843 E River Rd · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Refrigerator, dishwasher & stove remain. Roof is only 3 years old, replaced in 2023 along with HVAC The kitchen has lots of cabinets and a cozy breakfast area. The living dining combination features large window overlook spacious back yard. The master bedroom has two closet for maximum storage. This would be a great investment for a flip. She does have some wear and tear, but mostly cosmetic.
Key facts
- 9,365 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1963
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shreve Island Elementary School (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 731 students, 56% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); C.E. Byrd High School (math 44% / reading 55%, grade D, #37 of 265 statewide, top 14%, 1,526 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 64% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.27%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,850
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -0.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814 Sweetbriar St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (-1%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $125 | 91 |
| 930 Audubon Pl | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,396 (-9%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 724 Camilla Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+1%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $110 | 62 |
| 172 Fremont St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,535 (+0%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $49 | 60 |
| 3415 Reily Ln | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,674 (+10%) | 4mo | $222,500 | $133 | 58 |
| 162 Ockley | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,467 (-4%) | 5mo | $47,599 | $32 | 56 |
| 1419 Audubon Pl | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,652 (+8%) | 4mo | $203,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 3011 W Cavett Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,574 (+3%) | 8mo | $182,500 | $116 | 54 |
| 858 River Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,751 (+15%) | 8mo | $209,000 | $119 | 53 |
| 1615 Captain Shreve Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (+9%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $108 | 48 |
| 166 Albert Ave #1 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,391 (-9%) | 0mo | $173,000 | $124 | 48 |
| 3010 W Cavett Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,379 (-10%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $94 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-19,816
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,388
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71105
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $134 | +0% $87 | +5% $41 | +10% $-6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $29 | +0% $87 | +5% $145 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $129 | base $87 | +0.5pp $44 | +1.0pp $1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4024 Reily Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,275 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 715 Camilla Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1654 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3131 Knight St Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $985 | $1.14 | 15d | 11 | 0.71mi |
| 204 Leo Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 818 E Washington St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 216 Pennsylvania Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3501 Champion Lake Blvd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,415 | $1.67 | 15d | 20 | 0.94mi |
| 2615 Judith Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2011 Audubon Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1932 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1301 Coates Bluff Dr Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1004 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 15d | 11 | 1.09mi |
| 243 Justin Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 119 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1000 Riverwalk Blvd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $2,071 | $2.23 | 15d | 11 | 1.16mi |
| 2033 Horton Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 186 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,675 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2506 Mecom Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1433 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 154 Southfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,395 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1105 Island Park Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,781 | $1.39 | 15d | 9 | 1.34mi |
| 3516 Alexander Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-04-08$165,000 Active 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
Refrigerator, dishwasher & stove remain. Roof is only 3 years old, replaced in 2023 along with HVAC The kitchen has lots of cabinets and a cozy breakfast area. The living dining combination features large window overlook spacious back yard. The master bedroom has two closet for maximum storage. This would be a great investment for a flip. She does have some wear and tear, but mostly cosmetic.
-
2023-09-01soldstatus $168,000
-
2023-08-31soldstatus Closed 765-char remark
Show marketing remark (765 chars)
This home was recently painted inside and out. Great neutral colors. It is move in ready and features beautiful real wood floors throughout most of the home. The kitchen has lots of cabinets and a cozy breakfast area. The living dining combo is spacious and features large windows for tons of natural light and overlooks the spacious shady fenced back yard and covered patio. All bedrooms are roomy. The master has 2 closets. Just off the kitchen is a large den with full bath and a laundry room. This big room has an entry to the patio as well. Roof was replaced in 2023. The HVAC is approximately 3 years old. If you enjoy being outdoors, come relax on the large covered patio. Plenty of room for your grill and entertaining guests. Don't let this gem get away.
-
2023-08-06historical Active Contingent 765-char remark
Show marketing remark (765 chars)
This home was recently painted inside and out. Great neutral colors. It is move in ready and features beautiful real wood floors throughout most of the home. The kitchen has lots of cabinets and a cozy breakfast area. The living dining combo is spacious and features large windows for tons of natural light and overlooks the spacious shady fenced back yard and covered patio. All bedrooms are roomy. The master has 2 closets. Just off the kitchen is a large den with full bath and a laundry room. This big room has an entry to the patio as well. Roof was replaced in 2023. The HVAC is approximately 3 years old. If you enjoy being outdoors, come relax on the large covered patio. Plenty of room for your grill and entertaining guests. Don't let this gem get away.
-
2023-07-21$168,000 Active 765-char remark
Show marketing remark (765 chars)
This home was recently painted inside and out. Great neutral colors. It is move in ready and features beautiful real wood floors throughout most of the home. The kitchen has lots of cabinets and a cozy breakfast area. The living dining combo is spacious and features large windows for tons of natural light and overlooks the spacious shady fenced back yard and covered patio. All bedrooms are roomy. The master has 2 closets. Just off the kitchen is a large den with full bath and a laundry room. This big room has an entry to the patio as well. Roof was replaced in 2023. The HVAC is approximately 3 years old. If you enjoy being outdoors, come relax on the large covered patio. Plenty of room for your grill and entertaining guests. Don't let this gem get away.
-
2019-08-05soldstatus $119,900
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2015-11-23soldstatus $112,000
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2006-03-31soldstatus
-
2003-07-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,409
- − Management
- −$1,409
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,732
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$416
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,179
- Household income
- $67,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1007.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 129.572
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+47.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-08-06 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-07-21 Listed $168,000 NTREIS
- 2019-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 2015-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…