Duplex
168 W Kingsbridge Rd · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Cash only! Not mortgageable! This legal 2 family home, delivered vacant, is in need of a full renovation. Alternatively, the property offers approximately 7,500 buildable square feet, making it an excellent teardown opportunity with the potential to develop a small apartment building. Located on the border of Riverdale and Kingsbridge, the property offers convenient access to public transportation, shopping, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Teardown opportunity
- Convenient access
- Full renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax year 2025
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Electric service provided by Con Edison; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available
- Home design: Triplex; Total building area approximately 2898
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $799k).
- Recommended offer: $775k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,268/mo this rent would consume 148% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 5586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($775k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.00%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,063,566
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 W 197th St | 0.26mi | 6/3.0 | 2,838 (-2%) | 1mo | $808,500 | $285 | 83 |
| 125 W 197th St | 0.26mi | 6/3.0 | 2,838 (-2%) | 20mo | $1,185,000 | $418 | 67 |
| 2743 Kingsbridge Ter | 0.12mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,588 (-11%) | 16mo | $950,000 | $367 | 54 |
| 2301 Loring Pl N | 0.64mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 3,072 (+6%) | 16mo | $975,000 | $317 | 38 |
| 2882 Bailey Ave | 0.34mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 3,300 (+14%) | 21mo | $1,220,000 | $370 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $85,426
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $509,966
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10463
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 342
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,257/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,946
- Net cashflow
- $2,611
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $9,268 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,634 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,634 |
| Total (2 units) | $9,268 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $799,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $799,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $799,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $799,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $799,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $799,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $799,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $799,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $799,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $799,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $799,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $799,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$799,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,257 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,880 · $657/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,623/yr (+$469/mo · 249.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $111,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$2,257
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,897
- − Management
- −$8,897
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable income
- $19,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,470
- Household income
- $74,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5586.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -294.75%
- Current HPI
- 168.0211
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.60%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,257 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…