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2024 Mott Dr W 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 58.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$40,000

2024 Mott Dr W · Mobile, AL 36617
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1985 8,476 sqft lot $37/sqft · 48% below area Est $76k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Looking to add to or start a rental portfolio? Don't miss your chance at this 2 bedroom-1 bath, income producing property! Tenants are on a month-to-month lease. The home is being professionally managed and can be sold with MLS# 7735085. This home offers an ornamental fireplace as the focal point in the living room, separate dining area and laundry room. There's also plenty of room for storage! Don't wait, make an offer today!

Key facts

  • Room for storage
  • Laundry room
  • Ornamental fireplace

Tags

ORNAMENTAL FIREPLACESEPARATE DINING AREALAUNDRY ROOMROOM FOR STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $40,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$76,456) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 43.9% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.78%
Cap rate
43.87%
Cash-on-cash
134.19%
DSCR
6.97
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,456
List price
$40,000
Delta
-47.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2024 Mott Dr W 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,070 (0%) 0mo $38,500 $36 100
1869 S Mott Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,076 (+1%) 13mo $95,000 $88 75
557 Kent St 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-6%) 10mo $37,500 $37 63
2005 Mott Dr W 0.13mi 2/1.0 939 (-12%) 13mo $38,000 $40 63
567 Kent St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 997 (-7%) 3mo $39,000 $39 62
2304 Rushing Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+2%) 4mo $65,000 $60 60
315 Oak Dr 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,140 (+6%) 13mo $65,000 $57 52
2203 Rosa Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,171 (+9%) 0mo $160,500 $137 45
556 Wellington St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 994 (-7%) 14mo $55,000 $55 45
421 Chavers St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (+13%) 2mo $71,500 $59 43
511 Yukers St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+10%) 7mo $150,000 $128 42
2253 Barlow St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 970 (-9%) 13mo $59,500 $61 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.90×
Total profit
$88,499
Equity at exit
$22,127
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.75×
Total profit
$198,855
Equity at exit
$37,750

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36617

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,912 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $382/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$1,252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $327
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
510 Schwartz St Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,400 $1.09 13d 1 0.25mi
423 Devon Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1220 $950 $0.78 43d 1 0.67mi
305 Indian Creek Dr E Unit 1043809P Mobile, AL 3.0 2.5 1496 $3,985 $2.66 13d 1 0.93mi
186 Stanton Rd Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1263 $2,062 $1.63 43d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $40,000 Pending 76 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $40,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-05-18
    price $40,000 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Looking to add to or start a rental portfolio? Don't miss your chance at this 2 bedroom-1 bath, income producing property! Tenants are on a month-to-month lease. The home is being professionally managed and can be sold with MLS# 7735085. This home offers an ornamental fireplace as the focal point in the living room, separate dining area and laundry room. There's also plenty of room for storage! Don't wait, make an offer today!

  5. 2026-03-14
    listed $55,000 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Looking to add to or start a rental portfolio? Don't miss your chance at this 2 bedroom-1 bath, income producing property! Tenants are on a month-to-month lease. The home is being professionally managed and can be sold with MLS# 7735085. This home offers an ornamental fireplace as the focal point in the living room, separate dining area and laundry room. There's also plenty of room for storage! Don't wait, make an offer today!

  6. 2006-04-03
    soldstatus $40,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$382 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$382 · $32/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,948
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$382
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,836
− Management
−$1,836
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$15,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,670
After-tax cash flow
$11,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
City population
205,729
Population (ZIP)
11,952

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% White 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.78%
Current HPI
128.8377
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $40,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $55,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2006-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $382 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…