24 Argonne St · Berlin, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Many updates throughout this home, including a new roof and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The property offers bedrooms and 1 full bath on the first floor, with 2 more large bedrooms on the second floor. Features include a spacious two-car garage and a quiet street location. A boat currently on the property will remain with the sale.
Key facts
- New siding
- Updated kitchen
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $871 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 7.1% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $179k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.86%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,285
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -0.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Maynesboro St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+5%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 106 Pershing Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+5%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $204 | 75 |
| 1816 Hutchins St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (+8%) | 5mo | $167,900 | $130 | 72 |
| 16 Rheims St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,129 (-5%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $186 | 66 |
| 24 Haven Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+3%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $204 | 61 |
| 12 11Th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,276 (+7%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $82 | 60 |
| 404 Norway St | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-4%) | 12mo | $168,500 | $147 | 60 |
| 47 Haven Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $166 | 54 |
| 191 Norway St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 1,020 (-14%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $245 | 48 |
| 263 Sweden St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-15%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $178 | 42 |
| 152 Howard St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,107 (-7%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $244 | 41 |
| 40 12th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,363 (+15%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $169 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $153,077
- Equity at exit
- $161,257
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.13×
- Total profit
- $407,367
- Equity at exit
- $347,758
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03570
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$328 /mo · $3,931/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $871
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1878 Riverside Dr Berlin, NH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $2,800 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 409-char remark
-
2026-06-18price $179,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-01-27status Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Many updates throughout this home, including a new roof and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The property offers bedrooms and 1 full bath on the first floor, with 2 more large bedrooms on the second floor. Features include a spacious two-car garage and a quiet street location. A boat currently on the property will remain with the sale.
-
2026-01-16historical Active with Contract 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Many updates throughout this home, including a new roof and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The property offers bedrooms and 1 full bath on the first floor, with 2 more large bedrooms on the second floor. Features include a spacious two-car garage and a quiet street location. A boat currently on the property will remain with the sale.
-
2026-01-08$189,000 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Many updates throughout this home, including a new roof and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The property offers bedrooms and 1 full bath on the first floor, with 2 more large bedrooms on the second floor. Features include a spacious two-car garage and a quiet street location. A boat currently on the property will remain with the sale.
-
2024-07-29soldstatus $50,000
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2024-07-25soldstatus $50,000 Closed 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Showings begin May 21st, 2024. Contractor special, foundation issues. Tons of potential, low trafficked St. Large two car garage. Cash Buyers only!
-
2024-06-20status Pending 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Showings begin May 21st, 2024. Contractor special, foundation issues. Tons of potential, low trafficked St. Large two car garage. Cash Buyers only!
-
2024-05-30price $69,900 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Showings begin May 21st, 2024. Contractor special, foundation issues. Tons of potential, low trafficked St. Large two car garage. Cash Buyers only!
-
2024-05-16$99,900 Active - Delayed Showings 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Showings begin May 21st, 2024. Contractor special, foundation issues. Tons of potential, low trafficked St. Large two car garage. Cash Buyers only!
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2017-06-29soldstatus $16,200 Closed
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2017-06-06historical Active with Contract
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2017-05-06price $24,900
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2017-04-05price $29,900
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2017-04-05status Active
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2017-03-21status Pending
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2017-03-13historical Active with Contract
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2017-03-03$32,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,931 · $328/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,931 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$3,931
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $8,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,494
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8095
- State rank
- #91 of 98 in NH
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, NH
- City population
- 9,473
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,473
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,912 people
- By 2030
- 29,872 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,449 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 25,049 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,584 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 13,818 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.16%
- Current HPI
- 440.9127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+481.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2026-01-16 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $189,000 PrimeMLS
- 2024-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-07-25 Sold (MLS) $50,000 PrimeMLS
- 2024-06-20 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2024-05-30 Price Changed $69,900 PrimeMLS
- 2024-05-16 Listed $99,900 PrimeMLS
- 2017-06-29 Sold (MLS) $16,200 PrimeMLS
- 2017-06-06 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2017-05-06 Price Changed $24,900 PrimeMLS
- 2017-04-05 Price Changed $29,900 PrimeMLS
- 2017-04-05 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2017-03-21 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2017-03-13 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2017-03-03 Listed $32,500 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,931 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…