8853 Highway 263 · Fox, AR 72560

$17,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1977 10,019 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

2 brm 1 bath mobile home on 1/4 acre.

Key facts

• 0.23 acre lot
• Built 1977
• Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: House
• Construction: Living area approximately 840
• Exterior features: Lot of approximately 10,019 sq ft

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $17k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($847 rent vs $17k).
• Recommended offer: $17k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Mountain View School District (rural): math 34% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #107 of 238 in AR (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $118 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $510 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Stone County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $16,745 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 45.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 139.16%
• DSCR: 7.19
• GRM: 1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 7.81×
• Total profit: $32,415
• Equity at exit: $2,535

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 16.45×
• Total profit: $73,549
• Equity at exit: $1,470

Cash invested: $4,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72560

• Home prices YoY: -23.2%
• Active inventory: 164
• Price-to-rent: 1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $847 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$89
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$21 /mo · $255/yr
• Insurance: −$7
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $149

Max offer price $17,000

Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,250
• Closing costs: $510
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $17,000 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $17,000 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $17,000 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $17,000 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $17,000 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $17,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $17,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $17,000 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $17,000 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,000 Active 3 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 37-char remark
12. 2026-06-07
    listed $17,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,169
• − Mortgage interest: −$952
• − Property taxes: −$255
• − Insurance: −$85
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$814
• − Management: −$814
• − Depreciation: −$495
• Taxable income: $6,755
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,621
• After-tax cash flow: $5,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mountain View School District
• NCES district ID: 0510200
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -20.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $31,281
• Composite: 30.61/100
• National rank: #6192
• State rank: #107 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fox

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• City population: 604
• Population (ZIP): 7,650

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 12,440 people
• By 2030: 12,372 · -0.5%
• By 2040: 12,081 · -2.9%
• By 2050: 11,628 · -6.5%
• By 2075: 10,863 · -12.7%
• By 2100: 9,420 · -24.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.7) · D 18.1% · R 79.7% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -61.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.7 2020: R+57.9 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+45.2 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -48.20%
• Current HPI: 159.8996
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+1600.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $17,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
• 2024-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $15,350 Public Records
• 1982-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $1,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-13.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $17 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.