CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
45 Tree Line Ln
B- Composite 67.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$99,000

45 Tree Line Ln · Avis, PA 17721
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 18 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition $88/sqft · 41% below area Est $167k · 41% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

Key facts

  • Front and rear decks
  • 10x16 shed
  • Butler's pantry

Tags

BUTLER'S PANTRYFRONT AND REAR DECKS10X16 SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property zoned Res

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; no garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; No listed foundation details
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6 (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Open floor plan; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#495 in PA, #4,563 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Jersey Shore Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #179 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.82%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,337
List price
$99,000
Delta
-40.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
943 Fourth St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,072 (-4%) 20mo $155,000 $145 52
111 Fairview St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+8%) 22mo $180,000 $149 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$22,271
Equity at exit
$47,954
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$65,472
Equity at exit
$76,695

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17721

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $180 -5% $146 +0% $111 +5% $77 +10% $43
Rent -10% $32 -5% $72 +0% $111 +5% $151 +10% $191
Rate -1.0pp $161 -0.5pp $137 base $111 +0.5pp $86 +1.0pp $60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    price $99,000 769-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $105,000 Active 769-char remark
  3. 2026-03-31
    price $105,900
  4. 2026-03-19
    price $112,400
  5. 2026-03-08
    price $117,400
  6. 2023-12-08
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  7. 2023-10-06
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  8. 2023-08-21
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  9. 2023-08-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  10. 2023-08-16
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  11. 2023-08-11
    historical
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  12. 2023-07-28
    price $99,900
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  13. 2023-07-12
    price $104,900
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

  14. 2023-06-29
    listed $109,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,085
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$967
− Management
−$967
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$61
After-tax cash flow
$1,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2023 manufactured home is in good condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minimal repairs and maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing, increasing resale value.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing, increasing resale value.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jersey Shore Area SD
NCES district ID
4212480
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,019
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3165
State rank
#179 of 539 in PA

Livability — Avis

Score
74/100
State rank
#495
US rank
#4563

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,695

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,048 people
By 2030
38,812 · -0.6%
By 2040
38,011 · -2.7%
By 2050
36,931 · -5.4%
By 2075
34,077 · -12.7%
By 2100
29,683 · -24.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
99% English-only · Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.61%
Current HPI
171.9875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending WBVAR
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 WBVAR
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 WBVAR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $105,900 WBVAR
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $112,400 WBVAR
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $117,400 WBVAR
  • 2023-12-08 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2023-10-06 Relisted WBVAR
  • 2023-08-21 Relisted WBVAR
  • 2023-08-19 Delisted WBVAR
  • 2023-08-16 Relisted WBVAR
  • 2023-08-11 Delisted WBVAR
  • 2023-07-28 Price Changed $99,900 WBVAR
  • 2023-07-12 Price Changed $104,900 WBVAR
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $109,900 WBVAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…