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4900 Royal Ave #32
B- Composite 66.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,995

4900 Royal Ave #32 · Eugene, OR 97402
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 858 sqft · Manufactured public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1986 $76/sqft · 5% above area Est $61k · 6% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

Key facts

  • Electric range
  • Vinyl floors
  • City water

Tags

DUCTLESS MINI-SPLITVINYL FLOORSELECTRIC RANGEPARTIALLY FENCED YARDCITY WATERCITY SEWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in Royal Oaks Mobile Park; Not a senior community; Lot rent charged monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Residential property; Single-story (main living area); Built in 1986; 850 building area
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: T-111 siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances: electric hot water)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom; Third bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Mini-split cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
  • Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,045 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.94%
Cap rate
27.13%
Cash-on-cash
74.43%
DSCR
4.31
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,220
List price
$64,995
Delta
6.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4900 Royal Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 924 (+8%) 9mo $26,000 $28 80
4900 Royal Ave #13 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 0mo $36,500 $40 78
4900 Royal Ave #56 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 5mo $51,000 $55 74
1199 N Terry St #264 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-2%) 6mo $52,000 $62 64
555 N Danebo Ave #36 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-2%) 9mo $39,000 $46 62
1199 N Terry St #258 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 0mo $64,900 $70 60
1199 N Terry St #248 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 3mo $71,000 $77 58
4982 Morely Loop 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 925 (+8%) 3mo $200,000 $216 56
1199 N Terry St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 3mo $81,000 $88 55
1199 N Terry St #315 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (+12%) 9mo $75,000 $78 50
1699 N Terry St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-9%) 2mo $45,000 $57 44
1400 Candlelight Dr #226 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+8%) 2mo $48,000 $52 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.7%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$58,660
Equity at exit
$9,691
10-year hold
IRR
76.2%
Equity multiple
8.30×
Total profit
$132,873
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97402

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,910 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $143/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$1,129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $64,995
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,249
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,895 $2.08 43d 1 0.33mi
573 Hanover St Eugene, OR 2.0 1.0 775 $1,495 $1.93 43d 1 0.63mi
543 Hanover St Eugene, OR 2.0 1.0 710 $1,725 $2.43 13d 1 0.64mi
4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,695 $1.51 43d 1 0.67mi
1190 Taft St Unit 1190 Eugene, OR 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,650 $1.48 21d 1 1.44mi
4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $2,095 $2.13 13d 6 1.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $64,995 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,995 Active 50 DOM
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,995 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,995 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,995 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $64,995 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    status $64,995 Pending 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,995 Active 42 DOM
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,995 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,995 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,995 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,995 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,995 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,995 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $64,995 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  16. 2026-05-14
    price $64,995 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  17. 2026-05-07
    price $67,000 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  18. 2026-05-07
    price $67,000 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  19. 2026-04-27
    listed $72,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

  20. 2026-04-27
    listed $72,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    Accepted Offer with Contingencies. Affordable 3BD/1BA manufactured home in Royal Oaks Mobile Park! All age park, 850 sq ft Fleetwood with ductless mini-split, easy-care vinyl floors, electric range, shed, and partially fenced yard. City water/sewer. Great value at $72K—space rent starts at $850 + utilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$143 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$630 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 340.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,917
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$143
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,833
− Management
−$1,833
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$13,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,180
After-tax cash flow
$10,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel SD 52
NCES district ID
4102040
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,860
Composite
22.62/100
National rank
#8066
State rank
#52 of 58 in OR

Livability — Eugene

Score
81/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#1587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eugene, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
215,212
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
53,823
Household income
$57,658
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
3142.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -437.20%
Current HPI
298.1167
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2026-06-18 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted WVMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $64,995 WVMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $64,995 RMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $67,000 WVMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $67,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $72,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $72,000 WVMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2016): $143 · -11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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