2847 N 46th Ave #10 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**
Key facts
- Renovated condo
- Natural light
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features per assessor
- HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee of $156.45; HOA covers exterior maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 covered/1 carport space); Assigned parking
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse (attached property); Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
- Exterior features: Desert front yard; Natural desert in back; Gravel/stone in back; Block fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Non-laminate counters; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Possible 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (total 1)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; 9+ foot flat ceilings; No interior steps; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hook-ups only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($413/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Justine Spitalny Ste3Am School (math 6% / reading 18%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 682 students, 78% FRL); Marc T. Atkinson Middle School & Gifted Academy (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #156 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 184 students, 76% FRL); Maryvale High School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,795 students, 88% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $105k implies a 653% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.40%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-17,789
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-24,121
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85035
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,028 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$156
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $94 | -5% $64 | +0% $34 | +5% $5 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $-6 | +0% $34 | +5% $75 | +10% $116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $61 | base $34 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2627 N 45th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 843 | $1,025 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4903 W Thomas Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 521 | $1,097 | $2.11 | 0d | 28 | 0.37mi |
| 2827 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 684 | $1,020 | $1.49 | 0d | 12 | 0.65mi |
| 2540 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 637 | $1,017 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2634 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $799 | $1.80 | 0d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 1950 N 43rd Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 435 | $1,050 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1950 N 43rd Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 435 | $950 | $2.18 | 9d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 1S Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 485 | $950 | $1.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 1L Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,140 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 2-1 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $1,224 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4620 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ | — | 1.0 | 400 | $800 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4030 N 44th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,195 | $2.28 | 0d | 16 | 0.96mi |
| 5305 W Thomas Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $895 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4140 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 656 | $949 | $1.45 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3675 W Osborn Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $899 | $1.71 | 0d | 6 | 1.21mi |
| 3229 N 54th Ln Unit C Phoenix, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3030 N 35th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $988 | $1.83 | 0d | 48 | 1.29mi |
| 3830 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,082 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3810 N Maryvale Pkwy Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $790 | $0.98 | 3d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 3810 N Maryvale Pkwy Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $790 | $0.98 | 0d | 2 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $156 · $1,872/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-04-21historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
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2026-04-14status Active
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2026-02-26status Pending
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2026-02-24historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
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2026-01-27$115,000 Active
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2025-11-28$125,000 Active
-
2010-03-15soldstatus $13,950 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**
-
2010-01-19historical 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**
-
2009-05-29$13,950 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**
-
2006-09-04historical
-
2006-07-08$98,900
-
1991-09-30soldstatus $129,500
-
1991-09-30soldstatus $119,900
-
1987-06-05soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $330 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $693 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 110.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$987
- − Management
- −$987
- − HOA
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$1,299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$312
- After-tax cash flow
- $725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,424
- Household income
- $60,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2269.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 32% Black 10% White 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 62% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.58%
- Current HPI
- 499.1137
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+945.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $115,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-11-28 Listed $125,000 ARMLS
- 2010-03-15 Sold (MLS) $13,950 ARMLS
- 2010-01-19 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2009-05-29 Listed $13,950 ARMLS
- 2006-09-04 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-07-08 Listed $98,900 ARMLS
- 1991-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 1991-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records
- 1987-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $330 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…