405 W 2nd Ave · Franklin, VA 23851

$175,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market

Built 1913 4,791 sqft lot $78/sqft · 27% below area Est $241k · 27% under ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +6.1/10.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Step into timeless charm in this stunning Queen Anne Victorian featuring beautifully preserved original wood flooring and a welcoming wood staircase that sets the tone from the moment you enter, The renovated kitchen blends modern convenience with historic character making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Rich archetectural details throughout. Large dining room with lots of natural light, family room with cozy gaslogs in the fireplace. 1 bedroom and bath downstairs. 4 large bedrooms upstairs & bathroom. 2 Covered porches for relaxing. Fenced in backyard, all located near shopping, dining and parks.

Key facts

• Large dining room
• Covered porches
• Cozy gaslogs

Tags

• ORIGINAL WOOD FLOORING
• WOOD STAIRCASE
• RENOVATED KITCHEN
• LARGE DINING ROOM
• COZY GASLOGS
• COVERED PORCHES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (2.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#461 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Franklin City Public School District (town): math 23% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #127 of 131 in VA (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Franklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $74k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $159,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.83%
• DSCR: 1.21
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $240,566
• List price: $175,000
• Delta: -27.25%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
303 W Second Ave	0.04mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,183 (-2%)	2mo	$165,000	$76	83
609 Pace St	0.18mi	4/2.5	2,356 (+5%)	2mo	$330,000	$140	79
504 Cameron St	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,100 (-6%)	4mo	$299,000	$142	71
603 N High St	0.34mi	4/2.0	2,091 (-7%)	10mo	$101,000	$48	65
105 N High St	0.06mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,924 (-14%)	7mo	$259,000	$135	61
100 Langston Ct	0.42mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,100 (-6%)	8mo	$320,000	$152	56
506 Walnut St	0.45mi	4/2.5	1,958 (-13%)	3mo	$140,000	$72	53
325 Clay St	0.21mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,013 (-10%)	18mo	$285,000	$142	52
509 Walnut St	0.47mi	4/2.0	1,976 (-12%)	8mo	$275,000	$139	51
904 N High St	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,460 (+10%)	7mo	$375,000	$152	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-15,813
• Equity at exit: $26,093

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.05×
• Total profit: $2,347
• Equity at exit: $15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 23851

• Home prices YoY: -10.2%
• Active inventory: 137
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,700 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$155 /mo · $1,862/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$357
• Net cashflow: $197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,450

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $296	-5% $247	+0% $197	+5% $148	+10% $98
Rent	-10% $63	-5% $130	+0% $197	+5% $264	+10% $331
Rate	-1.0pp $285	-0.5pp $242	base $197	+0.5pp $152	+1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1700 South St Franklin, VA	3.0	2.0	2500	$1,700	$0.68	44d	1	0.77mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $175,000 Active 120 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $175,000 Active 118 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $175,000 Active 117 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $175,000 Active 115 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $175,000 Active 114 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $175,000 Active 113 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $175,000 Active 112 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $175,000 Active 109 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 108 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 107 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 105 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 103 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 102 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 101 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 100 DOM
17. 2026-05-13
    status Active 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into timeless charm in this stunning Queen Anne Victorian featuring beautifully preserved original wood flooring and a welcoming wood staircase that sets the tone from the moment you enter, The renovated kitchen blends modern convenience with historic character making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Rich archetectural details throughout. Large dining room with lots of natural light, family room with cozy gaslogs in the fireplace. 1 bedroom and bath downstairs. 4 large bedrooms upstairs & bathroom. 2 Covered porches for relaxing. Fenced in backyard, all located near shopping, dining and parks.

18. 2026-05-04
    historical 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into timeless charm in this stunning Queen Anne Victorian featuring beautifully preserved original wood flooring and a welcoming wood staircase that sets the tone from the moment you enter, The renovated kitchen blends modern convenience with historic character making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Rich archetectural details throughout. Large dining room with lots of natural light, family room with cozy gaslogs in the fireplace. 1 bedroom and bath downstairs. 4 large bedrooms upstairs & bathroom. 2 Covered porches for relaxing. Fenced in backyard, all located near shopping, dining and parks.

19. 2026-03-30
    price $235,000 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into timeless charm in this stunning Queen Anne Victorian featuring beautifully preserved original wood flooring and a welcoming wood staircase that sets the tone from the moment you enter, The renovated kitchen blends modern convenience with historic character making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Rich archetectural details throughout. Large dining room with lots of natural light, family room with cozy gaslogs in the fireplace. 1 bedroom and bath downstairs. 4 large bedrooms upstairs & bathroom. 2 Covered porches for relaxing. Fenced in backyard, all located near shopping, dining and parks.

20. 2026-02-11
    listed $249,000 Active 625-char remark

    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Step into timeless charm in this stunning Queen Anne Victorian featuring beautifully preserved original wood flooring and a welcoming wood staircase that sets the tone from the moment you enter, The renovated kitchen blends modern convenience with historic character making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Rich archetectural details throughout. Large dining room with lots of natural light, family room with cozy gaslogs in the fireplace. 1 bedroom and bath downstairs. 4 large bedrooms upstairs & bathroom. 2 Covered porches for relaxing. Fenced in backyard, all located near shopping, dining and parks.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,862 · $155/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,862 · $155/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$1,862
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,632
• − Management: −$1,632
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable loss: −$495
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$119
• After-tax cash flow: $2,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Franklin City Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5101410
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -48.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -18.00%
• Median HH income: $35,138
• Composite: 30.47/100
• National rank: #6227
• State rank: #127 of 131 in VA

Livability — Franklin

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #461
• US rank: #19645

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Franklin, VA
• Population (ZIP): 13,481

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 7,817 people
• By 2030: 7,480 · -4.3%
• By 2040: 6,803 · -13.0%
• By 2050: 6,124 · -21.7%
• By 2075: 4,484 · -42.6%
• By 2100: 2,967 · -62.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 45% White 44% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · South Korea, Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 28.1pp · 2024: 22.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+25.6 2016: D+27.1 2012: D+30.7 2008: D+28.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -33.51%
• Current HPI: 293.564
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

-5.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Relisted — REINMLS
• 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — REINMLS
• 2026-03-30 Price Changed $235,000 REINMLS
• 2026-02-11 Listed $249,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,862 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.