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253 Hazelwood Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

253 Hazelwood Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,402 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1932 3,780 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

Key facts

  • 3,780 sq ft lot
  • Built 1932
  • Listed 4 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$138,798) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $65k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
18.82%
Cash-on-cash
44.73%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,798
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
265 Hagen St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-4%) 8mo $172,000 $128 74
112 Hazelwood Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+7%) 1mo $87,000 $58 70
78 Freund St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (+2%) 3mo $130,000 $91 67
124 Roma Ave 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+8%) 5mo $235,000 $155 67
213 Hagen St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,509 (+8%) 9mo $150,000 $99 58
64 Preston Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+11%) 17mo $120,000 $77 44
376 Norfolk Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+10%) 3mo $160,000 $104 42
20 Ericson Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,563 (+12%) 16mo $123,000 $79 35
50 Newburgh Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,519 (+8%) 20mo $135,000 $89 31
26 Andrews Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,586 (+13%) 16mo $195,000 $123 31
89 Fisher St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,197 (-15%) 21mo $155,000 $129 31
96 Cloverdale Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,574 (+12%) 18mo $121,000 $77 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$29,564
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$69,183
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $269/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $494
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $715 -5% $697 +0% $678 +5% $660 +10% $642
Rent -10% $572 -5% $625 +0% $678 +5% $732 +10% $785
Rate -1.0pp $711 -0.5pp $695 base $678 +0.5pp $662 +1.0pp $644

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1773 $1,100 $0.62 44d 1 0.26mi
61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.33mi
249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 44d 1 0.33mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.36mi
216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1690 $1,150 $0.68 24d 1 0.40mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 0.49mi
103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 882 $1,300 $1.47 3d 1 0.53mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 44d 1 0.72mi
65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 2d 1 0.77mi
50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 17d 1 0.78mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 2d 1 0.79mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 1.01mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 11d 1 1.06mi
11 Kaufman Dr Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 1.07mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 3d 1 1.11mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 1.11mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 1.19mi
24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 44d 1 1.32mi
220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 1.33mi
143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,600 $1.40 12d 1 1.35mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 19d 1 1.36mi
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 2d 1 1.38mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 17d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    historical
  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $65,000 Active
  4. 2022-12-18
    historical
  5. 2022-07-18
    listed $99,900 Active
  6. 2017-12-20
    soldstatus $35,300 Closed Sale or Rented 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

  7. 2017-12-20
    soldstatus $35,300
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

  8. 2017-11-28
    status Pending Sale 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

  9. 2017-11-17
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

  10. 2017-11-09
    listed $24,900 Active 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!

  11. 1994-03-29
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$269 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$684 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$415/yr (+$35/mo · 154.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,236
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$269
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,803
After-tax cash flow
$6,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-20 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $65,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-12-18 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-07-18 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,300 Public Records
  • 2017-12-20 Sold (MLS) $35,300 WNYREIS
  • 2017-11-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-11-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-11-09 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
  • 1994-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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