7889 NE 42nd Ter · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HONEY FOR THE MONEY! 1999 4/2/1 with 1248 square feet of living tucked on a 1/4 acre parcel and minutes to everything! Spacious eat in kitchen, attached one car garage, partial fencing and large rear yard. Take a peek and make an offer quick! See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section.
Key facts
- Large yard
- New septic system
- Updated flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $231k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.9% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $235k implies a 415% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.59%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 Powell St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,167 (-6%) | 3mo | $216,000 | $185 | 71 |
| 905 Ida St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,162 (-7%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $211 | 66 |
| 608 Gray Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,204 (-4%) | 13mo | $203,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 7936 NE 42nd Ter | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-12%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 502 Gray Ave | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 | 1,362 (+9%) | 3mo | $226,000 | $166 | 57 |
| 400 Jackson St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-6%) | 5mo | $149,000 | $127 | 49 |
| 4630 Parkview Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+13%) | 3mo | $265,990 | $189 | 46 |
| 600 W Clarke St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-12%) | 1mo | $194,500 | $178 | 45 |
| 8713 Triumph Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+13%) | 3mo | $276,505 | $196 | 45 |
| 4641 Parkview Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+13%) | 4mo | $269,990 | $192 | 44 |
| 4646 Parkview Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+13%) | 6mo | $271,990 | $193 | 41 |
| 8419 Clearway Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+13%) | 8mo | $264,990 | $188 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-8,505
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $29,465
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34785
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,444 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4980 Red Maple Ln Unit C1 Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,801 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5115 Spanish Harbor Dr Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,680 | $1.70 | 21d | 29 | 0.82mi |
| 8362 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7011 Homestead Lp Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,759 | $1.76 | 21d | 22 | 1.09mi |
| 2290 Nackman Pl The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,800 | $2.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6629 Dan DiCiolla Dr Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1075 | $2,399 | $2.23 | 21d | 44 | 1.34mi |
| 3025 Bartow Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $3,500 | $2.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2280 Biscayne Ave The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,000 | $2.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7730 Wilds Loop Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $2,384 | $2.20 | 21d | 28 | 1.37mi |
| 2272 Vassar Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $235,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-12$216,000 Active
-
2016-02-02soldstatus $45,595 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
HONEY FOR THE MONEY! 1999 4/2/1 with 1248 square feet of living tucked on a 1/4 acre parcel and minutes to everything! Spacious eat in kitchen, attached one car garage, partial fencing and large rear yard. Take a peek and make an offer quick! See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section.
-
2015-11-13$57,900 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
HONEY FOR THE MONEY! 1999 4/2/1 with 1248 square feet of living tucked on a 1/4 acre parcel and minutes to everything! Spacious eat in kitchen, attached one car garage, partial fencing and large rear yard. Take a peek and make an offer quick! See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section.
-
1998-06-01soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,548 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,950 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$402/yr (+$34/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,323
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$1,548
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,346
- − Management
- −$2,346
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $1,908
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$458
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,568
- Household income
- $66,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.9137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.85%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+2300.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $216,000 FSBO.com
- 2016-02-02 Sold (MLS) $45,595 RACC
- 2015-11-13 Listed $57,900 RACC
- 1998-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,548 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…