4900 Royal Ave #32 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
Key facts
- Electric range
- Vinyl floors
- City water
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in Royal Oaks Mobile Park; Not a senior community; Lot rent charged monthly
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Residential property; Single-story (main living area); Built in 1986; 850 building area
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: T-111 siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances: electric hot water)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom; Third bedroom
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Mini-split cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.43%
- DSCR
- 4.31
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,220
- List price
- $64,995
- Delta
- 6.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4900 Royal Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (+8%) | 9mo | $26,000 | $28 | 80 |
| 4900 Royal Ave #13 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 0mo | $36,500 | $40 | 78 |
| 4900 Royal Ave #56 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 5mo | $51,000 | $55 | 74 |
| 1199 N Terry St #264 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-2%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $62 | 64 |
| 555 N Danebo Ave #36 | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-2%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $46 | 62 |
| 1199 N Terry St #258 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 0mo | $64,900 | $70 | 60 |
| 1199 N Terry St #248 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $77 | 58 |
| 4982 Morely Loop | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 925 (+8%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $216 | 56 |
| 1199 N Terry St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $88 | 55 |
| 1199 N Terry St #315 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (+12%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $78 | 50 |
| 1699 N Terry St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-9%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $57 | 44 |
| 1400 Candlelight Dr #226 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+8%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $52 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $58,660
- Equity at exit
- $9,691
- IRR
- 76.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.30×
- Total profit
- $132,873
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $143/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $1,129
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,249
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 573 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,495 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 543 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,725 | $2.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,695 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1190 Taft St Unit 1190 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,650 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $2,095 | $2.13 | 13d | 6 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19status $64,995 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,995 Active 50 DOM
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,995 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $64,995 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,995 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $64,995 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $64,995 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,995 Active 42 DOM
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,995 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,995 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $64,995 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $64,995 Active 35 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $64,995 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,995 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $64,995 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-05-14price $64,995 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-05-07price $67,000 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-05-07price $67,000 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-04-27$72,000 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
-
2026-04-27$72,000 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $143 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $630 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$487/yr (+$41/mo · 340.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$143
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,833
- − Management
- −$1,833
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $13,251
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3142.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-9.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2026-06-18 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-06-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-06-08 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $64,995 WVMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $64,995 RMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $67,000 WVMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $67,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $72,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $72,000 WVMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2016): $143 · -11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…