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819 Newbern Ave #1
B- Composite 69.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

819 Newbern Ave #1 · Statesville, NC 28677
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,253 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 7,501 sqft lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Exceptional investment opportunity just minutes from downtown Statesville! This portfolio offers 2 total properties across 2 separate parcels (Parcel ID(s): 4733799680; 4734141966). Currently, all units are rented with a strong rental history and reliable tenants. The portfolio consists of two ranch-style single-family homes and one two-story single-family home, providing a balanced mix of stable income and future potential. This combination of income-producing properties and redevelopment possibilities makes the portfolio well-suited for investors seeking both immediate cash flow and long-term upside. Conveniently located near Statesville amenities, these properties benefits from consisten

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is completed; Zoning: R5MFM
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl exterior materials; Foundation: Other (see remarks)
  • Exterior features: Gravel and paved road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 3.7% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Troutman Elementary (math 63% / reading 44%, grade C, #335 of 1,410 statewide, top 24%, 698 students, 54% FRL); The Brawley School (math 91% / reading 88%, grade A+, #2 of 475 statewide, top 0%, 639 students, 9% FRL); Statesville High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #484 of 535 statewide, top 91%, 879 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 475 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
19.68%
Cash-on-cash
47.81%
DSCR
3.13
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,793
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
914 Wilmington Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,240 (-1%) 1mo $220,000 $177 88
1230 Wilmington Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-1%) 0mo $228,000 $183 79
1114 5th St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,257 (+0%) 5mo $140,000 $111 78
1316 4th St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,244 (-1%) 3mo $225,000 $181 76
933 Wallace St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,216 (-3%) 2mo $85,000 $70 72
1021 4th St 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,266 (+1%) 3mo $240,000 $190 71
405 Winston Ave 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,234 (-2%) 4mo $240,000 $194 68
812 W Raleigh Ave W #7 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,392 (+11%) 3mo $220,000 $158 68
1012 4th St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,377 (+10%) 1mo $160,000 $116 60
1000 Caldwell St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+7%) 3mo $230,000 $172 59
310 New Bern Ave 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,394 (+11%) 4mo $255,000 $183 53
1701 5th St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,082 (-14%) 5mo $218,000 $201 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$33,539
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
46.9%
Equity multiple
4.92×
Total profit
$75,646
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28677

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,578 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$770

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $817 -5% $794 +0% $770 +5% $746 +10% $722
Rent -10% $645 -5% $707 +0% $770 +5% $832 +10% $894
Rate -1.0pp $804 -0.5pp $787 base $770 +0.5pp $752 +1.0pp $734

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1203 Wilson W Lee Blvd Statesville, NC 3.0 1.0 1585 $1,500 $0.95 25d 1 0.22mi
1017 Caldwell St Statesville, NC 4.0 2.0 1283 $1,800 $1.40 25d 1 0.51mi
620 W Bell St Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,850 $1.53 23d 1 0.65mi
321 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 4d 1 0.66mi
333 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC 3.0 3.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 4d 1 0.66mi
708 W Front St Statesville, NC 2.0 1.0 950 $985 $1.04 4d 1 0.82mi
626 Walnut St Unit D Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1090 $1,100 $1.01 25d 1 0.91mi
797 Cherry St Statesville, NC 2.0 1.0 950 $985 $1.04 0d 1 0.93mi
936 W Front St Statesville, NC 4.0 1.0 1826 $1,600 $0.88 25d 1 0.94mi
627 Cherry St Unit F Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,200 $1.09 25d 1 0.94mi
212 E Bell St Statesville, NC 3.0 1.0 1460 $1,500 $1.03 0d 1 1.12mi
804 Jost St Unit 70 Statesville, NC 3.0 2.5 1446 $1,923 $1.33 25d 1 1.28mi
1151 Alexander St Unit 1151 Statesville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 25d 1 1.30mi
1711 Younger Ave Statesville, NC 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 25d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-19
    price $69,000
  3. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  4. 2026-05-01
    listed $104,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,934
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,515
− Management
−$1,515
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$8,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,077
After-tax cash flow
$7,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant exterior repairs and landscaping to improve its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Moss and potential water damage
  • Major exterior — Overgrown vegetation, general disrepair

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Roof repair — Fixes potential water damage and improves structural integrity

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Moss and potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior · Overgrown vegetation, general disrepair Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Roof repair — Fixes potential water damage and improves structural integrity

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Statesville

Score
59/100
State rank
#557
US rank
#20505

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Statesville, NC
County
Iredell County · 182,638 people
City population
78,393
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
38,819
Household income
$62,406
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
1174.0

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.76%
Current HPI
243.0445
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $69,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $104,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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