2128 W Bremer Ave · Waverly, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Selling for living estate.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Bonus room
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.26 acres (80 x 125)
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (7.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.4% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in IA, #406 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Waverly-Shell Rock Community School District (town): math 79% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #46 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 34 units permitted in Bremer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bremer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $210k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.78%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,774
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- 0.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2208 NW 3rd Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,690 (-0%) | 11mo | $198,000 | $117 | 73 |
| 1904 NW 2nd Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (-6%) | 1mo | $208,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 1706 NW 3rd Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,704 (+1%) | 12mo | $187,000 | $110 | 64 |
| 1700 NW 4th Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (-2%) | 11mo | $258,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 1402 Leitha Ter | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+2%) | 4mo | $278,000 | $161 | 52 |
| 1825 NW 4th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,510 (-11%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 1719 NW 3rd Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,562 (-8%) | 18mo | $205,000 | $131 | 47 |
| 115 SW Iowa Ct | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 | 1,588 (-6%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $107 | 43 |
| 413 NW 17th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-14%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $158 | 42 |
| 128 Red Fox Trl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,467 (-13%) | 7mo | $399,900 | $273 | 40 |
| 1200 4th Ave Ave SW | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,832 (+8%) | 22mo | $213,000 | $116 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-39,567
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-41,509
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50677
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,730 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $31 | -5% $-28 | +0% $-87 | +5% $-147 | +10% $-206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-224 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-87 | +5% $-19 | +10% $49 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $18 | -0.5pp $-34 | base $-87 | +0.5pp $-142 | +1.0pp $-197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1260 Leitha Ter Waverly, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,730 | $1.44 | 22d | 2 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $210,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $220,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$240,000 Active 529-char remark
-
2026-03-13soldstatus $125,000
-
2026-02-26soldstatus $125,000 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Selling for living estate.
-
2026-01-31$125,000 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Selling for living estate.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,184 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,240 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$56/yr (+$5/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,184
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,661
- − Management
- −$1,661
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$4,668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $72/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waverly-Shell Rock Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930540
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,860
- Composite
- 65.73/100
- National rank
- #459
- State rank
- #46 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waverly
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waverly, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,655
Population outlook (Bremer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,557 people
- By 2030
- 25,842 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 26,206 · +2.5%
- By 2050
- 26,620 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 27,635 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 28,760 · +12.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bremer
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.2) · D 38.3% · R 60.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: -22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.2 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+2.5 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.54%
- Current HPI
- 178.9673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+68.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $210,000 IAR
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $220,000 IAR
- 2026-04-22 Listed $240,000 IAR
- 2026-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-26 Sold (MLS) $125,000 IAR
- 2026-01-31 Listed $125,000 IAR
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,184 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…