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3019 Squire Blvd
B- Composite 67.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.7/10.0

$199,900

3019 Squire Blvd · Westmere, NY 12159
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,319 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1986 3,484 sqft lot $152/sqft · 33% below area Est $300k · 33% under $103/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3019 Squire Blvd in Slingerlands, located in the highly desirable Guilderland School District. This 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse offers 1,319 square feet of living space and a functional layout ideal for both owner-occupants and investors. The main level features a spacious living room, dining area, and kitchen, along with a convenient half bath. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with its own full bath, a second full bathroom, and second-floor laundry for added convenience. Additional highlights include a 1-car garage and low-maintenance living. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch o

Key facts

  • Second-floor laundry
  • Convenient half bath
  • Spacious living room

Tags

GUILDERLAND SCHOOL DISTRICTSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMCONVENIENT HALF BATHSECOND-FLOOR LAUNDRYLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGSTRONG LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $103; HOA covers grounds maintenance, snow removal, and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); 3 total parking spaces; Paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: 150 Amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse; Facing/main road frontage: 21'
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level and irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Second level); Additional bedroom (Second level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on Second level); 1 half bathroom (on First level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Sliding doors; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.1% in Westmere — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#477 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Guilderland Central School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #166 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Guilderland High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,462 students, 23% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Guilderland Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $99k; list at $200k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.90%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$300,468
List price
$199,900
Delta
-33.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3006 Squire Blvd 0.06mi 2/1.5 1,319 (0%) 3mo $270,000 $205 90
4059 Chaucer Pl 0.14mi 2/1.5 1,319 (0%) 1mo $265,000 $201 88
4020 Chaucer Pl 0.12mi 2/1.5 1,319 (0%) 3mo $242,500 $184 88
3028 Squire Blvd 0.04mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,319 (0%) 8mo $320,000 $243 87
3005 Squire Blvd 0.03mi 2/2.5 1,144 (-13%) 4mo $240,000 $210 73
4037 Chaucer Pl 0.16mi 2/1.5 1,319 (0%) 19mo $285,000 $216 73
4043 Chaucer Pl 0.17mi 2/1.5 1,144 (-13%) 5mo $300,000 $262 62
4005 Chaucer Pl 0.08mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,506 (+14%) 9mo $324,900 $216 60
4028 Chaucer Pl 0.15mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,144 (-13%) 9mo $344,900 $301 58
4034 Chaucer Pl 0.14mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,144 (-13%) 10mo $262,200 $229 58
4014 Chaucer Pl 0.09mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,506 (+14%) 13mo $320,000 $212 56
4038 Chaucer Pl 0.13mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,506 (+14%) 21mo $325,600 $216 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-11,659
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$17,210
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12159

Home prices YoY
-2.2%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,570 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$474 /mo · $5,687/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$103
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,163
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $435 -5% $378 +0% $322 +5% $265 +10% $209
Rent -10% $119 -5% $220 +0% $322 +5% $423 +10% $525
Rate -1.0pp $422 -0.5pp $373 base $322 +0.5pp $270 +1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
190 Church Rd Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 875 $2,600 $2.97 14d 1 0.22mi
1 Dresden Ct Albany, NY 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,650 $2.41 44d 1 0.95mi
1700 Western Ave Albany, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1438 $2,500 $1.74 14d 1 0.98mi
101 Steuben Dr Guilderland, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 901 $2,134 $2.37 14d 10 1.20mi
1000 Apex Ln Albany, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1525 $3,172 $2.08 14d 29 1.25mi
55 Woodlake Rd Albany, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $2,050 $2.27 14d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$103 · $1,236/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 880-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    historical Contingent 880-char remark
  3. 2026-05-01
    listed $199,900 Active 880-char remark
  4. 2003-11-18
    soldstatus $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,687 · $474/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,687 · $474/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,839
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$5,687
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,467
− Management
−$2,467
− HOA
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$233
After-tax cash flow
$3,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilderland Central School District
NCES district ID
3613080
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$75,669
Composite
57.24/100
National rank
#1093
State rank
#166 of 590 in NY

Livability — Westmere

Score
69/100
State rank
#477
US rank
#8403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,080
Population (ZIP)
8,794

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -6.63%
Current HPI
290.2952
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $199,900 Global MLS
  • 2003-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,687 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…