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237 Lamson St
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

237 Lamson St · Jacksonville, FL 32211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $228k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICED REDUCED TO SELL AS-IS! Rare opportunity in Arlington! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on three lots (Lots 31-33), offering a level of space and flexibility that's hard to find in this area. Featuring 1,288 square feet of living space plus a bonus room, the home provides a versatile layout ideal for homeowners, investors, or builders alike. Whether you choose to live in the home while renovating, complete a fix-and-flip project, or start fresh with new construction, the possibilities are endless. The property is being sold AS IS. Opportunities like this are rare in Arlington, multiple lots combined with strong long-term potential make this a standout investment in Jacksonville. Sched

Key facts

  • Stylish backsplash
  • Large backyard
  • Tile flooring

Tags

TILE FLOORINGLARGE BACKYARDSTYLISH BACKSPLASHAMPLE CABINET SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; One level
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (includes Bedroom 2 and Bedroom 3)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (3.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $185k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.81%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,976
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8484 India Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,249 (-3%) 2mo $240,000 $192 80
8595 Hare Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-6%) 5mo $250,000 $207 74
7940 Eaton Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,327 (+3%) 0mo $169,000 $127 61
8514 Kona Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,109 (-14%) 1mo $196,000 $177 60
8134 Galveston Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,403 (+9%) 2mo $235,000 $167 56
1010 Arlingwood Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,201 (-7%) 1mo $262,000 $218 53
8139 Oden Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,184 (-8%) 0mo $237,000 $200 51
436 Acme St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,465 (+14%) 3mo $215,000 $147 46
126 Bowlan St S 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (-11%) 2mo $189,900 $165 45
806 Bordeau Ave W 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,476 (+15%) 3mo $265,000 $180 43
8145 Oden Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,109 (-14%) 5mo $165,000 $149 38
7952 Hare Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (-14%) 4mo $75,000 $68 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-12,231
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$9,521
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32211

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,781 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,409
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $399 -5% $346 +0% $294 +5% $241 +10% $189
Rent -10% $153 -5% $223 +0% $294 +5% $364 +10% $434
Rate -1.0pp $387 -0.5pp $341 base $294 +0.5pp $246 +1.0pp $197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9027 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,741 $1.44 17d 1 0.16mi
8752 India Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1665 $1,796 $1.08 8d 1 0.17mi
8623 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1555 $1,846 $1.19 24d 1 0.18mi
8617 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1555 $1,846 $1.19 24d 1 0.18mi
8824 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1665 $1,796 $1.08 8d 1 0.21mi
8816 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1509 $1,708 $1.13 15d 1 0.22mi
8526 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1535 $1,525 $0.99 24d 1 0.33mi
8514 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,800 $1.42 4d 1 0.33mi
8450 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1635 $1,783 $1.09 8d 1 0.34mi
8319 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 883 $1,650 $1.87 24d 1 0.37mi
8308 Free Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1159 $1,571 $1.36 18d 1 0.37mi
8301 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1555 $1,728 $1.11 15d 1 0.40mi
8000 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,761 $1.32 8d 1 0.60mi
8400 Oden Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1665 $2,110 $1.27 21d 1 0.65mi
840 Gate Run Rd Unit 840 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1110 $1,575 $1.42 24d 1 0.66mi
8210 Larose Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1110 $1,695 $1.53 24d 1 0.68mi
855 Centennial St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1110 $1,400 $1.26 22d 1 0.69mi
909 Arlingwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1616 $2,100 $1.30 4d 1 0.70mi
1251 Beacon Point Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,564 $1.90 5d 23 0.77mi
7703 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 3d 1 0.79mi
451 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.82mi
451 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 8d 1 0.82mi
454 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 5d 1 0.82mi
7632 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,690 $1.45 24d 1 0.83mi
9059 Kipper Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1618 $2,100 $1.30 8d 1 0.83mi
471 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 18d 1 0.84mi
471 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.84mi
481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.85mi
481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 24d 1 0.85mi
487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 22d 1 0.86mi
487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.86mi
7600 Free Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1229 $1,745 $1.42 24d 1 0.87mi
513 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 5d 1 0.91mi
514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.91mi
514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 24d 1 0.91mi
514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 24d 1 0.92mi
514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.92mi
520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1549 $2,149 $1.39 24d 1 0.93mi
520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1549 $2,149 $1.39 15d 1 0.93mi
535 Kit St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,845 $1.25 15d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    price $185,000
  14. 2026-04-26
    price $200,000
  15. 2026-04-20
    price $215,000
  16. 2026-04-10
    price $230,000
  17. 2026-02-13
    listed $250,000 Active
  18. 1998-09-14
    soldstatus $57,000
  19. 1998-02-25
    soldstatus $91,000
  20. 1993-10-12
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$788 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,536 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$748/yr (+$62/mo · 94.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,368
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,709
− Management
−$1,709
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$118
After-tax cash flow
$3,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
36,762
Household income
$57,021
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2350.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.46%
Current HPI
330.4724
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3600.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $185,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $200,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $215,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $230,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $250,000 realMLS
  • 1998-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 1993-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $788 · +32.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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