CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2847 N 46th Ave #10
D Composite 40.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

2847 N 46th Ave #10 · Phoenix, AZ 85035
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 705 sqft · Condo public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1980 $156/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**

Key facts

  • Renovated condo
  • Natural light
  • Open layout

Tags

RENOVATED CONDOUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMOPEN LAYOUTNATURAL LIGHTTURNKEY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot features per assessor
  • HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee of $156.45; HOA covers exterior maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (1 covered/1 carport space); Assigned parking
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse (attached property); Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Desert front yard; Natural desert in back; Gravel/stone in back; Block fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Non-laminate counters; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Possible 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (total 1)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; 9+ foot flat ceilings; No interior steps; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Dual-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hook-ups only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($413/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (2.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Justine Spitalny Ste3Am School (math 6% / reading 18%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 682 students, 78% FRL); Marc T. Atkinson Middle School & Gifted Academy (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #156 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 184 students, 76% FRL); Maryvale High School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,795 students, 88% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $105k implies a 653% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.40%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-17,789
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-24,121
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85035

Home prices YoY
-14.3%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,028 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $330/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$156
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $985
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $64 +0% $34 +5% $5 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-47 -5% $-6 +0% $34 +5% $75 +10% $116
Rate -1.0pp $87 -0.5pp $61 base $34 +0.5pp $7 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2627 N 45th Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 843 $1,025 $1.22 0d 1 0.11mi
4903 W Thomas Rd Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 521 $1,097 $2.11 0d 28 0.37mi
2827 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 684 $1,020 $1.49 0d 12 0.65mi
2540 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 637 $1,017 $1.60 0d 1 0.77mi
2634 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 445 $799 $1.80 0d 10 0.77mi
1950 N 43rd Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 435 $1,050 $2.41 3d 1 0.81mi
1950 N 43rd Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 435 $950 $2.18 9d 1 0.81mi
4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 1S Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 485 $950 $1.96 0d 1 0.88mi
4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 1L Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 630 $1,140 $1.81 0d 1 0.88mi
4620 W McDowell Rd Unit 2-1 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 731 $1,224 $1.67 0d 1 0.88mi
4620 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ 1.0 400 $800 $2.00 0d 1 0.92mi
4030 N 44th Ave Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 525 $1,195 $2.28 0d 16 0.96mi
5305 W Thomas Rd Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 728 $895 $1.23 0d 1 0.97mi
4140 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 656 $949 $1.45 0d 1 1.01mi
3675 W Osborn Rd Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 525 $899 $1.71 0d 6 1.21mi
3229 N 54th Ln Unit C Phoenix, AZ 1.0 1.0 695 $1,100 $1.58 0d 1 1.22mi
3030 N 35th Ave Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0 540 $988 $1.83 0d 48 1.29mi
3830 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0 679 $1,082 $1.59 0d 1 1.29mi
3810 N Maryvale Pkwy Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 804 $790 $0.98 3d 2 1.35mi
3810 N Maryvale Pkwy Phoenix, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 804 $790 $0.98 0d 2 1.35mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$156 · $1,872/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-05-01
    status Active
  10. 2026-04-21
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  11. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  12. 2026-02-26
    status Pending
  13. 2026-02-24
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  14. 2026-01-27
    listed $115,000 Active
  15. 2026-01-12
    historical
  16. 2025-11-28
    listed $125,000 Active
  17. 2010-03-15
    soldstatus $13,950 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**

  18. 2010-01-19
    historical 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**

  19. 2009-05-29
    listed $13,950 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    HUD Home. Sold 'AS IS' by Electronic Bid ONLY. For Availability, Bid Submission, Prop Condition Report, Forms, Disclosures, & Owner/Occ Incentives go to *MCB Website shown in Realtor Remarks. FHA Case #023-229166. Available 01/08/10. Bids due by 01/12/10 @ 11:59 PM then daily until sold. MCB makes no warranty as to the current or future existence of mold in this property and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof. *Not on lockbox, See Realtor Remarks* Buyer to verify all info. Eligible for FHA 203K financing. FHA INSURED. **PRICE REDUCED**

  20. 2006-09-04
    historical
  21. 2006-07-08
    listed $98,900
  22. 1991-09-30
    soldstatus $129,500
  23. 1991-09-30
    soldstatus $119,900
  24. 1987-06-05
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$330 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$693 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 110.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,338
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$330
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$987
− Management
−$987
− HOA
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$1,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$312
After-tax cash flow
$725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
NCES district ID
0406330
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$39,055
Composite
10.63/100
National rank
#9773
State rank
#224 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
53,424
Household income
$60,440
Rent vs Own
53.4% rent · 46.6% own
Severe rent burden
2269.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 32% Black 10% White 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 70%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 62% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.58%
Current HPI
499.1137
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+945.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $115,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Listed $125,000 ARMLS
  • 2010-03-15 Sold (MLS) $13,950 ARMLS
  • 2010-01-19 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2009-05-29 Listed $13,950 ARMLS
  • 2006-09-04 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-07-08 Listed $98,900 ARMLS
  • 1991-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 1991-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records
  • 1987-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $330 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…