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168 W Kingsbridge Rd Duplex
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,000

168 W Kingsbridge Rd · New York, NY 10463
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,898 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1907 2,500 sqft lot Est $1064k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Cash only! Not mortgageable! This legal 2 family home, delivered vacant, is in need of a full renovation. Alternatively, the property offers approximately 7,500 buildable square feet, making it an excellent teardown opportunity with the potential to develop a small apartment building. Located on the border of Riverdale and Kingsbridge, the property offers convenient access to public transportation, shopping, and local amenities.

Key facts

  • Teardown opportunity
  • Convenient access
  • Full renovation

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONBUILDABLE SQUARE FEETTEARDOWN OPPORTUNITYCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tax year 2025

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric service provided by Con Edison; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Triplex; Total building area approximately 2898
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront; No additional parcels

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $799k).
  • Recommended offer: $775k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,268/mo this rent would consume 148% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 5586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($775k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $775,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
14.00%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,063,566
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 W 197th St 0.26mi 6/3.0 2,838 (-2%) 1mo $808,500 $285 83
125 W 197th St 0.26mi 6/3.0 2,838 (-2%) 20mo $1,185,000 $418 67
2743 Kingsbridge Ter 0.12mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,588 (-11%) 16mo $950,000 $367 54
2301 Loring Pl N 0.64mi 7/4.0 (+1) 3,072 (+6%) 16mo $975,000 $317 38
2882 Bailey Ave 0.34mi 7/4.0 (+1) 3,300 (+14%) 21mo $1,220,000 $370 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$85,426
Equity at exit
$119,133
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$509,966
Equity at exit
$69,083

Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10463

Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
342
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,268 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,190
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,257/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,946
Net cashflow
$2,611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,963
Max offer price $799,000
Occupancy floor 67%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $9,268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,750
Closing costs
$23,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $799,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $799,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $799,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $799,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $799,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $799,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $799,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $799,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $799,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $799,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $799,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $799,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $799,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    listed $799,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,257 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,880 · $657/mo
Expected delta
+$5,623/yr (+$469/mo · 249.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$111,216
− Mortgage interest
−$44,756
− Property taxes
−$2,257
− Insurance
−$3,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,897
− Management
−$8,897
− Depreciation
−$23,244
Taxable income
$19,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,601
After-tax cash flow
$26,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,470
Household income
$74,974
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
5586.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -294.75%
Current HPI
168.0211
Rent YoY
▲ 11.60%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,257 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…