3019 Squire Blvd · Westmere, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.7/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3019 Squire Blvd in Slingerlands, located in the highly desirable Guilderland School District. This 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse offers 1,319 square feet of living space and a functional layout ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. The main level features a spacious living room, dining area, and kitchen, along with a convenient half bath. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with its own full bath, a second full bathroom, and second-floor laundry for added convenience. Additional highlights include a 1-car garage and low-maintenance living. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch o
Key facts
- Second-floor laundry
- Convenient half bath
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $103; HOA covers grounds maintenance, snow removal, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); 3 total parking spaces; Paved parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: 150 Amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse; Facing/main road frontage: 21'
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Level and irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Second level); Additional bedroom (Second level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on Second level); 1 half bathroom (on First level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
- Interior features: Sliding doors; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.1% in Westmere — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#477 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Guilderland Central School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #166 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Guilderland High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,462 students, 23% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Guilderland Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $99k; list at $200k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.90%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $300,468
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -33.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3006 Squire Blvd | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 1,319 (0%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $205 | 90 |
| 4059 Chaucer Pl | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 1,319 (0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $201 | 88 |
| 4020 Chaucer Pl | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 | 1,319 (0%) | 3mo | $242,500 | $184 | 88 |
| 3028 Squire Blvd | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,319 (0%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $243 | 87 |
| 3005 Squire Blvd | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,144 (-13%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $210 | 73 |
| 4037 Chaucer Pl | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 | 1,319 (0%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $216 | 73 |
| 4043 Chaucer Pl | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,144 (-13%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $262 | 62 |
| 4005 Chaucer Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,506 (+14%) | 9mo | $324,900 | $216 | 60 |
| 4028 Chaucer Pl | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 9mo | $344,900 | $301 | 58 |
| 4034 Chaucer Pl | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-13%) | 10mo | $262,200 | $229 | 58 |
| 4014 Chaucer Pl | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,506 (+14%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $212 | 56 |
| 4038 Chaucer Pl | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,506 (+14%) | 21mo | $325,600 | $216 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,659
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $17,210
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12159
- Home prices YoY
- -2.2%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,570 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$474 /mo · $5,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$103
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $435 | -5% $378 | +0% $322 | +5% $265 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $220 | +0% $322 | +5% $423 | +10% $525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $373 | base $322 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 Church Rd Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,600 | $2.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1 Dresden Ct Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,650 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1700 Western Ave Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 101 Steuben Dr Guilderland, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 901 | $2,134 | $2.37 | 14d | 10 | 1.20mi |
| 1000 Apex Ln Albany, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1525 | $3,172 | $2.08 | 14d | 29 | 1.25mi |
| 55 Woodlake Rd Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $2,050 | $2.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $103 · $1,236/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 880-char remark
-
2026-05-06historical Contingent 880-char remark
-
2026-05-01$199,900 Active 880-char remark
-
2003-11-18soldstatus $99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,687 · $474/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,687 · $474/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$5,687
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,467
- − Management
- −$2,467
- − HOA
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilderland Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613080
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,669
- Composite
- 57.24/100
- National rank
- #1093
- State rank
- #166 of 590 in NY
Livability — Westmere
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #477
- US rank
- #8403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 30,080
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,794
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.63%
- Current HPI
- 290.2952
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+101.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $199,900 Global MLS
- 2003-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,687 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…