424 Saxony · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 2 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your future two bedroom, two bath condo with a beautiful water view is just waiting for you to make it your own. Featuring brand new carpet in both bedrooms, a recently renovated bathroom, newer water heater, refrigerator and stove your next home awaits. Do you really want to face a parking lot when sitting on your patio? That wont happen here as you can sit and enjoy overlooking the water. Come enjoy all that Kings Point has to offer from golf, cafes, multiple clubs and more! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Newer stove
- Newer water heater
- Brand new carpet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: No land lease; Community contains a large number of units (community size listed)
- HOA & community: Part of Kings Point association; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, billiard room, golf course, tennis courts, manager on site, cafe/restaurant, courtesy bus, heated pool, street lights, gated access, security, and recreation facilities; Association covers grounds and structure maintenance, pest control, security, common areas and taxes, reserve funds, pool service, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking plus guest parking; 1 open/assigned parking space
- Security: Gated community with guard; Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Phone available; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; One-level living within a 2-story building; Faces west; Resale property; Building name: Saxony I
- Construction: Concrete block with stucco construction; Other roof
- Exterior features: Waterfront community (no direct waterfront on unit)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric central heating (individual unit); Central individual cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Stacked bedroom layout
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry in a main-level laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-203/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (2.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 577 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $858 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $125k implies a 390% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 2→8/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.58%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,828
- Equity at exit
- $40,616
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-715
- Equity at exit
- $52,443
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33446
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 577
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,885 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $264/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$777
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $-17
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 370 Saxony H Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 321 Saxony G Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 352 Saxony Trl Unit 352 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,000 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 516 Saxony K Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,450 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 23 Saxony a Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 7d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 662 Saxony N Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 20d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 445 Saxony Way #445 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,550 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 189 Saxony Trl Unit 189 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,475 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 594 Saxony Trl Unit 594 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,550 | $2.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 594 Saxony Trl Unit 594 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 564 Saxony Dr #564 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 123 Saxony C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $2,500 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 468 Saxony J Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,850 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 679 Saxony Way Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 669 Monaco N Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,700 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 569 Monaco L Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 211 Saxony Ln #211 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 151 Saxony D Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 99 Saxony C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $2,500 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 401 Monaco Way Unit 401 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,950 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 482 Monaco Blvd #482 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,400 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 399 Brittany I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 399 Brittany I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 596 Saxony M Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 451 Monaco Blvd Unit J Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,599 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 711 Monaco O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,550 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 581 Monaco Blvd Unit 581 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 459 Monaco Blvd Unit 459 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 52 Saxony Cir Unit 52 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $3,200 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 459 Monaco J #459 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 153 Monaco D Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,750 | $1.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 675 Brittany O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 58 Monaco Blvd Unit 58 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 72 Monaco Blvd Unit 72 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,950 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 23 Flanders a Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $1,500 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 276 Monaco F Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,650 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 286 Monaco F Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 726 | $1,700 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 318 Monaco G Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,200 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11 Brittany a Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 725 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 195 Monaco E Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 728 | $1,550 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $777 · $9,324/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 510-char remark
-
2026-06-13$124,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $264 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$772/yr (+$64/mo · 291.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 2 d/yr ≥107°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$264
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,810
- − Management
- −$1,810
- − HOA
- −$9,324
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$1,842
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$442
- After-tax cash flow
- $239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,431
- Household income
- $80,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 494.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Current HPI
- 242.5138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+220.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $124,900 Beaches MLS
- 2002-04-29 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1998-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
- 1997-11-04 Listed $33,500 Beaches MLS
- 1996-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $264 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…