Unit 1125 Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $1,595 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 311 S Evergreen Rd Woodburn, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $1,780 | $2.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 477 Broadway St Unit 1 Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,495 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2100 Arney Ln Woodburn, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,999 | $2.25 | 4d | 13 | 0.94mi |
| 1601 N Front St Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,280 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 398 Stacy Allison Way Woodburn, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $2,087 | $2.07 | 3d | 108 | 1.00mi |
| 1398 E Cleveland St Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,595 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1430 E Cleveland St Woodburn, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,708 | $1.99 | 2d | 3 | 1.32mi |
| 1458 E Cleveland St Woodburn, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,295 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8123 McCormick St Woodburn, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,250 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $79,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2026-05-19price $79,000 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
-
2026-02-20price $89,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2026-02-19status Active 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2026-02-18status Active 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
-
2026-02-18price $89,000 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
-
2026-02-13status Pending 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2026-02-12status Pending 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
-
2025-09-20price $99,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2025-09-19price $99,000 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
-
2025-08-25$119,900 Active 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Amazing Remodel! New covered front porch. Step inside to discover new plumbing, electrical, lights, sheetrock and paint. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. All new Kitchen, too! Bathroom has new step-in shower stall, cabinetry, counter, sink. Furnace 2021 by Wolfers. Water heater new 2021. Exterior has also been updated with new siding and paint on home, carport. Shed for storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this 55+ community. Space rent $550/mo.
-
2025-08-22$119,900 Active 1205-char remark
Show marketing remark (1205 chars)
Like a new home inside! Spacious new covered front porch – perfect for relaxing outdoors. Next, step inside to discover all new sheetrock and paint throughout! LVP luxury vinyl throughout. New plumbing. New lighting. Updated electrical. Spacious living room full of natural light and warmth from the NEW oversized windows. The kitchen comes with new cabinetry, countertop, range hood, garbage disposal, sink, faucet. Bathroom with all new step in-shower stall! Also new cabinetry, counter, sink faucet, flooring. New oversize windows in both bedrooms, too! Washer & dryer hookups in new Utility area for added convenience. The central heating unit was installed in 2021 by Wolfers. New Water heater 2021. An abundance of upgrades makes this in-park home different than the rest! New exterior siding and paint on home and covered carport. Plus carport includes a shed with ample enclosed storage. Lovely green lawn to enjoy. Discover comfort and carefree living in this remodeled manufactured home in the peaceful Driftwood Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community where space rent is $550/month! Conveniently located near Medical Facilities, necessities and Woodburn Premium Outlets Mall.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,528
- − Management
- −$1,528
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $7,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,857
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodburn SD 103
- NCES district ID
- 4113530
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,033
- Composite
- 24.9/100
- National rank
- #12993
- State rank
- #169 of 183 in OR
Livability — Woodburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #4490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodburn, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- City population
- 33,123
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,123
- Household income
- $70,938
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1039.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 34% Two or more races 22% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 53% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -353.43%
- Current HPI
- 297.3113
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-34.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $79,000 WVMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $79,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $89,000 WVMLS
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $89,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-13 Pending — WVMLS
- 2026-02-12 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $99,000 WVMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $99,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $119,900 WVMLS
- 2025-08-22 Listed $119,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2017): $157 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…