1355 3rd Ave · Marion, IA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Awesome long term rental property that could be perfect single family rental. Terrific condition and vacant ready for the next owner/investor!
Key facts
- 7,187 sq ft lot
- Built 1944
- Listed 20 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Marion Independent School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #158 of 289 in IA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary (318 students, 38% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 66% / reading 65%, grade A-, #153 of 246 statewide, top 62%, 668 students, 40% FRL); Marion High School (math 69% / reading 80%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 722 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.92%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285 15th St | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 780 (-7%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $192 | 74 |
| 2251 4th Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+3%) | 6mo | $166,000 | $192 | 73 |
| 920 Fairview Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+10%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 1129 Washington Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $221 | 62 |
| 825 Fairview Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+10%) | 1mo | $163,000 | $176 | 59 |
| 2100 10th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (+7%) | 10mo | $155,500 | $174 | 55 |
| 900 25th St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+10%) | 4mo | $110,500 | $119 | 52 |
| 1395 9th Street St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+3%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $191 | 50 |
| 2455 4th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $146 | 49 |
| 665 Hillview Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+10%) | 10mo | $188,000 | $203 | 44 |
| 1185 11th St | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 749 (-11%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $174 | 44 |
| 2540 8th Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+15%) | 5mo | $101,000 | $105 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $11,497
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $63,556
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52302
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 18th St Apt 3 Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2615 5th Ave Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $675 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 820 27th St Unit 3C Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,000 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2899 5th Ave Unit 2 Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1501 Grand Ave Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $868 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 345 Marion Blvd Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $2,600 | $3.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 700 35th St Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,224 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2025-12-01soldstatus $77,500
-
2025-11-24soldstatus $77,500 Closed
-
2025-11-18status Pending
-
2025-11-13status Pending
-
2025-11-07status Active
-
2025-11-07status Active
-
2025-10-22status Pending
-
2025-10-22status Pending
-
2025-10-13$89,000 Active
-
2025-10-13$89,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,348 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$50/yr (+$4/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,298
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Independent School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918690
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,541
- Composite
- 58.49/100
- National rank
- #997
- State rank
- #158 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 42,706
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,706
- Household income
- $87,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.2949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-12.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2025-11-24 Sold (MLS) $77,500 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Relisted — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Relisted — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-10-22 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-10-22 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $89,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $89,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,298 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…