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A- Composite 82.57
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$329,000

11236 N Rain Pt · Inglis, FL 34449
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 319 Days on market
Built 2007 0.40 ac lot Est $409k · 19% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape the City – River Access | No HOA | RV Parking | Solar | Private River Access Move in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a true escape from city congestion with private access to the Withlacoochee River, providing boating, fishing, and quick access to the Gulf of Mexico just minutes away. Situated on a spacious 0.40-acre lot in Inglis, this property is designed for freedom and flexibility. With no HOA, you can bring your boat, RV, golf cart, and all your outdoor toys. The home features a 50-amp RV hookup, an attached two-car garage, and a detached workshop with electric, offering space for guests, travel, storage, hobbies, or work-from-home flexibility. An enclosed Florida r

Key facts

  • Direct gulf access
  • Brand-new roof
  • Solar panels

Tags

DIRECT GULF ACCESSSOLAR PANELSBRAND-NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Paved driveway; Private parking; RV access/parking; Boat parking
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Riverfront property with river access; Level lot; Unimproved road frontage and road surface; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Water softener (owned); Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Master bedroom on the ground floor; Blinds and window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $329k).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#796 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Citrus average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $289,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.66%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$408,575
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
119 Risher Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,405 (-5%) 5mo $275,000 $196 71
28 Rivertrail Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,540 (+4%) 18mo $426,500 $277 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$127,002
Equity at exit
$167,380
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$334,117
Equity at exit
$274,222

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34449

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,254/yr
Insurance
$137
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$924
Net cashflow
$1,083

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,030
Max offer price $329,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
28 River Trail Dr Inglis, FL 3.0 2.5 1540 $4,400 $2.86 21d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 319 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 318 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 317 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $329,000 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 314 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 311 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 310 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,000 Active 305 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active 304 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active 303 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active 302 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,000 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-04-24
    price $329,000
  14. 2025-09-24
    status Active
  15. 2025-09-24
    historical
  16. 2025-09-23
    historical
  17. 2025-08-15
    status Active
  18. 2025-07-31
    listed $346,999 Active
  19. 2025-07-31
    listed $346,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,254 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,731 · $228/mo
Expected delta
+$1,476/yr (+$123/mo · 117.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,800
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$1,254
− Insurance
−$6,764
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,224
− Management
−$4,224
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable income
$8,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,000
After-tax cash flow
$10,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Inglis

Score
61/100
State rank
#796
US rank
#18314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,508

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.03%
Current HPI
319.0929
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $329,000 RACC
  • 2025-09-24 Relisted RACC
  • 2025-09-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-23 Delisted RACC
  • 2025-08-15 Relisted RACC
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $346,999 RACC
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $346,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,254 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…