237 Lamson St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICED REDUCED TO SELL AS-IS! Rare opportunity in Arlington! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on three lots (Lots 31-33), offering a level of space and flexibility that's hard to find in this area. Featuring 1,288 square feet of living space plus a bonus room, the home provides a versatile layout ideal for homeowners, investors, or builders alike. Whether you choose to live in the home while renovating, complete a fix-and-flip project, or start fresh with new construction, the possibilities are endless. The property is being sold AS IS. Opportunities like this are rare in Arlington, multiple lots combined with strong long-term potential make this a standout investment in Jacksonville. Sched
Key facts
- Stylish backsplash
- Large backyard
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single Family Residence; One level
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (includes Bedroom 2 and Bedroom 3)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $185k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.81%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8484 India Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-3%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $192 | 80 |
| 8595 Hare Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (-6%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 7940 Eaton Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,327 (+3%) | 0mo | $169,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 8514 Kona Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,109 (-14%) | 1mo | $196,000 | $177 | 60 |
| 8134 Galveston Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,403 (+9%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 1010 Arlingwood Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (-7%) | 1mo | $262,000 | $218 | 53 |
| 8139 Oden Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (-8%) | 0mo | $237,000 | $200 | 51 |
| 436 Acme St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (+14%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $147 | 46 |
| 126 Bowlan St S | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-11%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $165 | 45 |
| 806 Bordeau Ave W | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+15%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 8145 Oden Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,109 (-14%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $149 | 38 |
| 7952 Hare Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (-14%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $68 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-12,231
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $9,521
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32211
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,781 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $346 | +0% $294 | +5% $241 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $223 | +0% $294 | +5% $364 | +10% $434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $341 | base $294 | +0.5pp $246 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9027 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,741 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 8752 India Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $1,796 | $1.08 | 8d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 8623 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,846 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8617 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,846 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8824 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $1,796 | $1.08 | 8d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8816 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1509 | $1,708 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8526 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,525 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 8514 Kona Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 8450 Jasper Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1635 | $1,783 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8319 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,650 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8308 Free Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,571 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8301 Galveston Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $1,728 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 8000 Dandy Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,761 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8400 Oden Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $2,110 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 840 Gate Run Rd Unit 840 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8210 Larose Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,695 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 855 Centennial St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 909 Arlingwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1251 Beacon Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,564 | $1.90 | 5d | 23 | 0.77mi |
| 7703 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 451 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 451 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 454 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7632 Hare Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $1,690 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9059 Kipper Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 471 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 471 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7600 Free Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,745 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 513 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 535 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $185,000
-
2026-04-26price $200,000
-
2026-04-20price $215,000
-
2026-04-10price $230,000
-
2026-02-13$250,000 Active
-
1998-09-14soldstatus $57,000
-
1998-02-25soldstatus $91,000
-
1993-10-12soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,536 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$748/yr (+$62/mo · 94.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,709
- − Management
- −$1,709
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $491
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$118
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,762
- Household income
- $57,021
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2350.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.46%
- Current HPI
- 330.4724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+3600.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $185,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $200,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $215,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $230,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $250,000 realMLS
- 1998-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $788 · +32.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…