45 Tree Line Ln · Avis, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
Key facts
- Front and rear decks
- 10x16 shed
- Butler's pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property zoned Res
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; no garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; No listed foundation details
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6 (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Open floor plan; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#495 in PA, #4,563 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Jersey Shore Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #179 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.82%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,337
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -40.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 943 Fourth St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,072 (-4%) | 20mo | $155,000 | $145 | 52 |
| 111 Fairview St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+8%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $149 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $22,271
- Equity at exit
- $47,954
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $65,472
- Equity at exit
- $76,695
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17721
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $146 | +0% $111 | +5% $77 | +10% $43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $32 | -5% $72 | +0% $111 | +5% $151 | +10% $191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $137 | base $111 | +0.5pp $86 | +1.0pp $60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-06price $99,000 769-char remark
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2026-05-01$105,000 Active 769-char remark
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2026-03-31price $105,900
-
2026-03-19price $112,400
-
2026-03-08price $117,400
-
2023-12-08soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-10-06status Active
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-08-21status Active
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-08-19historical
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-08-16status Active
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-08-11historical
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-07-28price $99,900
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-07-12price $104,900
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
-
2023-06-29$109,900 Active
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
This brand new three-bedroom mobile home in Avis Manor Village is a charming and modern dwelling designed to provide comfort, convenience, and a sense of community. Nestled within the serene and picturesque landscape of Avis Manor Village, this home offers both indoor and outdoor spaces that cater to a relaxed and contemporary lifestyle. Call SWC Realty for additional information at 570-772-6800!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$254
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$61
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2023 manufactured home is in good condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minimal repairs and maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing, increasing resale value.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing, increasing resale value. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jersey Shore Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212480
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,019
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3165
- State rank
- #179 of 539 in PA
Livability — Avis
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #495
- US rank
- #4563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,695
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,048 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,011 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 36,931 · -5.4%
- By 2075
- 34,077 · -12.7%
- By 2100
- 29,683 · -24.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Current HPI
- 171.9875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-9.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — WBVAR
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 WBVAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 WBVAR
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $105,900 WBVAR
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $112,400 WBVAR
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $117,400 WBVAR
- 2023-12-08 Sold (MLS) — WBVAR
- 2023-10-06 Relisted — WBVAR
- 2023-08-21 Relisted — WBVAR
- 2023-08-19 Delisted — WBVAR
- 2023-08-16 Relisted — WBVAR
- 2023-08-11 Delisted — WBVAR
- 2023-07-28 Price Changed $99,900 WBVAR
- 2023-07-12 Price Changed $104,900 WBVAR
- 2023-06-29 Listed $109,900 WBVAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…