🏷️ Likely Rental
17101 Kropf Ave · Springfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
Key facts
- Community pool
- Storage area for rvs
- Easy access to i-75
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#472 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Holly Area School District (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #165 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.14%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,023
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -88.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $7,506
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $22,471
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48350
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16971 Sleepy Hollow Blvd Holly, MI | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,199 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.20mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $24,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $24,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $24,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $24,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $24,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $24,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $24,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $24,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-30status Active 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
-
2026-04-30status Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
-
2026-04-27status Pending 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
-
2026-04-27status Pending 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
-
2026-04-15$24,900 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
-
2026-04-15$24,900 Active 636-char remark
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Springrove Mobile Home Park featuring a 24 hour fitness center as well as a community pool, basketball courts and storage area for RV's & Boats, this 2 bedroom home is move in ready and waiting for you. The split floor plan offers bedrooms at each end of the home for extra privacy. Primary bedroom has large en-suite with shower & jetted tub. Open kitchen includes appliances. Laundry area with washer & dryer included. Holly Schools and easy access to I-75. Lot rent is $615.00 monthly & includes water. There is a $40.00 application fee for the park. Park approval is required. and
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2024-12-17status Pending
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2024-05-27status Pending
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2024-05-27status Pending
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2024-04-24$33,500 Active
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2024-04-24$33,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,388
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,151
- − Management
- −$1,151
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $2,269
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$545
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holly Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2618450
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,137
- Composite
- 37.1/100
- National rank
- #4496
- State rank
- #165 of 540 in MI
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #13384
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,866
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.53%
- Current HPI
- 195.1903
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-25.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-05-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-05-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-24 Listed $33,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-24 Listed $33,500 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…