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3311 S Belt W
B- Composite 69.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

3311 S Belt W · Belleville, IL 62226
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 155 Days on market
Built 1963 5,227 sqft lot ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision and tools to restore this 3 bed/1 bath ranch back to its former glory! This one-story offers 1404 sq ft with a kitchen/dining combo, living room, 3 bedrooms and full bath. The full, unfinished basement could offer additional living space if finished or ample storage in its current state. The 2 story shed is great for storing tools, toys and yard equipment. Good sized lot with off street parking. Nice location, close to shopping, dining, and highway access. Property to be sold AS IS, seller to provide no warranties, repairs, or inspections, including occupancy.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Good sized lot
  • Highway access

Tags

KITCHEN DINING COMBOFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENT2 STORY SHEDOFF STREET PARKINGGOOD SIZED LOTHIGHWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,404 (public records)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity (Ameren); Electricity, sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Some trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.65%
Cash-on-cash
40.58%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,136
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3 Lynnwood Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-4%) 8mo $199,000 $148 82
322 Hickory Bnd 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (+4%) 0mo $214,900 $148 79
53 Paulette Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,516 (+8%) 8mo $229,750 $152 74
313 Hickory Bnd 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (+4%) 10mo $179,000 $123 70
5901 Heritage Station Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+7%) 8mo $195,000 $130 70
111 Freedom Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,270 (-10%) 9mo $169,900 $134 67
20 S 44th St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,309 (-7%) 6mo $189,900 $145 56
18 Jonathon Lee Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+7%) 7mo $139,900 $93 55
6106 Warren Dr 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+14%) 3mo $159,500 $100 52
4823 W Washington St 0.65mi 3/2.5 1,315 (-6%) 8mo $150,000 $114 50
28 Berkshire Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,224 (-13%) 0mo $220,000 $180 46
4720 Ruth St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,569 (+12%) 5mo $144,000 $92 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$27,940
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
5.74×
Total profit
$78,290
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62226

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $685/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $495
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $592 -5% $575 +0% $559 +5% $542 +10% $525
Rent -10% $464 -5% $511 +0% $559 +5% $606 +10% $654
Rate -1.0pp $588 -0.5pp $574 base $559 +0.5pp $543 +1.0pp $528

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 5d 1 0.43mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 18d 1 0.43mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $970 $1.04 24d 1 0.43mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 24d 1 0.43mi
56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 24d 1 0.55mi
4824 Bier St Belleville, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 3d 1 0.83mi
31 S 27th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $915 $0.92 24d 1 1.19mi
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 2d 1 1.20mi
6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,575 $1.41 24d 1 1.20mi
213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,650 $1.59 24d 1 1.26mi
654 N 39th St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 984 $1,400 $1.42 18d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-23
    price $59,000
  14. 2026-04-21
    price $69,000
  15. 2026-02-26
    price $76,399
  16. 2026-01-14
    listed $84,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$685 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,012 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$327/yr (+$27/mo · 47.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,426
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$685
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$6,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,468
After-tax cash flow
$5,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,255
Household income
$70,797
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.57%
Current HPI
133.9028
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $69,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $76,399 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-7.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $685 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…