🏷️ Likely Rental
253 Hazelwood Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
Key facts
- 3,780 sq ft lot
- Built 1932
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $65k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.73%
- DSCR
- 2.99
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,798
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 Hagen St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-4%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 112 Hazelwood Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+7%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $58 | 70 |
| 78 Freund St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,426 (+2%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $91 | 67 |
| 124 Roma Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+8%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 213 Hagen St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,509 (+8%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 64 Preston Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+11%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $77 | 44 |
| 376 Norfolk Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+10%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $104 | 42 |
| 20 Ericson Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,563 (+12%) | 16mo | $123,000 | $79 | 35 |
| 50 Newburgh Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,519 (+8%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $89 | 31 |
| 26 Andrews Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+13%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $123 | 31 |
| 89 Fisher St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,197 (-15%) | 21mo | $155,000 | $129 | 31 |
| 96 Cloverdale Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (+12%) | 18mo | $121,000 | $77 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $29,564
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $69,183
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $269/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $678
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $715 | -5% $697 | +0% $678 | +5% $660 | +10% $642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $572 | -5% $625 | +0% $678 | +5% $732 | +10% $785 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $711 | -0.5pp $695 | base $678 | +0.5pp $662 | +1.0pp $644 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1773 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1690 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11 Kaufman Dr Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical
-
2026-04-16$65,000 Active
-
2022-12-18historical
-
2022-07-18$99,900 Active
-
2017-12-20soldstatus $35,300 Closed Sale or Rented 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
-
2017-12-20soldstatus $35,300
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
-
2017-11-28status Pending Sale 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
-
2017-11-17status Under Contract- Do Not Show 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
-
2017-11-09$24,900 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Listed well below the assessed value! Located on a quiet street in a fantastic heavy owner occupied area in the Hazelwood-Easton block club. Almost all major mechanicals updated in the past 5 years: New Water heater 2012, New main drain 2012, Electrical Service and Breaker Box replaced 2012, Sump Pump installed 2013, New Furnace installed 2014, and a Full Tear off roof 2015! Interior has been updated with flooring, paint, some windows and bathroom updates. First floor bath features a Corian countertop vanity and newer faucet. Formerly rented for $925/mo - grossing $11,100/yr in income. The new owner could convert second floor into a fourth bedroom or back into a 2 unit for even more income potential or have a tenant help pay your mortgage! Come check out this home today!
-
1994-03-29soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $269 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$415/yr (+$35/mo · 154.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$269
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+182.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $65,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-12-18 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-07-18 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,300 Public Records
- 2017-12-20 Sold (MLS) $35,300 WNYREIS
- 2017-11-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-11-17 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-11-09 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
- 1994-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…