801 E 43rd St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ESTATE SALE - calling all investors to this 4 bedroom1.5 bath detached home in Wilson Park with PARKING! The possibilities are endless! Close to schools, universities, downtown, Hampden, Northwood, shopping, major highways. Bring your vision and your tool kit. Kitchen has a built-in picnic table and benches, stainless steel appliances. Enclosed front porch opens to spacious living room. There is a separate dining room. The lower level features a laundry room and recreation room with a bar. There is a half bath in lower level. The upper level boasts 4 bedrooms and another full bathroom. There is a patio area in the oversized backyard. Perfect for summer cookouts, family gatherings! An
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Laundry room
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade area and unfinished space per assessor; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (2 spaces); Concrete driveway; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Major rehab needed; Fee simple ownership; Located in city limits (Baltimore City)
- Construction: Shingle siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above grade and below grade structure areas; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Rear vinyl fencing; Screened porch; Municipal trash service
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Microwave; Stove
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level; Master bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Ceiling fan cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Traditional floor plan with formal separate dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Carpeted areas; Screened porch; Recreation room; Connecting stairway to basement; Sump pump in basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer (laundry on lower floor); Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.52%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,575
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 E 42nd St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,416 (+0%) | 14mo | $191,000 | $135 | 70 |
| 603 Oakland Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (+7%) | 14mo | $106,000 | $70 | 65 |
| 4421 Wrenwood Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-13%) | 8mo | $51,700 | $42 | 63 |
| 3630 Old York Rd | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,386 (-2%) | 0mo | $255,500 | $184 | 63 |
| 5013 The Alameda | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-3%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 711 Argonne Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-7%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $148 | 62 |
| 5102 Norwood Rd | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 | 1,369 (-3%) | 5mo | $382,000 | $279 | 55 |
| 5106 Saint Georges Ave | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 | 1,249 (-11%) | 2mo | $127,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 4500 Eastway | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,562 (+11%) | 3mo | $475,000 | $304 | 49 |
| 3913 Loch Raven Blvd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,542 (+9%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $133 | 40 |
| 5214 The Alameda | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,511 (+7%) | 14mo | $297,000 | $197 | 38 |
| 409 Woodford Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,253 (-11%) | 8mo | $339,500 | $271 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $20,546
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $86,193
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21212
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,104 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,980/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 Springfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 706 E 43rd St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $1,899 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 513 E 41st St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 804 Radnor Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1654 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 514 Radnor Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1575 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3721 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 894 | $1,603 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5001 Govane Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 543 Chateau Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 510 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1224 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 711 1/2 McCabe Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1204 | $2,350 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1275 Kitmore Rd Unit 1245K-T Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,895 | $2.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1539 Ralworth Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3529 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,575 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 724 E 35th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1617 Argonne Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,550 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5200 Ready Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1221 Glenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,595 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5204 Kelway Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1502 Fernley Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $2,500 | $2.39 | 4d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 348 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3222 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1550 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3501 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 916 | $2,700 | $2.95 | 1d | 172 | 1.01mi |
| 1008 Tunbridge Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,050 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3221 Guilford Ave Apt A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $2,925 | $2.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 500 W University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $3,020 | $3.16 | 2d | 60 | 1.09mi |
| 616 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5622 Midwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5520 Sagra Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1702 E 32nd St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,300 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 828 Saint Dunstans Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 420 E 28th St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1539 Abbotston St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1519 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 402 E 28th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07status $150,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-31$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,980 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,980 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,980
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,020
- − Management
- −$2,020
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $5,714
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,371
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,974
- Household income
- $96,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 769.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -392.44%
- Current HPI
- 267.4569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,980 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…