🏗️ New Construction
Toby C Plan · Opelika, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Cash flow +3.1/30.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
Key facts
- Open concept kitchen
- Private en-suite
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $274).
- Recommended offer: $241 (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 3.8% in Opelika — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Opelika City (urban): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #45 of 129 in AL (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 532 active listings in the ZIP; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($241) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $325k (100%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2103.8% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.71%
- DSCR
- 0.39
- GRM
- 17.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $384,297
- List price
- $274
- Delta
- -99.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Firefly Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+1%) | 12mo | $360,913 | $256 | 84 |
| 251 Firefly Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+1%) | 6mo | $353,919 | $251 | 82 |
| 161 Firefly Ln | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,535 (+10%) | 3mo | $388,800 | $253 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-134,420
- Equity at exit
- $57,300
- IRR
- -39.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.77×
- Total profit
- $-190,974
- Equity at exit
- $33,227
Cash invested: $107,603 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36801
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 532
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,806 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,015
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$480 /mo · $5,764/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $-1,229
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,074
- Closing costs
- $11,529
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $274 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $274 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $274 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $274 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $274 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-05pricedays on market $274 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $272 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $272 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $272 Active 211 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $272 Active 210 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $272 Active 209 DOM
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2026-03-26price $269 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2026-03-22price $310,938 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2026-02-20price $317,283 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2026-01-11status Active 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2026-01-11price $327,096 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2026-01-10historical 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2025-12-28price $82 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2025-12-19price $327,014 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
-
2025-11-02$325,387 Active 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
The Toby C is a beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1391 square foot home with a front entry single car garage. The entry way opens up into a foyer that leads on one side to the two guest bedrooms with a shared full bathroom, and on the other side into the open concept kitchen, living, and dining areas. The kitchen features a large island with plenty of cabinet space. Just off of the kitchen is the laundry room, which leads into the front entry garage. The kitchen flows into the living area that features floor to ceiling windows and access to the backyard. The primary suite sits at the back of the home and features a private en-suite with a large walk in closet and private tub/shower with a single vanity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,673
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,527
- − Property taxes
- −$5,764
- − Insurance
- −$1,921
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,734
- − Management
- −$1,734
- − Depreciation
- −$11,180
- Taxable loss
- −$22,186
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,325
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Opelika City
- NCES district ID
- 0102580
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,081
- Composite
- 29.34/100
- National rank
- #6541
- State rank
- #45 of 129 in AL
Livability — Opelika
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #15556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lee County · 144,175 people
- City population
- 45,973
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,438
- Household income
- $62,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1025.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,440 people
- By 2030
- 217,417 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 259,467 · +32.1%
- By 2050
- 301,557 · +53.5%
- By 2075
- 402,186 · +104.7%
- By 2100
- 474,503 · +141.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.80%
- Current HPI
- 261.6632
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-4.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $269 Zillow
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $310,938 Zillow
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $317,283 Zillow
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $327,096 Zillow
- 2026-01-11 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-01-10 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $82 Zillow
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $327,014 Zillow
- 2025-11-02 Listed $325,387 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…