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57 Garfield Ave
D- Composite 37.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

57 Garfield Ave · Trenton, NJ 08609
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1906 2,182 sqft lot Est $227k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * NEW Pictures added with recent updates! Beautiful residence in the heart of Trenton, close to Airport, Train Station, Shops and Restaurants! Currently rented in a month to month basis; please do not disturb occupants. When you first walk in you'll be greeted by an updated porch, inside the home you'll step into good size living room, dining room and the eat-in kitchen with plenty cabinets. Continuing on the first floor you have the laundry room, from there you step outside to a nice yard with a garage with entry from the alley or to use as storage. On the second floor are three bedrooms and one renovated bathroom (12/15)with new tiles, new floor and freshly painted; 4th bedroom is on the 3rd floor. * * * Recent updates: Bathroom was updated with New tiles, floors and fresh painted (Dec/22), New kitchen floor( Dec/22), second floor front - covered with Stone design (Dec/ 2022) This is the perfect home for an investment or for you to put your personal touch and move right in. Sale AS IS condition, buyer to obtain C. O.

Key facts

  • Built 1906
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Private parking; Off-street and on-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Three total levels; Main entrance faces east; Above-grade and below-grade structures present; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and stone construction; Block and stone foundation; Shingle roof; Pets allowed with no restrictions; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Level main entry; Lot dimensions approximately 15.8 x 138

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels combined: 1 full)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Traditional floor plan with a dining area and an eat-in kitchen; Drywall walls and ceilings with 9'+ ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $243k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: P.J. Hill Elementary (math 3% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,289 of 1,303 statewide, top 99%, 502 students, 59% FRL); Hedgepeth Williams Elementary School (math 4% / reading 23%, grade F, #420 of 431 statewide, top 98%, 582 students, 54% FRL); Trenton Central High School - Main Campus (math 2% / reading 10%, grade F, #396 of 399 statewide, top 99%, 2,255 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 80% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 24% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,867 (6.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.75%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,328
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 Cleveland Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,284 (+8%) 4mo $215,000 $167 73
50 Mechanics Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+1%) 1mo $117,500 $98 66
1109 Nottingham Way 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,198 (+1%) 2mo $230,000 $192 65
503 Tyler St 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,172 (-1%) 2mo $235,000 $201 64
277 Norway Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,240 (+5%) 0mo $330,000 $266 64
541 Emmett Ave 0.74mi 4/1.5 1,204 (+2%) 1mo $275,000 $228 59
508 Monmouth St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,192 (+1%) 3mo $160,000 $134 59
417 Walnut Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,030 (-13%) 3mo $205,000 $199 59
1267 Nottingham Way 0.68mi 4/1.0 1,102 (-7%) 3mo $202,000 $183 54
25 Mckinley Ave 0.70mi 4/1.5 1,274 (+8%) 0mo $300,000 $235 52
239 Tioga St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-12%) 2mo $160,000 $154 51
30 Mechanics Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (-8%) 5mo $103,200 $95 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-31,360
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-13,609
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08609

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,429 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,434/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,218
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $313 -5% $240 +0% $166 +5% $93 +10% $20
Rent -10% $-26 -5% $70 +0% $166 +5% $262 +10% $358
Rate -1.0pp $297 -0.5pp $232 base $166 +0.5pp $99 +1.0pp $31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1165 E State St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 900 $1,749 $1.94 15d 1 0.10mi
219 Woodlawn Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1456 $2,355 $1.62 15d 1 0.19mi
417 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 992 $2,050 $2.07 23d 1 0.24mi
428 Cleveland Ave Trenton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 23d 1 0.42mi
340 Connecticut Ave Unit 2 Hamilton Township, NJ 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,850 $2.04 15d 1 0.43mi
234 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1480 $2,200 $1.49 23d 1 0.48mi
121 Columbus Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,900 $1.81 23d 1 0.66mi
8 Joan Ter Trenton, NJ 3.0 2.0 1397 $3,250 $2.33 23d 1 0.70mi
42 Grant St Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 15d 1 0.71mi
635 Chambers St Trenton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 15d 1 0.71mi
21 Adella Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1280 $2,000 $1.56 15d 1 0.78mi
25 Adella Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1280 $2,050 $1.60 15d 1 0.78mi
416 Klagg Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1034 $2,300 $2.22 23d 1 0.80mi
901 Brunswick Ave #7 Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 940 $2,800 $2.98 15d 1 1.12mi
1040 Indiana Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1232 $2,950 $2.39 15d 1 1.13mi
210 Kuser Rd Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1360 $2,700 $1.99 23d 1 1.16mi
331 Ellis Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1190 $2,275 $1.91 23d 1 1.17mi
134 Old Rose St Trenton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1212 $2,300 $1.90 23d 1 1.18mi
1314 Princeton Ave Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1092 $2,400 $2.20 15d 1 1.20mi
125 Olive St Trenton, NJ 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 896 $1,392 $1.55 23d 1 1.25mi
705 Anderson St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1132 $1,800 $1.59 15d 1 1.26mi
130 W Ingham Ave Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1126 $2,000 $1.78 15d 1 1.42mi
1103 Division St Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1296 $2,000 $1.54 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $259,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 693-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $259,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,434 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,941 · $412/mo
Expected delta
+$1,508/yr (+$126/mo · 43.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,144
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$3,434
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,332
− Management
−$2,332
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$2,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$550
After-tax cash flow
$2,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton Public School District
NCES district ID
3416290
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,078
Composite
7.31/100
National rank
#9956
State rank
#471 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Trenton

Score
76/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#3533

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, NJ
County
Mercer County · 327,655 people
City population
177,819
Metro
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
15,938
Household income
$68,238
Rent vs Own
70.2% rent · 29.8% own
Severe rent burden
930.0

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,395 people
By 2030
384,640 · +0.9%
By 2040
391,431 · +2.6%
By 2050
397,845 · +4.3%
By 2075
417,281 · +9.4%
By 2100
420,327 · +10.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 43% Two or more races 12% White 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 11%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Swiss 2% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.12%
Current HPI
275.8566
Rent YoY
Metro
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+859.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Coming Soon $259,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-14 Sold (MLS) $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-04-26 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-04-10 Price Changed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-12-12 Listed $209,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-22 Coming Soon $209,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-08 Sold (MLS) $84,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-02-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-10-15 Listed $84,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-27 Sold (MLS) $27,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-03-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-03-16 Listed $27,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,434 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…