CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3500 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K 101
D Composite 42.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$121,000

3500 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K 101 · South Bradenton, FL 34205
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · Condo · 22 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition $569/mo HOA · 34% of rent ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy Florida living in the sought-after 55+ community of Bayshore on the Lake! This beautifully renovated first-floor end-unit condo offers the perfect combination of comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living - ideal as a seasonal retreat or full-time residence. Inside, you’ll find a bright and inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath split layout featuring luxury vinyl flooring throughout and a spacious open-concept living and dining area designed for entertaining and everyday comfort. The primary bedroom features a spacious closet with a separate dressing or vanity area. The enclosed lanai, accessed from the primary bedroom and living room, adds valuable bonus space, perfect for

Key facts

  • $569 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Floor number: 1; Living area 1,144 sq ft (building area 1,326 sq ft); Located on a 3.66-acre property
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Association: Resource Property Management; Monthly condo fee $569 (includes cable TV, pool, internet, structure & grounds maintenance, recreational facilities, trash); Total annual fees $6,828; Association approval required; Community features: Clubhouse, Pool; Senior community; Laundry available through association; No pets allowed; Buyer approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Residential condominium; One level; East-facing
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building K
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Outdoor grill; Sliding doors; Lake access with fishing pier; Paved roads

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Split-bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Elevator access in building
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $121k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (10.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $121k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert H. Prine Elementary School (math 46% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 744 students, 75% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Recommended offer $108,394 (10.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.09%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.2%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-29,671
Equity at exit
$18,041
10-year hold
IRR
-62.2%
Equity multiple
-0.49×
Total profit
$-50,355
Equity at exit
$10,462

Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34205

Rents YoY
-2.4%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$635
Tax est. 1.5%
$151 /mo · $1,815/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$569
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$-87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,779
Max offer price $108,394
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-4 -5% $-45 +0% $-87 +5% $-129 +10% $-171
Rent -10% $-219 -5% $-153 +0% $-87 +5% $-21 +10% $45
Rate -1.0pp $-26 -0.5pp $-56 base $-87 +0.5pp $-118 +1.0pp $-150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,250
Closing costs
$3,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,250 $1.09 24d 1 0.02mi
3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $2,300 $2.01 24d 1 0.02mi
4444 17th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 24d 1 0.19mi
4204 Heron Way Unit B304 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 4d 1 0.23mi
4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,510 $1.87 2d 14 0.30mi
2305 46th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1005 $1,837 $1.83 3d 10 0.34mi
4607 21st St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1133 $2,500 $2.21 24d 1 0.36mi
3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 15d 1 0.40mi
4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,340 $1.17 24d 1 0.40mi
4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,600 $1.40 4d 1 0.40mi
3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,700 $1.49 24d 1 0.40mi
3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 22d 1 0.40mi
4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 24d 1 0.40mi
3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 874 $1,725 $1.97 24d 5 0.55mi
1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 715 $1,199 $1.68 24d 1 0.56mi
2004 49th Ave W Unit 2002 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1021 $1,950 $1.91 24d 1 0.59mi
4906 21st St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 918 $1,700 $1.85 17d 1 0.61mi
4705 27th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,325 $1.77 4d 1 0.62mi
4916 18th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,650 $1.41 24d 1 0.65mi
5001 22nd St W Unit B Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 729 $1,700 $2.33 17d 1 0.68mi
4906 25th St W #101 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.5 1070 $1,550 $1.45 24d 1 0.72mi
4812 27th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 912 $1,599 $1.75 12d 1 0.73mi
4812 27th St W Unit 4812 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 912 $1,545 $1.69 12d 1 0.73mi
919 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,599 $1.68 12d 1 0.76mi
5016 22nd St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 4d 1 0.77mi
907 34th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 24d 1 0.77mi
907 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 1.0 985 $1,599 $1.62 21d 1 0.77mi
2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 945 $1,700 $1.80 24d 1 0.78mi
2835 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,610 $1.89 4d 16 0.82mi
655 Park Cir Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.5 816 $1,100 $1.35 24d 1 0.83mi
2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,525 $1.62 3d 1 0.88mi
3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,100 $1.75 4d 1 0.90mi
915 50th Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 24d 1 0.90mi
4630 5th St W Ste 6 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 12d 1 0.90mi
5059 Live Oak Cir Unit 5059 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 896 $1,900 $2.12 17d 1 0.92mi
707 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 730 $1,150 $1.58 24d 1 0.96mi
304 47th Avenue Dr W #112 Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 24d 1 0.96mi
4810 Ho Wil Ln Unit 4810 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,600 $2.04 24d 1 0.97mi
5062 Live Oak Cir Unit 5026 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 896 $1,545 $1.72 17d 1 0.97mi
5103 29th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1258 $2,600 $2.07 24d 1 0.99mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$569 · $6,828/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $121,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $121,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $121,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $121,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $121,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $121,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $121,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $121,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $121,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $121,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $121,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $121,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $121,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $121,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $121,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-01
    historical
  17. 2026-01-08
    price $121,000
  18. 2026-01-07
    listed $1,375
  19. 2026-01-01
    historical $1,375
  20. 2025-10-06
    listed $128,000 Active
  21. 2025-09-27
    price $1,375
  22. 2025-09-10
    price $1,400
  23. 2025-08-16
    listed $1,600
  24. 2025-06-19
    historical
  25. 2025-03-18
    price $169,900
  26. 2025-02-07
    price $179,900
  27. 2025-01-21
    price $183,000
  28. 2025-01-02
    listed $195,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,022
− Mortgage interest
−$6,778
− Property taxes
−$1,815
− Insurance
−$605
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,602
− Management
−$1,602
− HOA
−$6,828
− Depreciation
−$3,520
Taxable loss
−$2,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$655
After-tax cash flow
$-391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and updated condo is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — South Bradenton

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3092

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bradenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,946
Household income
$52,525
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
1736.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -310.18%
Current HPI
369.8239
Rent YoY
▼ -2.43%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,375 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $1,375 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $128,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $1,375 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $1,400 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-08-16 Listed for Rent $1,600 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-21 Price Changed $183,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…