3500 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K 101 · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy Florida living in the sought-after 55+ community of Bayshore on the Lake! This beautifully renovated first-floor end-unit condo offers the perfect combination of comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living - ideal as a seasonal retreat or full-time residence. Inside, you’ll find a bright and inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath split layout featuring luxury vinyl flooring throughout and a spacious open-concept living and dining area designed for entertaining and everyday comfort. The primary bedroom features a spacious closet with a separate dressing or vanity area. The enclosed lanai, accessed from the primary bedroom and living room, adds valuable bonus space, perfect for
Key facts
- $569 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Floor number: 1; Living area 1,144 sq ft (building area 1,326 sq ft); Located on a 3.66-acre property
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Association: Resource Property Management; Monthly condo fee $569 (includes cable TV, pool, internet, structure & grounds maintenance, recreational facilities, trash); Total annual fees $6,828; Association approval required; Community features: Clubhouse, Pool; Senior community; Laundry available through association; No pets allowed; Buyer approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Residential condominium; One level; East-facing
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building K
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Outdoor grill; Sliding doors; Lake access with fishing pier; Paved roads
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Split-bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Elevator access in building
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $121k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (10.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $121k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert H. Prine Elementary School (math 46% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 744 students, 75% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.09%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-29,671
- Equity at exit
- $18,041
- IRR
- -62.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-50,355
- Equity at exit
- $10,462
Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$151 /mo · $1,815/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$569
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-4 | -5% $-45 | +0% $-87 | +5% $-129 | +10% $-171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-219 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-87 | +5% $-21 | +10% $45 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-26 | -0.5pp $-56 | base $-87 | +0.5pp $-118 | +1.0pp $-150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,250
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,300 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4444 17th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4204 Heron Way Unit B304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,510 | $1.87 | 2d | 14 | 0.30mi |
| 2305 46th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $1,837 | $1.83 | 3d | 10 | 0.34mi |
| 4607 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,725 | $1.97 | 24d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,199 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2004 49th Ave W Unit 2002 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,950 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4906 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4705 27th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4916 18th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5001 22nd St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4906 25th St W #101 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $1,550 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4812 27th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,599 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4812 27th St W Unit 4812 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,545 | $1.69 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 919 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,599 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5016 22nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,599 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,700 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2835 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,610 | $1.89 | 4d | 16 | 0.82mi |
| 655 Park Cir Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 915 50th Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4630 5th St W Ste 6 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5059 Live Oak Cir Unit 5059 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,900 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 707 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 304 47th Avenue Dr W #112 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4810 Ho Wil Ln Unit 4810 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,600 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5062 Live Oak Cir Unit 5026 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,545 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5103 29th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,600 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $569 · $6,828/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-18days on market $121,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $121,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $121,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $121,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $121,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $121,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $121,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $121,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $121,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $121,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-27$121,000 Active
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2026-04-01historical
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2026-01-08price $121,000
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2026-01-07$1,375
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2026-01-01historical $1,375
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2025-10-06$128,000 Active
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2025-09-27price $1,375
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2025-09-10price $1,400
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2025-08-16$1,600
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2025-06-19historical
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2025-03-18price $169,900
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2025-02-07price $179,900
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2025-01-21price $183,000
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2025-01-02$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$1,815
- − Insurance
- −$605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − HOA
- −$6,828
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable loss
- −$2,728
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $-391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained and updated condo is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves energy efficiency and adds a modern touch. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-37.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,375 STELLARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $1,375 STELLARMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $128,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $1,375 STELLARMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $1,400 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-16 Listed for Rent $1,600 STELLARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-07 Price Changed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $183,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-02 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…